Recently, NVIDIA has been the focus of the global market, and the stock price of Nvidia, which was less than $110 in October last year, has risen to more than $400 this week, and its market value has exceeded the $1 trillion mark.
By the way, I will update my own results: this year my main US account (Merill) has earned 80.59%, and Alipay fund account has earned 31.99%.
The main reason why US accounts are performing so well is that NVIDIA accounts for more than a quarter, and the overall performance of US technology stocks has been very strong recently, and it is easy to achieve rapid appreciation when asset concentration and aggressiveness are very strong.
Regarding NVIDIA's investment opportunities, I have said countless times on the public account and Knowledge Planet, the time is early, the number of times, the depth of analysis, I have not seen other bloggers yet. Coincidentally, I started to discuss and share intensively from the bottom of October last year, when I didn't know what ChatGPT was, and I didn't know that 2023 would be such a milestone year for AI.
On October 21, 2022, I posted a topic: The darkest hour will soon pass and then shared some of my transaction history on the planet
In March of this year, I even released a special theme: The biggest winner behind AI Unreservedly said my clear vision for NVIDIA, which at that time clearly envisaged that NVIDIA would reach a total market capitalization of $1 trillion this year. Later, I even made public all the transaction records from October last year to January this year in the subject from darkness to dawn - personal account disclosure.
Part of the article "AI"↑
But even if I am optimistic, I didn't expect NVIDIA to be so strong, I knew that NVIDIA would reach 1 trillion this year, but I didn't expect it to break trillion in May, and I didn't expect a financial report to make it rise 25% a day.
I recently received private messages from several readers saying that I regret not investing in NVIDIA at that time, is it still time to buy now?
This question has different answers for different people, if you are a short-term investor and want to fight for a short-term upswing, I think the odds are only 50%, but if you are a long-term holder, NVIDIA certainly has considerable room for growth.
Now NVIDIA has completed the previous judgment, that is, to reach the milestone of one trillion dollars, the next outlook is also clear, given the company's influence in many important technology tracks in the future, the near future NVDA will be an order of magnitude with Apple, Microsoft, Google, the largest of the three giants Apple market value of $2.8 trillion, Microsoft in the middle of $2.46 trillion, the smallest Google is also close to $1.6 trillion, the current NVIDIA $1 trillion, so based on this judgment it still has a lot of space.
And it's important to understand that Apple, Microsoft, and Google are dynamic indicators, because these three companies are themselves benchmarks for global technology and growth companies, and a decade from now their market capitalization and revenue will be twice what they are now, which is a very, very conservative estimate.
But considering that NVIDIA is already more than 20% higher than the previous high, it is inevitable that many people will have a fear of heights, and NVIDIA's short-term downward pressure is indeed accumulating. In this case, if you are afraid of heights, then Microsoft and Google will be better alternatives.
Microsoft needless to say, this may be the world's most certain technology stock, Microsoft's systems and software businesses have a strong moat and strong cash flow; Cloud computing and artificial intelligence business has strong growth, it has not reached the previous new high, if you look at Microsoft's long-term trend, you will sigh that there is such a beautiful monthly line, which is the company's growth, stability and irreplaceability, over the years Microsoft's revenue and profit have maintained steady growth, and the structure has been continuously optimized.
Similar to Microsoft, Google is also a company with a very strong growth certainty, from 2002 to 2022 in the two decades, whether it is the financial crisis in 2008 or the new crown shock in 2020, Google's revenue has grown year by year, and no year is an exception.
In addition to occupying the advertising position of the king of global Internet traffic, Google also has a lot of black technology and imagination, such as Google's Bard has not much difference with ChatGPT, and the AI chip developed by Google may also compete with Nvidia in the future. At present, Google's price has only recovered by half, it is not like Microsoft has almost returned to the highest point, and it is not like Nvidia has broken through the previous high, so it has a certain demand for supplementation.
Google Inc. revenue 2002-2022 annual growth is no exception
You can also consider the NASDAQ 100, the S&P Information Index or the S&P 500, because no matter how AI or other high-tech developments are developed in the future, we can say with great certainty that the success of these new technologies will inevitably come from the great companies in these indexes.
If you have a relatively high risk appetite and a stable mentality, you can also consider allocating a part of TQQQ (triple long NASDAQ 100) or SOXL (semiconductor triple long), but it should be emphasized again that this type of ETF is very volatile, it may make you ecstatic because of making money, or it may make you anxious and entangled to insomnia, so you need very strong and stable psychological quality.
So much for that, the biggest gain for me to write an official account is to satisfy my sense of achievement, if I can help readers who trust me to fake the truth in today's flood of spam, it makes me happier than how much money I give... This was the case in 2020 when the epidemic melted down the climax of the whole network, and it was also the same when the Silicon Valley Bank thunderstormed this year when various (self-)media instigated the "fast run of holding dollar assets".
During the circuit breaker in March 2020, I posted an article that I am clearly optimistic about US equity assets↑
I want to bring tangible benefits to the reader, not to sell those unnourished mental orgasms while taking up other people's precious time.