Author: Sasha
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Will war cause famine and plague? War is death from hunger! Sasha Q&A Episode 175
Let's talk about famine first.
History from ancient times to the present tells us that war inevitably brings famine,
Modern famine is different from ancient times. Famine is not the absence of food, but the inability to process raw grain into food, the inability to transport food to every common people.
People may think that eating is a very simple thing, which is nothing more than going to the supermarket or vegetable market to buy rice, vegetables and meat.
You have to know that the people simply buy it, and there is a huge logistics system behind it to serve you.
In the case of vegetables from vegetable farms, for example, they must first be purchased from vegetable farmers, transported to regional warehouses, and then transported by truck to large vegetable markets, and then distributed to different customers such as retailers and supermarkets in the vegetable farm. These customers then use their own means of transportation, such as trucks and vans, to transport to retail locations.
If nothing else is said here, transportation in the jump chain is scary enough.
We have the largest "vegetable basket" in Nanjing called Zhongcai Market, which has 80,000 traffic in and out every day at its peak, and more than 30,000 every day.
If there is a war, the enemy will blow up a few roads and bridges at random, the traffic will be cut off, and the 80,000 vehicles will quickly disappear.
Then, even if there are countless vegetables in the vegetable farmland, the common people in the city have no food to eat.
This is true for vegetables, as well as for other daily necessities, including food.
In the event of war, shortages of these supplies are inevitable.
Some people say that I can stock up on some in advance, for example, I can buy a few bags of rice, white noodles, and at least eat them for a while.
The point is that wars are not necessarily short-term wars, for example, the Iran-Iraq war lasted for nearly 10 years, and the point you hoard is probably not enough. And after the outbreak of any war, the vast majority of ordinary people will not be able to hoard much material. When ordinary people really start to hoard, materials have long been difficult to buy.
Let's think about the masks in the early days of the new crown epidemic. By the time ordinary people started hoarding masks, they simply couldn't buy them.
Let's talk about the plague again.
During any war, there will be plague.
Many people do not know that even developed countries in Europe and the United States usually have various small-scale infectious disease epidemics in China.
Why don't infectious diseases in Europe and the United States spread as rapidly as Africa and ravage everywhere for a long time?
Developed countries have complete medical systems that can quickly control small-scale infectious diseases.
For example, in recent years, Inner Mongolia has had plague intermittently. In ancient times, this could have turned into a huge plague that swept through the steppe.
Because of the effective local prevention and control measures, the plague did not spread, the impact was small, and the number of deaths was small.
When war breaks out, the health care system will collapse or be overwhelmed in the first place, and small epidemics will become larger in an instant.
Something like plague, if you get it under control, it's not a big deal, and the death toll may be in the double digits. If you don't control it, or don't control it at all, the consequences are terrible.
The Soviet Civil War killed 15 million people, one-tenth of the population at the time.
But not all of these 15 million died from gunfire or famine; a significant number died of infectious diseases.
Due to the severe damage caused by the civil war, the Soviet civilian medical system completely collapsed, and various infectious diseases were rampant.
In 1920 alone, 3 million Soviets died of the terrible typhus, and cholera caused a staggering death.
Once war breaks out, it is the people who are the most unlucky.
People with money and power can minimize the damage caused by the war to themselves, and even run directly abroad.
Where are ordinary people running? Only bear all the pain of war.
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