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The Taiwan military fired the "first shot," the mainland UAV entered the Golden Gate again, and the Taiwan military fired live ammunition to "drive away."

author:Professor Liu Chaoxun

According to the Taiwan Strait Network, four mainland drones entered kinmen at the same time for filming, and the Taiwan military fired signal bombs to "drive away" according to the procedure. One of the mainland drones continued to circle after receiving a warning from the Taiwan military, and the Taiwan military then chose to fire a warning of live fire. This is the first time since the mainland's drone entered Kinmen that the Taiwan military has "driven away" it through live-fire.

Previously, a number of drones on the mainland had entered Kinmen and taken close-up photographs of the Taiwan military post barracks, which attracted widespread attention on the island. The way the Taiwan army threw stones was ridiculed by many parties, and some people on the island ridiculed the Taiwan army for returning to the "Stone Age." However, the follow-up Taiwan defense department quickly said that it has formulated countermeasures, and in the future, it will respond to the mainland's drones by broadcasting away, firing signal bombs and even "shooting down" live ammunition. When inspecting the Taiwan military in the past few days, Tsai Ing-wen also said that she has ordered that the mainland drones have been attacking and disturbing Kinmen for several days, and the Taiwan military can "take a strong countermeasure at an appropriate time to defend the security of the airspace."

The Taiwan military fired the "first shot," the mainland UAV entered the Golden Gate again, and the Taiwan military fired live ammunition to "drive away."

Today, the Taiwan military has indeed catered to the intentions of the superiors and responded with live fire, but it has not "shot down." This has also attracted ridicule from netizens on the island, who have ridiculed that the instructions received by the Taiwan military are "only allowed to shoot, not to shoot."

Shooting at civilian drones is fundamentally different from shooting at PLA drones. As for civilian drones on the mainland, as long as the Taiwan military does not shoot them down with live ammunition, it is unlikely to trigger a direct conflict between the two sides of the strait. However, if the Taiwan military fires at the PLA drone, it means that "the first shot is fired," which will be extremely bad in nature and is very likely to cause serious consequences. However, in the past few days, the mainland drones that have entered Kinmen many times are likely to come from the civilian population, because for the People's Liberation Army, the means to find out the defense deployment of Kinmen are rich and diverse, but it is unlikely to be in this way.

The Taiwan military fired the "first shot," the mainland UAV entered the Golden Gate again, and the Taiwan military fired live ammunition to "drive away."

In fact, the Taiwan military's shooting of the mainland's drones is just a political show. If the UAV is in motion, it is difficult to shoot down with live ammunition, and if the Taiwan military really intends to shoot down the mainland civilian UAV, it should use the UAV jammer or interception net. At the industrial level of Taiwan, it is not difficult to produce jamming equipment for civilian drones, and even if you don't have it, you can also purchase it in the international market.

The Fundamental Reason Why the Taiwan Authorities Clamor for Countermeasures, But They Clearly Have The Ability but Not Shoot Down the Mainland Drone Is That the Taiwan Authorities Are Worried About Attracting a Military Response from the People's Liberation Army. Therefore, the green media on the island rendered the Taiwan army firing the first shot, the purpose of which was to create its own "tough" image on the island.

The Taiwan military fired the "first shot," the mainland UAV entered the Golden Gate again, and the Taiwan military fired live ammunition to "drive away."

This incident also reflects that the situation in the Taiwan Strait has entered a brand-new stage, the confrontation between the two sides of the strait will become more and more intense, and the risk of shooting off the gun is higher than ever. In the face of the PLA's step-by-step advance, the Taiwan authorities have exhausted their words, but they dare not make any substantive provocative moves. This is because the Taiwan authorities know very well that as long as they provoke once, the mainland will take a step forward on the Taiwan Strait issue. If the Taiwan military dares to shoot down civilian unmanned aerial vehicles on the mainland, it may be replaced by manned warplanes if they fly over kinmen in the future.

Faced with the dilemma, Taiwan's "defense department" said that it is stepping up the purchase of unmanned aerial vehicle defense systems, but it will not be deployed on the outlying islands until next year. In addition, the Taiwan authorities also plan to purchase the US military's "Sea Guardian" unmanned aerial vehicle, but it will not be until 2028 to form combat effectiveness. This also shows that the Taiwan authorities are not ready to face the new status quo in the Taiwan Strait.

The Taiwan military fired the "first shot," the mainland UAV entered the Golden Gate again, and the Taiwan military fired live ammunition to "drive away."

Compared with the Taiwan authorities, we should be more vigilant against the movements of the United States on the Taiwan issue, because the United States is the main driver of the escalation of the situation in the Taiwan Strait. What is certain is that the Taiwan authorities are very clear that the Taiwan military is not an opponent of the People's Liberation Army, and as long as the Taiwan authorities still have a trace of rationality, they dare not shoot the first shot. However, if the United States forces the Taiwan authorities to detonate the situation in the Taiwan Strait, the possibility of the Taiwan military firing the first shot is not impossible.

At the beginning, on the matter of Pelosi's channeling, the Taiwan authorities were also worried that it would cause a strong reaction from the mainland and wanted to withdraw the invitation, but under Pelosi's reprimand, they still insisted on inviting him to channel. It can be seen that on the Taiwan issue, the Taiwan authorities simply do not have much say in speaking.