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Genshin card draw probability theory

author:Sumlcon

In many decisions, it is important to use probability to calculate win and lose situations. This process requires identifying key elements such as event space, probability distribution, and success criteria in order to calculate success rates and expected returns.

In the game Genshin, card drawing is a very important activity. The draw probability refers to the probability of drawing each character or weapon, which is calculated according to certain rules set by the developer.

Genshin card draw probability theory

First of all, the event space refers to all the characters and weapons that can be drawn. The event space in Genshin includes five-star characters, four-star characters, three-star characters, and various weapons. The probability distribution for each event is set by the game developer, with five-star characters having the lowest probability, while three-star characters and weapons having the highest probability. The rules of the game state that the probability of drawing a five-star character is 0.6%, while the probability of drawing a four-star character is 5.1%. The probability of drawing three-star characters and weapons is higher, at 17.0% and 72.3%, respectively.

Genshin card draw probability theory

Secondly, success conditions refer to obtaining the desired character or weapon. In Genshin, the condition for success is to get the five- or four-star character you want, or to get a higher-star weapon. If your desired character is a five-star character, then your success rate will be very low because the probability of a five-star character is very low, only 0.6%. Conversely, if your desired character is a four-star character, your success rate will be much higher, as the probability of a four-star character is 5.1%.

Using probability to calculate success rates and expected returns can help you make more informed decisions in your game. For example, if you know that the probability of a five-star character is very low, you might decide not to draw a five-star character and instead focus on a higher four-star character or a better weapon. Similarly, if you know that the probability of a certain four-star character is high, you may increase the number of times you draw cards in order to get more four-star characters.

Genshin card draw probability theory

In addition, in Genshin, each character or weapon has its own unique mechanics, and you can adjust its mechanics to increase the probability of successful extraction. For example, if you don't like a character's mechanics, you can reduce the probability of this mechanic by increasing the number of card draws.

Finally, there is also a concept in Genshin called "probabilistic gain", which refers to the comparison between the benefits you get from drawing cards and the price you pay. In Genshin, the benefits players receive from drawing a character or weapon include experience, rough stones, character experience points, weapon experience points, and other rewards. When you draw a character, you may lose some rough, which is what you gain from the game; But if you get a four-star character, it increases the probability of success in a draw

Genshin card draw probability theory

In Genshin, players can obtain more rough stones in a variety of ways. Players can earn rough through in-game daily missions, achievements, and quest rewards, as well as participation in in-game events. Through in-game events, players can earn rewards such as experience, rough stones, character experience points, and weapon experience points.

Genshin card draw probability theory

When players complete daily missions, they get some rough stones; When the player completes the achievement, they get some rough stones; When the player completes the mission, they will get some rough stones. In addition, when you reach a certain level cap, you can also get a certain amount of rough. Overall, these rewards are all great rewards for players.

When players complete in-game daily quests or achievements, they can earn a large number of rough stones; And when players complete missions or achievements, they can also get a lot of rough stones.

Genshin card draw probability theory

In summary, using probability to calculate success rates and expected returns is a key element in making informed card draw decisions in Genshin. By determining the event space, probability allocation, and success criteria, and then using formulas to calculate the success rate and expected return, you can better understand the rules and possible outcomes of your decision and make more informed decisions. Can withdraw gold in a single way!!!