Artificial intelligence is a highly controversial topic, ranging from the exaggerated statement that "artificial intelligence will surpass humans and eventually control humans" to the more pessimistic predictions that "artificial intelligence will lead to mass unemployment and eliminate many jobs". So describing AI as a "savior" or "destroyer" is a sensational and controversial way of saying it.
Domestic AI dialogue products still have a certain gap from ChatGPT, but there is a possibility of coming later. On May 5, internal Google documents predicted that open source AI would beat Google and OpenAI. Fang Han, CEO of Kunlun Wanwei, believes that in the long run, open source and closed-source AI will complement each other. Li Tao also said that open source will level cognition and technology, and algorithms are no longer the key.
So, how can domestic AI win? Li Tao believes that the key lies in the scenario, and domestic AI needs to spread all application scenarios as soon as possible and train models with new data. Li Di bluntly said that at present, the homogeneity of large models is serious, and the breakthrough is to make vertical domain models, train with vertical data, let experts tune and sell to vertical customers. Under certain parameters, adjust the model to the limit.
The large model shows anthropomorphism in some scenes, accelerates the development of digital humans, and has completely replaced humans in some scenes. Sima Huapeng, CEO of Silicon-based Intelligence, described the company's digital human short video and live broadcast business as "moisturizing and silent". Sima Huapeng said that silicon-based intelligence has generated nearly 1.5 million digital humans, and its revenue is expected to reach 4 billion yuan in 2023, with business spread across various platforms. Success comes from the early cultivation of small and medium-sized enterprises and the success of "low-hanging fruit".
Artificial intelligence has or will have a greater impact in different industries and application scenarios, not only bringing efficiency improvements and new job opportunities, but also accelerating the elimination of certain positions, which also reflects the "savior" and "destroyer" aspects of artificial intelligence.
In 2020, we will take the path of deep relationship from Microsoft's independent Xiaoice. Tencent WeMedia's CEO Tianhu said that in addition to Xiaoice algorithms, other digital people are still in their infancy. Li Di, CEO of Xiaoice, said that Xiaoice promote the evolution of digital humans from the first generation of motion capture + knowledge graph technology to the second generation of deep neural network rendering + Xiaoice framework large model. Therefore, Xiaoice the company's strength to win customers such as Yaowang Technology, as well as the "ambition" of equipping everyone with digital humans. But has been pursuing technology, commercialization space is large.
AI is an irreversible trend in the digital age that will produce "creative destruction", which also hints that AI may have the dual nature of "innovation" and "destruction" at the same time.
In the future, digital humans will become increasingly competitive and face more challenges. On the one hand, policies and platform controls are becoming increasingly strict, and Douyin's new regulations require virtual humans to register and technical users to have real names. After Douyin's "anti-intellectual", it supports the rapid transformation of human-driven digital human enterprises such as Baidu and silicon-based intelligence. On the other hand, the number of digital human enterprises has increased, and the cost has decreased, such as Xiaoice Japan's "GPT Clone Program" only takes 3 minutes of data; The Tencent Cloud Homo sapiens platform costs as low as 1,200 yuan. The reduction of the cost of digital humans has triggered tens of millions of Dong Mingzhu and no next Meng Yutong discussion.
People are fully vigilant when it comes to having a full-fledged digital human. But in some industries, AIGC has brought efficiency gains, quietly resulting in layoffs, and many people suddenly feel that "when the times abandon you, they don't even say hello." Anxiety spreads first to the content industry. On April 12, BlueFocus East China sent an email saying it would stop creative design, scenario writing, copywriting, and short-term employee outsourcing costs. The blue cursor confirms that the email is authentic.
Regardless of the position, artificial intelligence is a technology full of variables, and its future development direction and impact on human society and work are not completely clear, so which aspect will ultimately reflect the essence of artificial intelligence is still a topic worth exploring, which also provides space for discussion of such titles.
The original artist industry is also a "high-risk" industry, with game outsourcing companies laying off nearly 30% of their workforce in April, and a large proportion of original artists. Heidegger called it the "era of world images", the popularization of technology reduces the difficulty of images, provides data for AI training, and has a low threshold in the field of AI painting, mature technology and fierce competition. Different AI painting products have good results after adjustment, and product strategy, function, user ecology, etc. are more important in competing for users.
For example, with an annual income of $100 million, Midjourney pursues the ceiling of AI painting, and Wen Xin's positioning is to compare with it, comparing who can accurately understand the "traffic". Stable Diffusion uses open source to enrich customization, and Unbounded AI uses its productization to optimize hundreds of styles. No self-developed large model may affect the development, but it is liked by current users.
Perhaps the most difficult part of AIGC products is AI image production. Compared with painting, AI images are more complex and less domestically produced. Zhang Xuesi, executive director of Red Dot Venture Capital, which invests in Data, said that a video may have multiple elements in one frame, and it is very challenging to do various effects in successive frames to ensure that the video is not deformed. The main AI capability is to convert graphics to video, which tests the matching. Tencent Smart Shadow and Clipping Technology are backed by Tencent Video and Watermelon Video with rich resources, and have high matching with graphics and text, which has advantages.
3 product selections with different subdivision scenarios to cut into. Lei Tao, CEO of Ruxin One Technology, said that it will not edit beginners for customers, emphasizing that all AI is automatically generated. Luo Jiangchun, founder of Glance Technology, believes that "China does not lack editing, post-production, and a good story", and the main "AI screenwriter" at a glance is "AI screenwriter". iFLYTEK Zhisaku is deeply engaged in audio and performs well in video production and dubbing.
AIGC is not only competition, but also opportunity, such as AI office assistant. It can be divided into enterprise AI office assistant and personal AI office assistant, the former is mostly a continuation of the original enterprise office application, and the latter is benchmarked against Microsoft Copilot and Notion AI. Less overall, similar in functionality, under development. "Word you are also mature software, you should learn to make money yourself", this day may not be far away.
These 5 categories of products are not all AIGC products. Wu Jiu said that he found more, such as APUS's overseas Bible product KJV Bible Now, DAU exceeded one million; Validator AI helps startups test startup ideas; And AI and Sleep's Centenarian "Personal Sleep Trainer"...
A picture of turbulence unfolds. Zhang Xuesi said that To B may not change too quickly, but AI has a far-reaching impact on To C and may appear later, such as the rise of mobile Internet Douyin and Pinduoduo. New sparks will be ignited on the basis of large models, and "artificial intelligence devouring the world" will gradually emerge in the future.
Schumpeter described the economy as "creative destruction." Mankind entered the digital society and witnessed two revolutions: the first PC Internet, the birth of online writers, e-commerce operators, e-sports players, storming department stores, and withering roadside newsstands. The second mobile Internet gave birth to self-media people, anchors with goods, and ride-hailing drivers, replacing classical Internet forums and eliminating BB machines and cash. Li Di believes that from the longer timeline, the impact of new technologies will not exceed two generations, and the new generation will always find new jobs and form a new society.
In any case, AIGC has become an irreversible torrent in the digital age, and the tide of the times does not linger on the self-pitying and rewards the flexible surfers.