Watching Pelosi calmly step off the plane, I believe that everyone is very angry, in the Internet age, live video makes the anger more direct and intense.
After two days of calming down, I found that this anger was mainly because I was too optimistic before, in fact, if I think about it a little, I will understand that in peacetime, directly beating down other people's national leaders is indeed very outrageous, and it is not in line with the mainland's upright style of doing things.
However, this can not blame Lao Hu, according to the external propaganda, some people sing red face and some people sing white face, that is to say, there are hawks and doves, such a propaganda effect will be better.
However, the mainland's foreign communication window is official, and the words spoken represent the official caliber, and it is difficult to come out with a big mouth parliamentarian like Europe and the United States, and dare to say anything, so it is difficult for the old Hu, and often say something out of the ordinary.
The publicity work can be slowly improved, but the overall exposure of overly optimistic emotions can be summed up!
First, can it really win quickly?
For Frog Island, there has always been a view on the Internet that "once it is started, the battle will be calculated in hours", and there is also the saying that "the expedition is carried out on Friday, the ID card is issued on the weekend, and the work is normal on Monday", which means that the Taiwan army is vulnerable and can be quickly taken down.
He is not a military professional, and he does not dare to say that these views are not correct, but he just feels that it is no problem for public opinion warfare to say so, so he is suspicious, if he really brings this optimism to his work, he will not be able to cause problems.
In October 1949, our army continuously swept away the remnants of the enemy in Fujian, and under a state of optimism, quickly launched a campaign to attack Kinmen, due to the lack of preparation of the ships, the local tidal currents were not very familiar, after the vanguard troops landed on the island, most of the ships were stranded on the beach, and the follow-up troops could not go up, and could only do a hurry.
In the absence of supplies, the landing troops fought for three days, and finally ran out of ammunition, the whole army was destroyed, and an entire division was lost, which was also unique in the history of our army.
It can be seen that sometimes it is true that wars can be won by surprise, but most of the time, it is still necessary to be cautious and do a solid job.
A few months ago, the Russian army raided the Ukrainian capital, airdropped two or three hundred paratroopers, all of them are the elite of the elite, very capable of fighting, but the airdrop is the Jedi, surrounded by the Ukrainian army, the situation is very dangerous ... Fortunately, Kiev was only more than a hundred kilometers from the border, and it took more than a day for the ground troops to rescue them, but they also suffered heavy casualties.
Fighting a war is like playing chess, you are playing chess, the other side is also playing chess, and there will be unexpected situations at any time.
After the mainland openly opposed Pelosi's visit, the United States was also worried that our army would interfere with the action, so it made two tactical changes, one was to change the first stop of the visit from Japan to Singapore, so that it could bypass the East China Sea, which was fortified by our army. The second point is more surprising, choosing a roundabout flight route:
It took off from Malaysia and headed east, through Indonesia, and then east from the Philippines to the north.
Our army certainly knows this route, and it should have been deduced, but the question is, how to crack it?
How did our fighter jet get past?
Most of this line is relatively far away, beyond the combat radius of our military fighters, even if the carrier-based aircraft can be sent over, then Malaysia, Indonesia, and the Philippines agree to the entry of Chinese fighters?
In the previous paragraph, we sent equipment to Serbia and flew over many countries, but that was a peaceful transport mission, and now it is to intercept, it is already a military act, do these three countries agree? And they also have to face pressure from the United States.
That is to say, the US military can adopt such a flight route, behind which is decades of international operation, relying on long-term military hegemony, which the mainland does not have at this stage.
Once we land on the island, will there be any emergencies? Can it really be taken down quickly?
I'm afraid it's not that simple, the United States has been digging a pit on the island for decades!
Second, the bay is a big chess game for the United States
In order to establish diplomatic relations with China, the United States can only break diplomatic relations with the bay, but their ties have not been interrupted, in order to support the bay, the UNITED States imperialism has been through arms transactions, maintaining the balance of military power on both sides of the strait.
Once the mainland's military is a little progressive, the United States immediately sold some new equipment to Bay Bay, afraid that he could not withstand the pressure and collapsed, the mainland side just introduced three generations of fighters "Su 27", the United States let France sell 60 Mirage 2000s to Bay Bay; The mainland just got 4 Hyundai-class destroyers, and the United States sold 4 million-ton destroyers to Bay Bay, which is 1700 tons larger than the Hyundai-class.
Under The pressure of China, the equipment sold by the United States is mainly "defensive", like the 10,000-ton destroyer, which has removed a large number of naval guns and missiles and enhanced air defense and anti-submarine capabilities, but in general, the mainland equipment in the previous decades has little advantage.
However, since 2010, China's defense industry has begun to accelerate, especially in the past five or six years, it has entered an outbreak period, with the emergence of aircraft carriers, 055 and other large warships, as well as J20 stealth fighter jets and other advanced equipment, and then want to sell some arms to maintain cross-strait balance, it is impossible.
After seeing this situation, the United States made major adjustments to its cross-strait strategy.
We talked about it in the previous article, the US imperialists used to engage in "strategic ambiguity" against China, that is, they were originally good, suddenly bombing your embassy, raiding a cargo ship and the like, making people scratch their heads, in fact, they did not let you work well and interfered with your development.
The strategic ambiguity faction is the mainstream in the United States, but the clarity faction has always existed, and the representative figure is Pelosi, who from time to time causes trouble for China, opposes us to hold the Olympic Games, receive a lama and so on... Like this time the United States wants to find trouble in the bay, it is very appropriate to let Pelosi out of the horse, in line with her long-term personality temperament.
But no matter how toss, now China, can not fight, but no matter it, the development is too fast, so the strategic fuzzy faction, the clear faction is slowly not popular, there is a bunch of new people, called the strategic wear faction, they feel that "the United States itself can not fight, but can let others fight well, although the fight can not win, but can wear Down China a little is a little, which is equivalent to finding a millstone, constantly grinding China." ”
In recent years, China's surrounding Japan, South Korea, and India have all played a large or small millstone role, but they are not as good as bays together, after all, territorial unification is a top priority for any country.
Three, two large pits on the island
Millstone doctrine was originally tailor-made for China, but after 2014, the United States also began to use this trick in Russia, just this year broke out the Russian-Ukrainian War, we carefully study Ukraine, we can see clearly how the US imperialists are "how to build a millstone".
The biggest feature of the millstone is "grinding", with the mission of the maximum wear and tear of the enemy, as for its own safety is not important, to put it bluntly, it is to cause greater damage to the enemy with the courage of cannon fodder.
Understanding this, it is not surprising that the peculiar phenomena in Ukraine are not strange, such as other countries encountering dangers, usually shouting slogans such as "expel the Tatars and restore China", or "Down with Japanese imperialism, return our rivers and mountains", in short, with the goal of driving out the enemy.
But the Ukrainian painting style is not like this, but "fight to the last Ukrainian", everyone can taste a product, the subtext of this slogan is: it is not important to drive away the enemy, your own life is not important, the important thing is to kill the enemy in battle.
Under the guidance of millstone doctrine, U.S. military assistance to Ukraine did not intend to resist the enemy thousands of miles away, but to let Russian troops in and then engage in hand-to-hand combat.
For example, the United States has not given Ukrainian missiles, long-range artillery, but javelins, stingers and other individual weapons, although this thing blown into the sky, but the actual combat effect is not good, and very, very dangerous, think about it, small infantry with the flesh directly face tanks, aircraft and other large equipment, the distance is only hundreds, more than a thousand meters, this is how unreliable it is.
But the US imperialists did not care about the casualties of the millstone, at the beginning of the war, they fired guns to the common people, the army also withdrew to the city to fight street battles, using civilians as meat shields, and they hid in the crowd and in the houses to shoot cold guns.
In short, this set of tactics is no matter the cost, as long as it can kill and injure the enemy, the US Empire also gave it a nice name, hedgehog tactics.
Hedgehogs cannot win against lions and tigers, and shrink into a ball when they encounter danger, although it is inevitable to die in the end, but before dying, as long as they can pierce the mouth and claws of lions and tigers with a few holes.
Now the United States also has to engage in hedgehog tactics in Frog Island, and in May this year, the 155 mm artillery ordered in Bay Bay was stopped, and they were replaced by stingers and javelins, which means that Bay Bay should not engage in any heavy artillery bombardment, just attack closely, and be at ease as a millstone, "fighting to the last Taiwanese."
If street fighting and hand-to-hand combat cannot stop our army's attack, the United States will have a more ruthless move, dividing the north and the south.
There is a river in the middle of Frog Island, called Turbid Water Creek, which runs east-west, where the red line is located in the picture below, and this river divides the bay into two parts, north and south.
Don't think it's called "creek", just look down on it, in fact, it looks like this:
Turbid water creek is not small at all, it is the largest river in Frog Island, the amount of water is abundant, although the length is only more than 180 kilometers, but the drop is more than 3,000 meters, the water resources are very rich, there are currently 5 reservoirs and power stations.
This river is also the north-south dividing line of the bay, with a subtropical climate in the north and a tropical climate in the south, which is a small graben.
Students who have paid attention to Frog Island before should know that the independence forces on the island are mainly in the south, and the north is slightly more unified, and the United States has also made full use of this, building some fortifications south of Muddy Water Creek, and if the war is unfavorable in the future, it can be defended in the south.
You can see that the Support of the United States for the Bay bay is not as simple as selling some arms, but has been working on the island for many years and digging two big pits.
However, although the US imperialist plan is perfect, it still lacks the last east wind, and it is impossible to run completely.
What's going on here?
The Nazis? Already around
What the US empire lacks is people, and no matter how perfect the plan is, it must be implemented by someone.
Due to historical reasons, the backbone of the Taiwan military was the Kuomintang that was defeated from the mainland, and although some localization has been done for so many years, the main body is still those "provincial people." The United States has always felt that they identify with national reunification in their hearts, and if there is a war in the future, it is likely to defect.
It is not that the US imperialists are suspicious, it is indeed because they have suffered great losses.
In 2014, the United States instigated a color revolution in Ukraine to oust the pro-Russian president, but there were also a large number of pro-Russian personnel in the Ukrainian army, and there were mutinies in many places for a time, the most violent of which was Crimea.
Now it is generally believed that the Russian army engaged in a surprise attack and took Crimea, in fact, it is not, Crimea was the first only pro-Russian military leader to rise up, found more than 200 pro-Russian soldiers in the Ukrainian army, occupied the Crimean government and airport, 1 day later, the Russian Black Sea Fleet began to move, 2 days later the Russian army was officially stationed.
After the United States suffered a loss, it began to cultivate a family, and they formed the Ukrainian National Guard according to the standards of the United States National Guard, saying that it was a reserve force, but in fact the weapons and equipment were the best, which was the infamous Azov battalion, a Nazismized force.
The reason why they are called Nazis is not only because the Azov battalion compares itself to the German Nazis, but also because they are extreme and cruel, they have been engaged in genocide in Wudong for a long time, often slaughtering directly regardless of men, women and children, so far in the Wudong area, 8 "mass graves" have been found.
The Russian community hates them to the bone, which is why after the outbreak of the war, Russia has been demanding that Ukraine must be de-Nazified, referring to the Azov battalion.
Azov camp not only in Ukraine for the United States to fight for life, the first two years, when the mainland Henggang accident, Azov camp is not idle, a large number of Henggang youth to receive Azov camp training, so soon appeared on the streets a group of masks, umbrellas, and even holding shields, iron rods, they are not ordinary people, but a group of well-trained terrorists.
After brainwashing and skills training, these people not only have a set of dealing with the police, but also treat dissident people, but also very cruel, abusing lynching, smashing passers-by, and even pouring oil to burn the elderly, this section is really inhuman, too bloody, I will not go to the map, everyone can search for themselves.
These thugs, apart from no guns, were no different from the Nazis in the Azov battalion.
The return of Hong Kong in 1997 is a sign of history, and it is also the beginning of the United States to train extremists, from textbooks, examinations and social events to constantly brainwash, in 2012, when Occupy Central, most of these people were still in junior high school, and in 2019, this group of people became adults and eventually became a major harm to society.
In the Bay, the United States is training extremists later, after all, there is no opportunity like the return of 97, so the age of extremists is still relatively young, and the number of extremists is not enough.
However, the US imperialists' plan has also been carried out for more than ten years, and bays are different from Henggang, there are armies, and in time, if we really want to set up a "dumb frog version of the Azov battalion," it will certainly become a major harm to the Chinese nation.
Fortunately, Pelosi's visit disrupted everything, the US conspiracy was not completed, it triggered a counterattack from China, and once our military operation was launched, it would not stop.
Fifth, the best strategy on the mainland: let the millstone idle
The Taiwan Strait exercise that began on August 3 swept away the people's frustration throughout the country, and everyone was excited again, and The cockroach was also very happy, but it was still a little worried to see some bloggers start shouting "open the sycamore".
We talked about the MILLstone doctrine of the United States and said that they have dug two big pits, that is, we want to say that "the work in the Taiwan Strait is complicated and arduous." We have taken dozens of hours to get rid of the bay, and most of this optimism will cause accidents.
Let's talk about hedgehog tactics, how do we break it? The Taiwan army can even abandon the beachhead position and rely on the city to fight a fortress war, and when the fortress collapses, it will continue to retreat to the city and fight a street battle.
The Russian army fought in Mariupol, fought in the outer fortress for more than 30 days, killed and wounded countless people on both sides, and fought for more than ten days when it entered the city, and it took more than two months to eliminate the Ukrainian army.
Urban offensive and defensive warfare is a world problem, after all, there are civilians everywhere, and there is no way to use heavy firepower. Mariupol only has a population of more than 300,000, it has been tossing and turning for so long, the Russian army raided Kiev with a population of 1.7 million, blitzkrieg tried a hand, a look can not be taken, quickly withdrawn, there is no way to start.
The population density of the Bay bay is much larger than that of Ukraine, and the cities we can name are all large cities with a population of one or two million. After all, the stupid frog is a compatriot, although we are usually angry and say something angry, but when we really want to act, how can we ignore life and death!
Taking a step back, even if the Taiwan army can't even defend the city, and the remnants of the troops have gone into the mountains to fight guerrillas, what should they do? You can look at this picture again, most of the frog island is a mountain, and the mountain is particularly high, the main 6 peaks are above 3000 meters above sea level, the highest jade mountain is 3952 meters.
People may not pay much attention to it, thinking that the altitude of more than 3,000 meters does not seem to be high, but the mountain of Frog Island is on the seashore, and the altitude is the actual height of the mountain itself, in fact, it is higher than most of the mountains in the mainland.
Most of the mountains in our interior are on the plateau in the southwest and northwest, which sounds very high, but the actual height is not so much, like the main peak of Qinling Mountain, Taibai Mountain, with an altitude of 3771 meters, but at the foot of the mountain is the Loess Plateau, and the actual height of Taibai Mountain may be a little more than 3000 meters.
Moreover, the bay is in a tropical ocean, it rains from time to time, those mountains can be said to be "high mountains, dense forests, humidity, high temperature", the harsh environment is comparable to the Savage Mountains on the border between China and Myanmar, when the Chinese Expeditionary Force just crossed the Savage Mountains, there were a large number of casualties.
Once the Taiwan army enters the mountains to fight guerrillas, even if we send large troops to encircle and suppress them, it will be very difficult. In fact, mountain warfare is also a world problem, the US military nearly 100,000 troops occupied Afghanistan, the Taliban is relying on the mountain areas to fight guerrillas, the US military in 20 years, can not take down thousands of people of the Taliban.
It is precisely because it is too difficult that the United States has used the bay as a millstone, dug a big pit, and waited for China to jump in.
Since we have all said this, the mainland's countermeasures are relatively clear, that is, not to land on the island, let the millstone idle, and the millstone is no matter how powerful, can it still fly over? It was precisely because of this that he issued an article on April 29, suggesting that the work in the Taiwan Strait should "encircle but not fight, and use encirclement to promote change."
On May 13, another article was issued suggesting that "the prohibition of navigation and flight prohibition should be used as a means to encircle the island for a long time."
In the Liberation War, the Beiping model is a classic work of encirclement and change, not only the military and civilians have no casualties, but also retained countless Chinese civilization monuments such as the Forbidden City and qianmen, which can be called a good story.
The Taiwan Strait was originally an unfinished part of China's liberation war, and now it is still the Nationalist army on the other side, the two sides have returned to their old business, and they are familiar with the road, and the Nationalist army has maintained the tradition of "abandoning the dark and throwing in the light and revolting in the front", which will not only not be humiliated, but will also be a hero of the nation.
In fact, any military operation pursues rapidity, the battlefield is changing rapidly, it can be one minute faster, it will never be slower by one minute, but there is no way, the situation on the island is too complicated, not to mention that the United States next to it is still eyeing the tiger.
Sixth, break the myth of the US military
The United States should not directly act as it is at present; Russia and Ukraine have been fighting for half a year, and the US military has no intention of ending up at all, and it seems that it is ready to implement the millstone doctrine to the end.
But this is not easy, when the mainland behind is concentrating on the Taiwan Strait, it is not easy to look up, the Smecta millstone came over, we had a hard time stepping over, a turn of the head, the small book grinding disk flew over again...
The United States will be like a summoner, hiding behind, seeing that you have solved a millstone, then summon another one, and if you do not solve the summoner of the United States, the torture will be endless.
Therefore, in our work, we must grasp the core of the United States and hold on to the training of the US military, and this hurdle cannot be avoided. If the myth of the US military is not broken, the superstition of the bay will always be there, even if the two days of exercises are so lively, the stupid frogs also feel quite aggrieved: You dare to bully me, why don't you provoke the United States Baba! It seems that in the future, Baba's thighs will be held more tightly.....
Of course, to hold the US military training, it is not to say that the direct exchange of fire immediately, but a variety of wrist breaks, the big power confrontation is actually the point to the end, for example, in the East China Sea, the US stealth fighter F22 was found by our army and accompanied by the flight, he did not dare to come next time, a few years later, east Asia's F22 was all recalled to the United States.
Interestingly, last week the United States sent F22 to Poland, hey, it's not on China's doorstep anyway.
In fact, during Pelosi's visit, the US military was still quite jealous of the mainland's strength, and changed the first visiting country from Japan to Singapore, so that when flying to bay, it did not have to pass through the East China Sea.
Not only that, after the Pelosi plane departed from Malaysia, it took a detour of more than 2 hours, so could she take a detour of 1 hour?
No way!
If you go around a little less, the circle is too small, you will enter the South China Sea, and without the protection of the airspace of Indonesia and the Philippines, our fighter jets will have the opportunity to intercept.
The US military to do these avoidance and compromise, are the result of the perennial competition between the Two Armed Forces of China and the United States, but these details are too subtle, the average people can not feel, if you want to break the myth of the US military, but also the level of the 2016 South China Sea confrontation, military white can also be understood at a glance, oh... Instigated!
Therefore, in the future work in the Taiwan Strait, encircling the island is only one aspect, and the eyes are mainly focused on the US military; if he does not come, we will encircle him for a long time, and when he comes, we will engage in another confrontation in the South China Sea and break the myth of the US military.
The Taiwan Strait is not just the Taiwan Strait
The core work is clear, and finally it is to explain our harvest clearly, at so many costs, what is our harvest?
The mind of the United States is to take advantage of the Taiwan Strait issue to impose comprehensive sanctions on China and unite with the entire West to impose sanctions on the mainland.
Can't hide the meaning is that "the cost is a quota", just like the self-service hot pot, as long as everyone comes in, the boss will charge 58 yuan, then the problem comes, since you have to charge 58 yuan, then why don't I catch seafood, beef to eat hard?
Therefore, once the work in the Taiwan Strait is started, don't thunder and rain, and get a Golden Gate and Taiping Island back, then it will be a loss!
Eating hot pot is sandwiched with chopsticks, can you not lose money? We have to eat more, not even chopsticks, the courtyard door is closed, a courtyard seat, all mine!
As we have talked about in the previous article, China cannot be reunified, and the root cause is that the US military is entrenched in East Asia.
In the past, Spain, the Netherlands, britain, and today the United States, the United States, put half of its overseas military power here: 6 aircraft carrier strike groups and more than 80,000 troops are entrenched here, resulting in the inability to achieve national reunification on both sides of the Taiwan Strait and the Korean Peninsula, and it is on the verge of war and chaos all year round.
Therefore, China cannot be reunified, which on the surface is a historical legacy of the Liberation War, but in essence it is a continuation of Western colonialism and hegemonism. Now if the United States wants to play a big game against China, then we must force him to go to the gambling table and gamble on the hegemony of East Asia. In fact, more and more countries have seen this:
If China can break the myth of the US military, it can lead Japan, the North and South Smyta, and even the whole of Southeast Asia to plunge into this great decisive battle against imperialism, colonialism, and hegemonism.
This great decisive battle is a family affair of China and a matter of the world, so the Taiwan Strait is the rite of passage for China's true rise.
This ceremony must be completed with the participation of the United States, and if he does not come, the ceremony will not be completed!
(This article is from the public number: today's viewpoint)