Remember the unspoken US President Trump? He stepped down for a year and a half, is still active in the American political arena, and now, he may be coming back...
DeSantis and Trump
On November 7, former US Republican President Trump announced on the eve of the midterm elections that he would make a major statement on November 15, and it was expected that the real estate tycoon would likely confirm the rumors that had been rumored for weeks and officially announced his candidacy for the 2024 election to challenge the presidency of the White House again. The midterm elections were voted on the 8th, the Republican Party was menacing, and Trump's move made himself the focus of attention again. However, the Republican Party has emerged a "Trump terminator, and the current Florida Governor DeSantis has become Trump's strong opponent in the party, will he prevent Trump's comeback?"
>> big statement
Trump is going to announce a comeback?
Entangled in lawsuits, he intends to fight again in 2024
Former US President Trump said on the 7th that he will make a very significant statement on the 15th, and it is expected that he will enter the 2024 White House campaign. He has never accepted his defeat in the 2020 presidential election, and has hinted for months that he is ready to make a comeback, and has repeatedly shouted at fans in recent days.
On November 3, Trump told a campaign in Sioux City, Iowa: "In order for our country to be successful, safe, and brilliant, I am very, very, very likely to run again." I just want to tell you: get ready, the time has come, get ready. He also mentioned: "They search Mar-a-Lago Manor, can you imagine?" The fans booed.
Trump told excited fans in Latrobe, Pennsylvania, on November 5, "I'm not going to announce it today, but I promise you that I'll make you very happy after a short, short, short time." ”
Two years ago, Trump lost the election campaign to Biden, and he never admitted that he lost in 2020, and his attempt to make a comeback in 2024 has been expected. In this year's midterm elections, Trump endorsed dozens of Republican candidates in order to further deepen his influence on the Republican Party. If the Republican Party wins the battle on the 8th and regains control of Congress, Trump will be more confident in his comeback.
According to the report, Trump has begun recruiting teams for the election campaign. According to people familiar with the matter, the reason why Trump chose to announce his candidacy for president on November 15 is to announce it after the Republican Party has won the expected victory in the midterm elections.
But some Republicans hope that the 76-year-old Trump will give up his candidacy and find someone to run for president again. His fearful personal style has resented many moderate Republican voters, and he is riddled with lawsuits.
According to the report, if Trump announces his candidacy, it will complicate a series of judicial investigations he faces, including the criminal investigation of the US Department of Justice into his improper storage of confidential government information at Mar-a-Lago in Florida, as well as multiple lawsuits for commercial fraud and interference in election work. Republicans, however, believe prosecutors are unlikely to prosecute Trump if he formally runs. Republican strategist Reid said: "Indict a presidential candidate? You'd better be hard at the proof. It was a field that no one had ever tested. ”
DeSantis and Trump
>> strong enemy in the party
The governor of Florida is backed by Musk
Known as "Trump's heir and terminator"
Trump's aides believe that his early announcement of his candidacy will deter other Republicans interested in winning the 2024 presidential campaign, but it is unlikely to clear the party's battlefield. Trump's main opponent is Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who is looking forward to a big victory in the gubernatorial re-election campaign on the 8th, and has been reluctant to commit to a second four-year term.
In 2017, DeSantis won the post of governor of Florida with Trump's support. Now, he is Trump's strongest opponent. Conservative DeSantis is on the rise and may compete for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination and become a fierce rival with Trump for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination.
Trump, 75, also sees DeSantis, 43, as a party rival. Privately, whenever the 2024 election is mentioned, he always lashes out at the governor and acts very angry.
DeSantis and wife
According to the report, Florida Governor DeSantis is known as the "Trump with brains", and the momentum in the midterm elections in the United States continues to rise, and he is also known as "Trump's heir and terminator". Moreover, he has the support of Musk, the world's richest man, and has received more than $100 million in political donations in June this year, the highest among all candidates in the United States.
DeSantis, 43, is the most watched political rising star in this year's U.S. midterm elections. During the pandemic, DeSantis made Florida the first state in the United States to lift the lockdown ban, lifting the mask ban as early as 2020, allowing students to attend classes freely, allowing businesses to operate normally, and then the infection and death rates in Florida climbed due to the spread of the Delta variant, but the public still highly supported his liberal policies. In June this year, he won the attention of many people for surpassing Trump in the party.
Born in a middle-class family in Florida, DeSantis was a top student from an early age, and he relied on his excellent academic performance to enter the history department of Yale University and finally to Harvard Law School.
DeSantis is also a "war hero." At the age of 26, he joined the U.S. Navy, where he served as legal adviser to the commander of the Navy SEALs and was awarded several war medals that could only be received from birth to death on the front line.
He was also a baseball star and captained the baseball team at Yale.
The New Yorker magazine described DeSantis as a high-intensity workaholic, a tough academic elite, a nanoscale grasp of policy details, and fast and precise action, he is the 'Trump with brains.'"
Trump blessed him when he ran for governor of Florida, but if the two are separated this year, will DeSantis' rise be sustainable? Can he stop Trump's comeback?
>> there has been a precedent
Cleveland lost his re-election as president
Four years later, he made a comeback and was elected
In modern America, no former president has made a comeback. The only success story in American political history is that of U.S. President Cleveland, who lost re-election in 1888 but made a comeback four years later and was elected, giving up three re-election runs in 1896. But under the Twenty-second Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, passed in 1951, which sets a term limit for U.S. presidents, Trump can only serve one full term if he wins the 2024 election.
Trump
Trump's aides noted that he believes he can beat Biden in a second matchup. Last summer, the Biden administration's withdrawal from Afghanistan caused chaos, and Trump began to think more and more seriously about making a comeback. The withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan, the coronavirus missteps, high oil prices, worsening inflation and other factors have weakened Biden's support.
Biden is about to turn 80 and is currently facing questions from the party about whether he is the best presidential candidate for 2024. Biden has said he will run for re-election and has vowed to defeat Trump again. He has been reluctant to mention Trump publicly since taking office, but now often names Trump as a threat to American democracy.
A Wall Street Journal poll at the end of October showed that if 2024 is still Biden and Trump, Trump's polls will gradually prevail, Biden's support has slipped from 45% to 43%, and the public's favorability of Trump's performance in the administration has climbed from 44% to 49%.
In this year's midterm elections, Trump endorsed dozens of candidates in order to further deepen his influence on the Republican Party. If the Republican Party wins the battle on the 8th and regains control of Congress, Trump will be more confident in his comeback.
The latest poll conducted by the US media on the midterm elections shows that the Republican Party has a 55% chance of winning the majority of the federal senate, and the chance of regaining control of the federal house of the federal house is as high as 84%, which is almost a foregone conclusion. Republicans have a 54 percent chance of winning both houses of the House and Senate at the same time, while Democrats have a 15 percent chance of keeping both chambers. However, the help of midterm election results for Trump's election depends on the proportion of candidates he supports.
Huashang Daily Gale News reporter Guo Ji compiled and edited by Dong Lin
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