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Rocket offseason trade analysis

author:lhAi

Talk about the Rockets offseason. Mainly around the following issues: 1. about signings; 2. about the marshal said that Green and Porter are Tatum and Brown of the Rockets; 3. Draft

First, on the introduction of aid

This piece of content is a bit much, divided into 3 small points.

1. Combine the introduction of veterans, goalscorers, and diversified inside lines to analyze the scope of recruitment (including online transmission targets and some potential tradable stars)

Dream Chasing (Veteran & Interior & Top Defense), Lopez (Veteran & Space Interior & Top Frame), Cannon (Veteran & Ball Core), Harden (Veteran & Ball Core), Irving (Ball Core), Beverley (Veteran & 3D Backcourt), Dillon (Mesozoic & Defensive Wing), Jevon Carter (Veteran & Wing Defense), Seth Curry (Pure Shooter), Gwee (Shooter & Forward Defense), Joshhart (Mesozoic & Defensive Flanch), Huang Zhong (Shooter & Average Forward Defense), Ayton (Mesozoic Interior & Above Average Interframe), Rivers (Ball Holding Backcourt), Randale (Space Interior), Middleton (Veteran & Shooter)

Rocket offseason trade analysis

2. Rocket demand

The goal of the Rockets is to improve themselves (at least to the level of a play-off impact) and by the way to suppress the Nets (future picks). Mentioning that suppressing the Nets includes directly weakening the Nets and boosting the Suns (lowering Nets picks).

According to Wu Shuai, in fact, the scope of recruitment is at least one shooter (35+%3P can average more than 1 per game) + one and Shen Jing (tactic no space center) different types of interior linemen, if these two are not veterans, they also need to bring in a veteran. Given that the boss emphasizes defense, I think he mainly refers to experienced defensive gates, and I put Dillon in this genre as well)

The position of the shooter: Huang Zhong = Gwei 〉Jevon Carter 〉Middleton (too low cost performance, obvious decline after a big injury)〉 Curry Jr. (the alternative of the shooter position, Huang Zhong and Ge Wei will choose if they can't get it)

Inside: The different types of interior lines that Wushuai said mainly refer to the frame-type interior line and the space-type interior line, here Darlow must directly meet all the requirements, but the price will be great, the Bucks will not be easily released, the spare tire is Randale + other guarding frame forwards.

Veteran (experienced defensive gate): Chasing Dream, Black Bay, and Dillon are three defensive players in different positions, and if they win Da Luo, they will not introduce Dream Chaser again. Here whether the Rockets choose Bunban or Henderson or Miller will not affect the introduction of these three players, these three estimate that the Rockets are inclined to Dillon" dream chasing = black shell, personally I think that these three will come at least one in the summer.

Rocket offseason trade analysis

3. About Cannon and Ayton (analyze the possibility of unraveling)

The Suns will be in the first round of the Nets in the next few years, and the Rockets will not harm themselves, but they will not mind helping the Suns on the premise of helping themselves. So for the locked Suns pay, only cannon and Ayton can be used.

If the Rockets are in a hurry to produce results next season, in addition to the veterans, shooters, and interior introductions that the coach said, they must also introduce a ball-carrying core, and the cost cannot be too large (because the roster is still young and has not yet reached the stage of stud, so the Rockets even if they introduce stars are under the premise of low cost), here Harden is of course a choice, Irving is the same, but these two free agents to sign must be a new long-term contract (Harden may give up the top salary, but it must also be a long-term contract), the renewal is very risky, Irving will not say, Harden has to give at least a 4-year contract with an average salary of 40 million. At this time, Paul is actually a least risky choice, Paul has 2 years left on his contract (25 years expiring), of which 15 million guarantees next season, next season team options (no guarantees), can be untied at any time, so the Rockets are motivated if they trade with the Suns.

The specific trade is Shenjing + Porter + Tate for Paul + Ayton + second round, and the Suns can also get a 37 million trade exception. For the Rockets, Ayton's top talent, even if he cleans a little frame level is at least above the average level of the league, coupled with the tradition of the rocket training center, Big Dream teaches the footsteps, it itself has a medium shot, it is still attractive to the Rockets, the contract has 3 years left 100 million, the current level is about 5 million per year, but there is still room for appreciation, and the upper limit is very high; Paul came back to bring new talent, and he didn't have to play too long in the Rockets, mainly leading the team to play the 23-24 season, and if the effect is good to help young people enter the playoffs (similar to the Thunder back then), the Rockets may execute next season's contract or as an expired contract to free up space, and next summer, the trade may be very good, and it will also earn a first round.

The Suns got Shenjing and Porter two young players who can enter the rotation, the point is that 37 million exceptions can make a big fuss, and even the Suns expand the trade to put Payne and Neshin into the trade, expand the special case to 40 million, you can directly help them use the special case to sign Harden or Irving, this is the most attractive place for the Suns, if the big brother and the third brother directly meet the Suns, form the Harden + Booker + Porter + Adu + Shenjing lineup, and then continue Craig, Okogi and sign other base-salary players, The strength is stronger than the Nets that year (so that the Suns pick in the hands of the Nets directly depreciates, basically determining the end of the first round), the Suns championship window is the next 3 years, the Rockets championship window must be 3 years later, not contradictory, win-win.

If traded like this, the Rockets should try to leave about 20 million space, whether it is signing Huang Zhong, Lopez, Rivers, Gwee, Dillon or other players need this space, if Black Bei will definitely use the middle class, part of the middle.

Rocket offseason trade analysis

II. Green and Porter

The boss said they were like Tatum and Brown, plus Porter's deletion of the point guard tweet, and it was clear that Porter would return to his familiar wing position next season, that is, playing 3 with the starting lineup and 2 with the bench. In addition, from the current point of view, the coach still attaches more importance to and optimistic about Porter, may be affected by the common point that both people have a black history, at least if Porter is not traded, no matter who the draft gets, Porter will still be one of the core players, and the current status of the team is weaker than Green and Smith but higher than others, and Ethan Bozhong.

Third, about the draft

If you get Wenban, the start next season will definitely play a big lineup, Wenban + Xiaojia + Shenjing (Ayton) start together, because Wenban and Xiaojia are perfect players for changing defenses, getting the Wenban rocket will make Xiaojia gain weight, Wenban plays 3/4, Xiaojia plays 4/5, and takes the center at the key moment on Ethan, Porter or other wingers to play five.

To sum up, if next season goes well, the lineup is basically the starter: the core of the ball (Harden or Paul), Green, Wenban, Smith, Shenjing (or Ayton), substitute Porter, Ethan, Huang Zhong + Black Bay (or Rivers + Black Bay or Dillon + Jevon Carter or Gwei + Black Bay) above 9 are the main rotation, Garuba, TOEFL, Taitai, Boat Sign, Space C as a rotation of three lineups or injuries, Black Bay should be one of the main goals of the Rockets' middle class, which can solve both veterans and substitute ball problems, Otherwise, a replacement PG will be signed as a spare tire