The text of this headline is a personal opinion.
The previous period was restored
First of all, there is a small mistake to correct, Finland is the second team because they are the team with the highest points in the fourth group of the four in the B division, they have 7 points except against Romania, which is fourth in the group, Norway has only 4 points except against Sweden, which is fourth in the group, Ukraine has only 5 points except against Armenia, and Iceland has only 4 points, so they are the best group second.
In the last period as a whole, the only thing that can be regarded as an upset may be Slovakia's draw at home to Luxembourg, and the rest of the matches are all on the right path, even there are very few draws, so the result of any 9 probability will not exceed 200, then our thinking is not right. However, for the Luxembourg game, we still gave a hint of the unpopularity, and the France vs Netherlands single pass also gave a detailed and accurate analysis, coupled with the hint of half-time rollover, the last issue of the article was still barely passable overall.
To briefly talk about the last match, as long as it is a strong and weak match, almost all of them are crushing, including but not limited to France vs the Netherlands, Sweden vs Belgium, Czech Republic vs Poland, all of which are crushing games.
This issue previews
【Composition of this issue】
This issue is composed of 10 European Cup qualifiers + 4 Eredivisie matches, the same as the 23028 period (FA Cup + French Cup + Premier League), this period of 14 games also has 9 deep games, even if there are 4 upsets in that period (Tottenham, Southampton, Leicester City, Nantes), it still cannot change the pattern of 100 yuan to 9. This issue's Ren 9 will only be less difficult, because the national team competition is not like the club, and it can also be rotated for selective abandonment, so the probability of cooling out is smaller, and the Eredivisie match is more likely.
【Difficulty of this issue】
The difficulty of this issue of the competition should be the lowest issue this year, the probability is a double-digit Ren 9, and there has even been a single-digit Ren 9 in the national team competition, I don't know if this issue has a chance to appear. The gameplay of any 9 major directions in this issue should be a small single double shot, and the single multiple more than 32 may not necessarily be able to return the cost, in addition, the normal idea of 14 games should be a single choice + three choices based gameplay.
Let's get into this analysis:
Football Win Lottery Issue 23041, to say personal opinions, does not constitute any investment advice.
Analysis in this issue
【Boldness area】
5. Liechtenstein vs Iceland (0)
The two teams met in the 2021 World Cup qualifiers, with Iceland beating their opponents over two legs and Liechtenstein largely unresponsible. Judging from last year's UEFA Nations League matches, Iceland's strength is still relatively stable, of course, Liechtenstein is the same, considering that Iceland has played at home in Liechtenstein before, so there is almost no lack of adaptation to the environment.
In the first round, Liechtenstein lost 0:4 to Portugal, Iceland lost 0:3 to Bosnia and Herzegovina, everyone was kept a clean sheet, the difference is that Portugal played 90 minutes in the half of Liechtenstein, although Iceland was suppressed by Bosnia and Herzegovina, but it can still resist.
There is no suspense in this ball, single 0 is bold.
6. Snovinia vs San Marino (3)
There is nothing to say about this one, pure boldness.
7. England vs Ukraine (3)
In the quarter-final of the last European Championship, in July 2021, England beat Ukraine 4-0. In the last round, England won 2-1 away to Italy, while Ukraine were a byby.
From the perspective of the Italian vs England match, England suppressed Italy in the first half, the pressure was very strong, this suppression is more of the suppression of the lineup, I have to say that the Italian forward has some unusable situation, and the English forward is a very hot combination this season. So, after losing a few good chances in the first half, it was still 2-0 ahead of Italy; In the second half, Italy led England tactically, South Gate played conservatively, Mancini played more aggressively, so Italy suppressed England in the second half, but not as much as England suppressed in the first half, and finally Italy scored a goal in the second half and lost 1:2 to England.
After England won the toughest game in the group 8 games, then it was a draw, the first place in the group should be a high probability, Ukraine's squad strength is quite a lot worse than England, the number one star in the team is Arsenal's left-back Zinchenko, and Zinchenko has the level of an England international, and no one else can reach it.
England are still playing at home in this game, judging from their last round of attacks against Italy, several of Italy's top defenders are very difficult to defend, and Ukrainian defenders want to defend England's attack away, which is unlikely, single 3 do bold.
【Bo Bao District】
1. Belarus vs Switzerland (0)
The two most likely teams in the group should be from Switzerland, Romania and Israel, Kosovo has little chance, Andorra and Belarus are purely accompaniment.
The difference in strength between the two teams is at least 2 big notches, Switzerland is roughly an S-class team, and Belarus can only be a B-class team at most. Previously, we have divided the strength of the national team and club, which are S+, S, S-, A+, A, A-, B+, B+, B- and D.
Generally speaking, the difference of 1 small grade can be offset by the advantage of home and away, for example, Switzerland's home stadium can compete with S+ level teams. But a big grade, it's difficult, can win at home is a small cold, and a weak team that is 2 grades away can still win is a big cold, especially away to win is even colder, such as Italy home loss to North Macedonia and Real Madrid's home loss to the sheriff are more than the category of cold, belongs to the shocking cold!
There is still a clear difference in the strength of the two teams, and the only advantage of Belarus is home field advantage, but it is not too outrageous, after all, Western Europe is not far from Eastern Europe. However, we also need to be wary that Belarus once faced Wales in the World Cup European qualifiers, and finally beat Belarus in 90 minutes with Bale's hat-trick, including a 1-goal defeat against Belgium. In the European qualifiers of Switzerland, which are also drawn with Northern Ireland and Wales, they are not the kind of team that is aggressive and aggressive.
On the whole, Switzerland will not lose, after all, the price difference between the two teams is 20 times, but there is still a certain probability of a draw, so this stability is still risky, Bo 0 defense 1 is the best.
3. Spain vs Norway (3)
The more important news is that Haaland has left the Norwegian national team due to injury and returned to Manchester City Club, without Haaland's Norwegian team, Odegaard alone is difficult to support. The competition in this group is also fierce, but the better thing is that everyone has a chance to compete for a place to qualify, unlike the two groups of Italy and France, where other teams have almost no chance. This group is slightly stronger except Spain, and countries like Norway, Georgia and Scotland all have a chance to compete for second place in the group.
From the performance of the Spanish World Cup group stage, they face Costa Rica and Germany is a normal level, facing Japan whether to lose Germany is unknown, and losing Monaco is actually not too bad, after all, the full court advantage, coupled with Monaco's defense is indeed good, and eliminated Portugal in 90 minutes, so Spain lost is not wrong.
Judging from the new Spanish national team roster, the forward trident is likely to be Morata, Joselu, Olmo, and this season's state should be better than Torres, Asensio and Olmo before; The midfield is because of Pedri's injury and Busquets was not selected, so Manchester City's Rodri is likely to form a double midfield with Garvey, this combination is not a big problem, but it has not been done before, plus Polo can also be let go, so there is no lack of midfield; Carvajal, Balder, Laporte, Nacho and others in the defensive line are completely adequate; The goalkeeper is Kepa, who has played very well this season, and although De Gea was not selected, Kepa is definitely enough.
On the Norwegian side, after the lack of Haaland, the Norwegian twins are left with Odegaard, the ability of the other players on the team is too much inferior to these two, the original dual-core engine has now become single-core, and the social Sollot and Southampton's Yunusi can barely count half a core. However, the overall gap in player ability is still worse than Spain (including Joshua King who did not make the squad this time), this is a match between S+ and A+ teams, especially S+ teams at home, so Norway does not have much chance of winning from the pre-match point of view.
In the past, Norway last won Spain once in Euro 2000, but it was too long, the last two meetings were in the 2019 European Championship qualifiers, when Spain won 2-1 at home, Norway did not have Haaland at that time, but not this time, and the two teams were even tied at home in Norway, so with such a head-to-head experience, Norway does not have much psychological pressure.
On the whole, Spain has a high probability of being undefeated, this time Spain's squad is more combative than 4 years ago, and Norway's lack of Haaland is equivalent to missing a major deterrent, so we are optimistic that Spain can win at home, and the big single can be defended 1.
4. Kazakhstan vs Denmark (0)
From the perspective of the first round of this group, Denmark should still be able to secure a place, and the other is 3 teams competing for a group second, so everyone as long as who can get 1 point from Denmark is very profitable.
Denmark has a relatively large change against Finland this time, mainly in the offensive trident, firmly used 20-year-old Helund, 22-year-old Darmsgaard and Spaniard 31-year-old Braithwaite to start, completely changed Cornelius and others, this game Helund is also a super god play, Denmark's threat of goal 2/3 comes from him, and most of the time Denmark is suppressing the Finnish half of the attack. Despite this, under the supernatural performance of Bayer Leverkusen's Hladetsky (spicy thrill), Finland still kept the score 1:1 until 81 minutes, until finally they could not suppress Helund, and were scored by Helund in the 82nd and 93rd minutes.
Kazakhstan this ball against Slovenia and Finland against Denmark is similar, has always been passive beaten, as if the ball is always on the opposite side, their own side can only passively defend, this in essence, or the reason for the overall strength gap of the team, after this ball played, it can basically be determined that Kazakhstan is not capable of competing for the second place in this group, the gap is really large.
We don't know why Kazakhstan did so well in the UEFA Nations League and mixed in third gear, while Slovenia only has fourth gear, which should be more reasonable.
The only advantage of Kazakhstan against Denmark in this game is the geographical location, more than 4000km distance, but Slovenia is also 3000+ km away from Kazakhstan, the same is to suppress the entire Kazakhstan, so Denmark has no reason not to win. But again, we are always suspicious of the home stadium of a weak team, and we can never trust 100%, Kazakhstan vs Denmark, Luxembourg vs Portugal is the same, unless the home stadium is Liechtenstein, San Marino and the away team is huge! Otherwise, single 0 is not 100% stable, but from the first round of performance, we still recommend single 0, just here to remind everyone of a wake-up.
9. Luxembourg vs Portugal (0)
The first tier of this group is undoubtedly Portugal, Bosnia and Herzegovina in the second bracket, Iceland in the third and Luxembourg in the fourth.
Both teams had good results in the last round, with Portugal beating Liechtenstein 4-0 at home and Luxembourg drawing with Snowvak away. Luxembourg has two match-up threats on both sides, one from a free kick and one from a sporting battle, and Luxembourg's away game against Snowvak was a bit down, but overall it was balanced, and there were basically no yellow cards on either side.
Portugal has nothing to say about this goal, not at all at one level, Portugal is a long-range shot, free kick, sports battle, penalty kick each scored, the whole ball is played in the opponent's half zone, as if this court is only half the size of the usual field, the first half Portugal has been shooting from a distance, Cancelo is constantly delivering shells, the second half is a little offensive cooperation.
Luxembourg and Portugal last met in the 2021 World Cup qualifiers, the squads of the two teams at that time are still quite different from now, and perhaps the biggest change is that Portugal has changed the manager, and the starting and formation have been greatly adjusted. Portugal directly changed from a back 4 to a more flexible 3 central defender, Cancelo and Guerrero became full-backs, and the two wings were more flexible, which greatly enhanced Portugal's offensive ability. Luxembourg is the same, the manager is still Holtz, the players are still that batch, so they adjusted the starting line-up of four players.
In 2021, Luxembourg was the first team to score, but unfortunately in the face of Portugal's strong attack, they were difficult to hold, and finally lost 1:3, and in last year's UEFA Nations League, they lost at home to Turkey, 2 goals ahead of the Faroe Islands and were equalized, facing Lithuania is more even, and finally the opponent won 1:0.
In the last round, the two teams actually didn't see anything, Portugal was too weak, Luxembourg had good chances on both sides, but the goalkeepers were good, so neither scored.
On the whole, compared with the last meeting, although the squad has not changed, the starting lineup has changed to a certain extent, and the Portuguese formation adjustment is large, and the tactical play of the new manager is more suitable for this Portuguese squad system, optimistic that Portugal can win away from Luxembourg.
【Double Selection】
2. Croatia vs Wales (3,1)
In addition to Latvia and Armenia, the other three teams have a good chance of competing for the top two in the group, especially Croatia and Wales, which reached the World Cup last year and look stronger than Turkey.
The two teams were also in the same group in the last European Championship qualifiers, Croatia won 1 and drew 1, but the two games were still relatively evenly played, otherwise they would not have scored 2:1 and 1:1.
Comparing the two teams, Croatia's midfielders are undoubtedly among the best in the world, with world-class midfielders such as Modric, Kovacic, Perisic, Brozovic and Pasalic; Wales are much worse in midfield. Although there is also a certain difference in the defensive line, it is not as big as the gap in midfield, and the two stronger points in Croatia on the defensive line are Leipzig's core defender Gvadior and the super-god goalkeeper Livakovic in the World Cup; The gap in the forward line is the smallest, almost no difference, the most eye-catching on the Welsh side after Bale's retirement is Johnson of the Forest, and the Croatian side is Hoffenheim's Kramaric, and the two strikers are indeed not much different.
The performance in last year's World Cup was relatively clear to everyone, Wales was eliminated by Iran in the group stage, and the whole game was not as good as the opponent, while Croatia not only won Brazil, but also won the third place.
On the whole, this ball Croatia has a high probability of being undefeated, mainly because the midfield is much stronger than Wales, plus the defense is slightly stronger, so the probability of losing at home is still very small. We believe that the first choice of 3 and the second choice of 1 is sufficient.
8. Snowvak vs Bosnia and Herzegovina (0,1)
Snowvak and Bosnia and Herzegovina are very close, only about 500km away, 1 hour by plane.
Both teams have players who play in Serie A, the difference is that Snowvak is a central midfielder and Bosnia-Herzegovina is a central midfielder. Snowvak also has three more capable players, namely defender Skriniar from Inter, midfielder Lobotka from Napoli and defender Hancko from Feyenoord, of which Skriniar is also out due to injury. Bosnia and Herzegovina is stronger than Dzeko (from Inter) in the No. 9 position, Krunic (from AC Milan) in midfielder and defender Naz (from Marseille), and Dzeko from Inter is also out due to injury.
In the first round, there was no doubt that Bosnia and Herzegovina looked better, beating Iceland 3-0 at home, while Snowvak didn't even win at home to Luxembourg or even play the advantage. It seems that Bosnia and Herzegovina is obviously stronger, in fact, it is no problem to look at it this way, but we need to know that at least in the last European Championship qualifier, Snowvak was very good. They not only beat Hungary in the group stage, but also drew Wales, and even faced Wales away without falling behind, and finally finished third in the group by one point behind Wales (Croatia was first in the group). However, in the end, they eliminated Ireland and Northern Ireland in two rounds of play-offs to enter the main stage of the European Championship, including a 2-1 win over Poland and a 0-1 defeat to Sweden, which showed Snowvak's strength.
Bosnia-Herzegovina last European Championship qualifier, home performance is good, only lost to Italy, but they played badly away, only won Liechtenstein, the other 4 away games all lost, and the loss to Greece and Finland is a loss without resistance, only against the weaker Armenia is a balance of power, but still lost 2:4. Compared with 4 years ago, the squad of Bosnia and Herzegovina has changed a lot, not to mention that compared to 4 years ago, compared to last year, the squad of Bosnia and Herzegovina has also been greatly adjusted, and the overall age of the team's starting lineup tends to be younger.
Judging from last year's UEFA Nations League performance, Snowvak was very average, they ranked behind Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan in the same group, you must know that if a team like them does not get a good result in the UEFA Nations League, it means that the qualifying group is more passive and does not qualify for the play-offs. Therefore, last year's UEFA Nations League must be a true portrayal of their fighting power, but they only got 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, which is why they changed coaches after losing 2 games to Kazakhstan in June last year, but in September after the change of coach, 2 home games even lost to Azerbaijan and Belarus, which was even worse! In fact, the overall framework of the team has not changed much, that is, several players in the midfield have been replaced, mainly compared to the strongest period in 2021.
On the whole, Snowvak in 2019-2021 should be able to win without suspense against Bosnia and Herzegovina, but it is difficult to say now, especially after last year's UEFA Nations League, so this ball is theoretically 310 possible, but from the performance of the last round, we still prefer Bosnia-Herzegovina unbeaten. It is recommended that the first choice is 0 and the second choice is 1.
10. Northern Ireland vs Finland (1,0)
There was no doubt that the ball was evenly balanced.
Let's take a look at some of the performances of the two teams in recent years, last year's UEFA Nations League matches, Finland was in the B level with Bosnia and Herzegovina, Montenegro and Romania, their 6 games in the UEFA Nations League were quite good, only lost 0:1 away to Romania and 2:3 to Bosnia and Herzegovina, and drew with these two teams at home, beating Montenegro twice, and finally finishing second in the group. After 6 matches, Finland has been relatively stable, playing 11 to 11 with their opponents.
Northern Ireland only won the game at home to Kosovo in last year's UEFA Nations League, or 2:1 reversal, playing very hard! In addition, their 0-1 home defeat to Greece was a tie, and a 2-2 draw at home to Cyprus was the advantage, but they were two goals behind to draw the opponent. It should be said that Northern Ireland can play the initiative on the field at home, but it is very easy to concede the goal, and all 3 home games are the first to concede.
In the 2021 World Cup European qualifiers, they drew Italy and Switzerland at home, but also drew Bulgaria, 3 games are 0:0, these 3 games can be seen that if you really want to play defense, even European powers such as Italy and Switzerland are difficult to break their doors, but as long as they play offensive, it is equally difficult to break Bulgaria's doors. On the contrary, when they attack, they are often the easiest to concede the ball. Finland in the World Cup qualifiers, can draw away from Ukraine, can win Bosnia and Herzegovina, also performed well, they are able to attack and defend, more comprehensive than Northern Ireland.
The reference for these 2 years of competition is more meaningful, because the players have not changed much. In the last round, Finland was undoubtedly doing well, as we mentioned earlier, away against Denmark to be able to hold the draw until 81 minutes, absolutely S class team can do it, but Finland is at most an A class team, A+ is more difficult. Northern Ireland faced San Marino in the last away game, in fact, there is not much to see, because the opponent is too weak, but from the perspective of only playing a 2-0, it shows that Northern Ireland is still not good at attacking.
On the whole, this ball is definitely 310 possible, but from the perspective of the last 2 years, Finland's overall performance is still better than Northern Ireland, plus against Denmark can hold 81 minutes, and Hradecki showed the last game, we still prefer Finland unbeaten.
PS. Whether it is a stable area, a boldness zone or an unpopular area, etc., the selection and analysis of the competition in any area only represents personal opinions. As a preview of the game, it must be predictive, so please also look at it rationally, whether red or black, we are just a spectator, no thanks, do not blame, the chess is in you, there is no regret.
Finally, what I want to say to you is:
1. Get your mindset right.
2. Do what you can.
3. Enjoy the game.
Hope this article can help you~
Disclaimer: This article is a personal football point of view, and the article is limited to learning and communication use. The author is not responsible for the investment decisions made because of the influence of this article, and also recommends that you buy lottery tickets offline.