According to the demographic statistics released by the Japanese Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare on the same day, the number of newborns in Japan in the first half of 2022 (January to June) was 384942, a decrease of more than 20,000 people from the same period last year, which was the lowest value since 2000 and less than 400,000 for the first time, and the number of newborns in Japan was only 811604 last year, which was the lowest number of births since 1899, and the decline was far more than expected.
Yes, Japan may really be "no one," said Japan's Chief Cabinet Secretary, Hiroshi Matsuno, who said a reduction in the birth rate "could shake the foundations of social and economic development," promising to make addressing the problem a top priority for the government.
Generally speaking, from the age of women of childbearing age, 30 to 34-year-old women are the main force of fertility in Japan, they have a total of 292,000 people, the largest number, but 40-44-year-old women also gave birth to 28,000 people, "advanced maternal age" is increasing year by year, young do not give birth, old squeezed toothpaste, this is Japan's fertility circle.
Japan's fertility rate peaked for a period of time in the 1950s and 1960s, and then began to decline rapidly in the 1970s. On the mainland, there were two baby booms in the 1960s and 1980s, and then fertility rates began to decline rapidly from the 1990s.
That is to say, there is a delay of about two decades between the aging process of the mainland and the aging process of Japan, and Japan's current population structure, large and small, is already a heavy aging.
China's current demographic structure is actually good:
But twenty years later it's like another Japan:
Although the Japanese economy has been stagnant for many years, but the people are still a developed country with a per capita GDP of about 40,000 US dollars, and China's current per capita GDP is only 12,500 US dollars, they have a surplus for the pension, and we may become the first to be rich, the pension may become a problem, coupled with the unspoken rules of the workplace, people who do not collude with the same stream do not even have the opportunity to retire This kind of thing, it is really common.
Therefore, at present, the mainland's various measures to alleviate aging, no matter what three-child birth subsidies, or advocate the reemployment of the elderly, can not fundamentally cope with the aging crisis, only through industrial upgrading to make China's economy bigger and stronger, is the real and only hope, the "rich" to implement into the pocket of everyone who lives well, rather than becoming the private pocket of capital games and capital tools.
Don't dare to talk about the distribution issue, everyone understands what I mean.
As for the reasons, it is biased towards clichés:
Affected by the epidemic, many people have postponed or cancelled their marriage plans, and the number of marriage registrations in Japan in 2020 has also decreased by 12% compared with before the epidemic, and the analysis believes that the high cost of childbirth and the heavy economic burden are the primary reasons why Japanese people are reluctant to have children, because Japanese housewives are not a member, but an identity, or even a type of work.
This kind of meticulous calculation is not something that illiterate housewives can do, and there are no more elite women in Japan who can be housewives, and their ledgers, due to a big drama of investment finance, let them fight uncertain battles, and there is no door.
Japan has also made some "efforts" to stimulate population growth, such as the promulgation of the Basic Law on Social Countermeasures for Low Birthrates in Japan, which clearly proposes to strengthen childcare policies. In October 2019, a series of measures such as free kindergarten admission and nursery school enrollment were implemented, and a series of measures such as subsidies for low-income newlywed families and the inclusion of infertility treatment in medical insurance were introduced; In December 2020, there was even an "artificial intelligence matching program" launched to help marriage agencies find more suitable partners for young people.
However, the actual effect of these measures is difficult to say ideal, has not fundamentally curbed the trend of Japan's population decline, just free admission to the park, just to issue subsidies, free treatment of infertility and other measures, just like the tricks of fooling adults, we look at the domestic those who take the service to go to school to how poor, how much information to submit to achieve, the key is that there are even very wealthy people rely on the relationship to take the state subsidies, similar things are not in the minority, in the final analysis, to have a child needs if not a small amount of money, This squeezed toothpaste seems to be an irritating measure, and nothing is stimulated.
Some research institutions estimate that by 2025, the proportion of The elderly population in Japan will reach 30%, and in 2040 it will reach 35.3%... The aging of the population has "spawned" another data: last year, the employment rate of Japan's elderly population was 24.9%, an increase for 8 consecutive years, ranking the highest level in the world.
Because Japan's per capita GDP is high, social treatment is not bad, so Japan's aging population are relatively long-lived, the so-called elderly population employment rate increased, and ranked at a higher level in the world, not that Japan's elderly are miserable, then old to go to work, no, is because they are too long-lived, but also too healthy, can only find something for themselves to do.
In short, more than 100 million people in Japan, about 800,000 people a year, we have about 1.4 billion people, about 10 million a year, not much higher, it is recommended that experts go to Japan to suggest that they have two, three, four children, this kind of blessing do not always think of giving their own people.