#头条创作挑战赛 #
Halfway through the NBA schedule, many teams have played about 45 games, and the pattern is gradually becoming clearer. In the West, there were 2 30+ winning teams leading in the gear, while in the East, the Celtics also became the only team, and as many as 4 teams in the second group were difficult to divide. And halfway through the season, foreign media FiveThirtyEight also updated the probability of winning the championship in time: 3% for the Warriors, 5% for the Bucks, and up to 26% for the first team
8 teams under 0.1%: Wizards, Pacers, Thunder, Magic, Wasp, Spurs, Pistons, Rockets
They're all young teams or bad teams, with the Pacers currently having the highest win percentage with 23 wins, and the Thunder are expected to compete for a playoff run. But basically everyone on the team doesn't have much playoff experience, so they are destined to pay tuition.
10 teams greater than 0.1% and less than 1%: Bulls, Raptors, Trail Blazers 0.1%, Kings Jazz 0.3%, Clippers 0.5%, Lakers, Timberwolves, Knicks 0.8%, Hawks 0.9%
The more the Clippers look at it, the more unreliable it becomes, and Lu is under a lot of pressure, but the situation is that he is no longer suitable to coach the Clippers and may become the next coach after class, which is a relief for both sides. The Lakers haven't dropped out too much with Davis injured, and there's still hope they can get back to the playoffs.
8 teams greater than 1% less than 10%: Pelicans Cavaliers Mavericks 2%, Nets Warriors 3%, Suns 4%, Heat Bucks 5%
The Pelicans are limited mainly by injuries, Ingram and Williamson, and neither attendance is high. Although the Cavaliers are strong, the offense is not yet top-level, especially the three-point shooting is only the lower level of the league, and the Lone Ranger relies too much on Doncic. The Warriors' away win rate this season is too low, the Nets suffered four consecutive losses without Durant, and they risk repeating the tragedy of last season, overdrawing Duou early for a playoff spot, and then going out early in the playoffs.
The Suns also have a poor record, but with Booker's return, everything can be solved. The Heat's defense is strong, but the offensive end is really not flattering, and trading can change the status quo of weak scoring firepower. Middleton's form will determine whether the Bucks can compete for the championship again, and he will no longer be an All-Star level when he returns from injury.
4 teams greater than 10%: 76ers 10%, Nuggets 14%, Grizzlies 20%, Celtics 26%
Embiid has been improving his performance, he rushed back to the third place in the MVP list, the 76ers are very strong, there are many physically strong players, the defense is top, there are Embiid and Harden on the offensive end, and they have shown competitiveness after four straight away wins.
The Nuggets won 8 straight games, Jokic is getting better and better, it is possible to play 3 consecutive MVPs, and even the miracle of triple-doubles on the field may be repeated, and the Nuggets' defense has also improved greatly, no longer the former colander team. The Grizzlies have an 11-game winning streak, Morant and Bane are both excellent, but don't forget 3J Jackson, who averages 3.1 blocks per game and leads by first place on the DPOY list.
The highest probability of winning the title is the Celtics, who as last season's finals team, they still maintain a strong desire for the title. In the top five of the league on both ends of the offensive and defensive ends, Tatum and Brown are playing their best form of their careers, and the Green Army has reinforcement chips, and one trade exception and injury exception will allow them to do whatever they want in the buyout market.