Text | Liu Lanchang
After the Sino-US foreign ministers' talks on bali island in Indonesia, the author feels that bilateral relations are gradually developing in the direction of détente and improvement, and it is expected that the closed consulates of the two sides may reopen within this year.
In fact, the phrase "détente and improve" is to give face to the Biden administration, and clear-eyed people know that the so-called "détente and improvement" is actually the correction of mistakes by the US side. The more the Biden team corrects its mistakes, the greater the improvement in the bilateral relationship between China and the United States. Naturally, the overall U.S. strategy to contain China will not change, and the Biden team has not said it will change. However, some specific policies are getting bigger and bigger for the United States, some are not enough to do it, and some of them are getting more and more confused, such as the so-called "two fronts fighting at the same time", jokes. In addition, the American people are all "nostalgic", and if you Biden does not give me a good life, I will not vote for you. As a result, Blinken had to bow his head one after another.
Previously, Biden has made it clear that "four noes and one have no intention": The United States does not seek to fight a new Cold War with China, does not seek to change the Chinese system, does not seek to oppose China through strengthening alliances, does not support "Taiwan independence", and has no intention of conflicting with China. This time Blinken is more concrete and should be commended. He proposed that the "six noes and one commitment" is not to seek to fight a "new Cold War" against China, not to seek to change the Chinese system, not to challenge the ruling position of the Chinese Communist Party, not to seek to contain China, not to support "Taiwan independence", not to seek to change the status quo in the Taiwan Strait, and the United States is committed to controlling risk factors in bilateral relations and cooperating with China in an open posture.
Pondering Blinken's words carefully, he also has the factor of criticizing the Trump administration. As we all know, Pompeo, the Trump administration's secretary of state, used the traitor Yu Maochun's treacherous tactics to replace anti-China with anti-communism. This time, before the 20th Cpc Congress was about to be convened, Blinken added this "one no" ------ not anti-communist, but can not be simply looked at. The author believes that Blinken has read the Chinese Constitution and understood China's political system, and naturally he will also say that Pompeo is a fool and engages in these useless carving tricks.
It is worth mentioning that Zhu Lilun, the current chairman of Taiwan's Kuomintang, still insists on "opposing communism" and is so ignorant of current affairs that it is no wonder that he cannot meet any important people in the United States. Blinken also didn't bother to pay attention to these "outdated characters."
The author believes that if Biden, Blinken and others speak count, and the "four noes and one unintentional" and "six noes and one dedication", not to mention one hundred percent implementation, can achieve seven or eight points, then Sino-US relations have returned to the state before Trump.
Undoubtedly, compared with Blinken and Sullivan when they first met With Yang Jiechi and Wang Yi, China "starts from the position of strength". This time, Blinken also publicly said that the talks with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi were "constructive." However, Wang Yi not only reasoned with him, but also pointed out that the contradictions and inconsistencies in words and deeds in the US China policy reflect the deep-seated serious deviation of the US world view, and even present "China phobia"; Allowed to expand and develop, the US China policy will be a "dead end that cannot be walked out." Moreover, Wang Yi has actually issued four lists: a list of requests for the United States to correct its erroneous policies and words and deeds toward China, a list of key cases of concern to the Chinese side, a list of China-related bills of key concern to the Chinese side, and a list of cooperation in 8 fields between China and the United States.
The author noted that under Wang Yi's reasonable and advantageous "offensive", Blinken not only expressed "six noes and one commitment", but also reached a consensus on specific matters, "agreed to create better conditions for the diplomatic and consular personnel of both sides to perform their duties" and so on. Therefore, correcting the Trump administration's mistake of unjustifiably closing the Chinese Consulate General in Houston may have been on the agenda. Naturally, if the Biden administration corrects its mistakes, the U.S. Consulate General in Chengdu, which was shut down in retaliation by China, will also reopen reciprocally. The first thing Biden did to correct Trump's mistakes after taking office was to release Meng Wanzhou. Perhaps the reopening of the Chinese Consulate General in Houston is another act he made to correct his mistake. Then, of course, there are many big problems, such as accepting Chinese students, reducing tariffs, stopping or reducing "free navigation" in the South China Sea and the Taiwan Strait, and so on.
Consulate General of the People's Republic of China in Houston (infographic)
In fact, Biden's actions to correct Trump's mistakes are actually in the interest of the United States, although they are not yet fully aware of this. They are forced by the economic and social contradictions of the United States and the United States, and also forced by Russia to win victories in the Ukrainian battlefield, while the ineffectiveness of the sanctions of the United States and the West has only hurt themselves and stagnant and shaken their ability to rule, and at the same time, the "war to contain China" in the United States since the Trump administration is showing defeat. However, this forced them to do so can only make them strategically fine-tune their China policy. Only when they deeply realize that China's rise is unstoppable and that the United States can only "coexist" in China's rise can slow down the pace of The Decline of the United States, then the United States can fundamentally adjust its China policy. I believe that Biden's team does not have this wisdom.
Therefore, it is expected that before the us midterm elections at the end of the year, the Biden administration will fine-tune its China policy, but the anti-China tone cannot be changed.
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