1. Comprehensive ranking of search popularity
In the 34th week, the top 15 agricultural products in the search popularity of the Huinong network platform were mainly distributed in four categories, such as livestock meat and eggs (7), fruits (4), vegetables (2) and grain, oil and rice noodles (2), compared with the 33rd week, the number of categories under grain, oil and rice noodles increased by 1, and the number of categories under aquatic products decreased by 1.
From the perspective of month-on-month growth, the market attention of the top 15 agricultural product categories in the 34th week was mainly rising. Search popularity increased in nine categories, including live chicken, pear, apple, sweet potato and egg, while search popularity in six categories, including grapes, chicken fry, peppers, watermelon and beef, declined. Specifically subdivided into categories, the market attention of eggs increased by 17% month-on-month; The biggest drop in the attention of watermelons was 50%.
In terms of rankings, eggs and rice moved forward 2 places to 10th and 15th places respectively, and grapes, chicken seedlings, live chickens and peppers moved forward 1 place to 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th places respectively; The watermelon rank moved back 4 places to 5th, and the live sheep and live cattle moved back 1 place to 11th and 12th places respectively; The remaining six categories, including pears, apples, beef, sweet potatoes, dried corn and live duck, were ranked in line with last week.
2. The market pays attention to popular categories
2.1 Market hot search categories
According to the huinong network platform on the livestock meat and eggs, aquatic products, vegetables and fruits of the four major agricultural products monitoring and tracking, in the 34th week, livestock meat eggs, aquatic products and vegetables ranked in the top 2 categories as last week, only the ranking of fruits has been adjusted: grapes ranked first, watermelon popularity fell sharply, ranking back to 2nd.
2.2 Market potential search category
In terms of the increase in the popular search category in the market, in the 34th week, the popularity of grapefruit continued to rise, leading the rise for two consecutive weeks with an absolute advantage of 47%, followed by hairy crabs, with an increase of 26%.
In terms of major categories, in terms of livestock meat and eggs, eggs lead other categories, and pork ranks second; In terms of aquatic products, hairy crabs have the fastest growth in popularity, followed by oysters; In terms of vegetables, ginger and pumpkin went hand in hand, ranking first and second place respectively; In terms of fruits, grapefruit dominates the list, followed by kiwifruit.
3. The supply and demand relationship of popular categories
Analyze the supply and demand relationship of popular categories on the Huinong network platform: the supply of peppers, watermelons, grapefruit and hairy crabs is relatively tight; Live chicken, kiwifruit, eggs, ginger, fry, pumpkin, pork, oysters and crayfish are relatively well supplied; The supply and demand for grapes, sweet potatoes and chicken seedlings is relatively stable.
4. Popular categories and grain and oil price trends
4.1 Livestock meat and eggs: chicken seedlings, eggs prices are stable and rising
Chicken fry prices were boosted by the live chicken market, the market rose slightly for many consecutive weeks, and in the 34th week, the price of chicken fry was 2.9 yuan / piece, which was basically flat 1% from last week.
Schools around the country have opened one after another, the demand for school canteens to prepare goods has increased, and at the same time, near the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day, the demand for egg consumption has also increased compared with the previous period, so that multiple demands have pulled the egg price upward adjustment. This week, the price of eggs was 7.2 yuan / catty, up 1% month-on-month.
4.2 Aquatic products: the crayfish market has stabilized at a high level, and hairy crabs have stopped rising and falling
Boosted by the consumer demand of tourist night markets in the early stage, the market price of crayfish has generally shown an upward trend. However, in recent weeks, the demand for crayfish has declined, and the price rally has stabilized, and the price this week is 23 yuan / catty, a slight increase of 1% month-on-month.
This year, since the listing of "June Yellow", the hairy crab market has risen steadily, but this week the price of hairy crabs has pulled back by 4%, and the average weekly price is 38.1 yuan / catty.
4.3 Vegetables: The price of chili peppers continued to fall, and the price of ginger fell
In the past 3 months, the overall price of pepper showed an inverted "V" trend of first rising and then falling, and the price of pepper was affected by many factors such as production cuts and weather in the early stage, but the acceptance of high-priced peppers in the terminal market was limited, and since 30 weeks, pepper prices have stopped rising and falling. In the 34th week, the price of pepper was 1.6 yuan / catty, which continued to decline by 2% month-on-month.
In the first two weeks, affected by the weather in the place of origin and market operation behavior, ginger prices rose continuously in the short term, up to 10% last week, but the current supply of ginger market is overall sufficient, and ginger prices fell back to 0.8 yuan / kg this week, down 7% month-on-month.
4.4 Fruits: The prices of grapes and watermelons have risen together
From the platform data, the current grape procurement heat is slightly higher than the supply heat, the price is stable and rising, the 34th week, the grape price is 4.3 yuan / catty, up 3% month-on-month.
According to the origin of the broker released by the origin of the dynamics show that the recent watermelon listing volume compared with the previous period slightly reduced, the merchants procurement enthusiasm is high, the market goods are relatively fast, the overall price of watermelon remains at 0.7 yuan / kg around the range of fluctuations, this week the price of watermelon rose 3% to 0.72 yuan / kg.
4.5 Grain: Rice and wheat are stable, and the price of dry corn continues to fall
4.6 Edible oil: Rapeseed oil prices fell slightly, soybean oil market rose, peanut oil market is stable
5. Origin broker after-market forecast
According to the prediction of the market after the market of popular categories by the broker of the place of origin: the after-market market of chicken fry, crayfish, pepper and grape is mainly stable, and the proportion of stability is 94.4%, 77.1%, 74.4% and 71.9% respectively.