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Give it up! Use science to tell you that "a sheep is a sheep" and you will never pass the second level

author:The lord of the city

"Sheep a sheep" is very hot, everyone is very familiar, will not introduce. Anyway, I didn't dare to play before going to bed, played more than a hundred times, the second level could not go, I was so angry that I dropped my mobile phone, is it you?

I can tell you very responsibly that this game has no strategies and skills to speak of, and whether you can pass the level is basically based on luck, why? I'll explain it mathematically, the calculations aren't necessarily accurate, but they illustrate the problem.

Give it up! Use science to tell you that "a sheep is a sheep" and you will never pass the second level

First look at the basic configuration of this game, a total of 9 kinds of pictures, a total of 7 empty seats, 3 groups can be eliminated.

The opening is like the picture above, there are a total of 25 cards to choose, that is, choose 3 of the 25 cards to be the same. At this time, the 7 spaces are empty and can be placed at will. Then you can find three identical cards, so that the probability of successfully eliminating a group is 1/3*1/3*1/3*25= 92.5%. The probability is very high, so, as soon as you come up, there is no need to flop, and the possibility of quickly eliminating many cards is very large.

However, the cascading relationship between cards is carefully designed, and after the upper deck is removed, the lower deck of the card can be flipped significantly reduced. It will become like this in the picture below.

Give it up! Use science to tell you that "a sheep is a sheep" and you will never pass the second level

In the figure above, there are only 7 candidate cards, and the probability of the same 3 cards will become 1/3*1/3*1/3*7=26%. The probability drops significantly, so it is naturally not easy to make up the number of cards. At this time, you may need to open the upper deck and let the lower deck leak out. If you flip two cards to move three identical cards, the probability of making a full hand increases, but because you take up the spare card, the likelihood of making up a foot in the next round will be more significantly reduced. At this time, your game is about to enter a dead end, whether you can break through the dead end, basically rely on luck, not look at skill.

Give it up! Use science to tell you that "a sheep is a sheep" and you will never pass the second level

If you're lucky enough to get into this state, or even the limit state of the last lap, where each card overlaps and only one card is available (I've seen it once and forgot to take a screenshot), then the time has come to win the lottery. If you only need one card, the probability of exactly selecting the card you need is 1/9=11%. If you need two identical cards, the probability is 1/9*1/9 = 1.2%. If you want three cards to appear in a row at the same time, the probability is 1/9*1/9*1/9=0.14%.

That's why, this game is going to force you to die at the end. In fact, the design of the whole game is indeed full of routines. Every opening will make you feel as good as chopping melons and chopping vegetables. And the fewer cards left, the closer you get to victory, the lowest probability will be used to prevent you from completing the level. So that you "the more you don't get it, the more you want it", making you feel that "the next time you can pass the customs".

When I saw the "each card overlaps each other and there is only one optional card" that I mentioned above, I began to wonder about the design motives of this game. It does not let the player pass the sincerity, but deliberately let the player can not pass the level, so as to achieve their own purposes, everything is carefully designed, its popularity is not accidental.

You can say that there are also people who have passed the customs? Yeah, isn't the sports lottery also won? In terms of probability, the probability of passing the customs of "sheep is a sheep" is still higher than that of buying lottery tickets, but it does not mean that you are the lucky one. From the perspective of probability, only a large number of continuous attempts can accumulate probabilities, so if you want to pass the level, you have to accumulate a lot of time. If the probability of completing a level is 0.1%, then if you try 1000 times, there may be a chance of success. But there is also a rule in probability, that is, out of the 1,000 attempts you try, the probability of success is 0.1% for each.

When you fight day and night in "Sheep a Sheep", the real purpose of this game is achieved - "advertising player".

Believe in science, stay away from the sheep, and so on, everything that makes your efforts unrequited.