Nearly 120 days after the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, we express our sympathy for the approximately 7 million Ukrainian refugees who have fled to foreign countries, regret the soldiers who died in the conflict on both sides, and are even more surprised by the unprecedented economic losses in Ukraine. But as the world knows, the protagonist of this struggle is not Russia and Ukraine, but Russia and the United States, with the passage of time, it is difficult to say whether this conflict will trigger the "Cold War" of the new century, although the protagonist changed from the Soviet Union to Russia, but the turmoil created is not inferior to history. As we all know, Sweden and Finland, two permanent neutral countries, actually submitted an application to join NATO because of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, and friends who have read the map know that if this matter is reached at the NATO summit at the end of the month, then there may be no friends and barriers west of Russia except Belarus. So not long ago, the Russian army for the first time tested the "Salmatt" intercontinental missile, from the Arkhangelsk Oblast in the northwest of Russia, Presechetsk hit the intended target of the Kamchatka Peninsula 6,000 kilometers away.
But is the United States "frightened"? Apparently not! According to reports, just recently, the US Navy's "Ohio" class strategic nuclear submarine successfully launched 4 Trident II D5 intercontinental ballistic missiles in the waters west of California, and the missiles almost spanned the entire Pacific Ocean, eventually hitting the intended target of Guam. It is worth noting that although this is the 188th successful test launch of the nuclear missile, the last time was in 2019, it can be said that the time point of the US operation is too sensitive.
It is worth noting that Guam to California reached 9780 kilometers, although the test firing is not as powerful as the Russian army's "Salmatt", but the range has exceeded the Russian army, but also 4 simultaneous shots, it can be said that it is overpowering the Russian head. At the same time, the strongest signal is that since the United States can hit Guam, although it cannot hit Moscow, it will hit the cities east of Russia. But there is no need to panic, at that time, the United States and the Soviet Union had such a long period of time in the Cold War, and not a single nuclear weapon had landed on the territory of the other side.
This also returns to the problem mentioned at the beginning of the author, the Russian military test shooting "Salmatt" did not make the United States feel afraid, then the United States test shooting "Trident" will not make Russia feel afraid. Why are nuclear weapons defined as strategic weapons? To put it bluntly, it is the role of containment and deterrence, once both sides have it, and the combat attributes are similar, then it becomes "paper talk". As for who is greater than whom, it doesn't matter, how much of the two nuclear weapons that Japan was hit at that time? Not to mention these super big "killers" now. But the only thing that worries the author is that the response of the United States this time may be the turning point and starting point of a new round of cold war, which will not be of any benefit to the world economy and human development, especially in the turbulent situation.
Analysis of Hong Kong stock news:
According to the latest Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate (HIBOR) released by the Hong Kong Association of Banks, the overnight rate was quoted at 0.22405%, a one-month high. The one-month offered rate related to the mortgage rate was quoted at 0.64816%, rising for 11 consecutive days and hitting a one-month high. In addition, Hong Kong bought HK$9.577 billion to defend the linked exchange rate regime.
The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index closed up 1.87% at 21559.59 points, while the Hong Kong Hang Seng Technology Index closed up 2.21% at 4760.14 points.
The A-share two-city stock indexes fluctuated in the morning, and the three major stock indexes fell more than 1% at one point in the afternoon, and the decline in the end of the session was narrowed.
FTSE China A50 futures opened up 0.2 percent, closing up 0.56 percent in the early hours of the previous session.
【Hang Seng Index Analysis - Hang Seng Index】The Hang Seng 06 contract yesterday at the low level of 20920 gave more than a single opportunity to enter the market, at the high level of 21500 short order has entered, the highest rebound 21545 position, to give us the opportunity to enter, today's opening continued to fall, currently fell above 21300, yesterday's high short single target unchanged, today's real short-term bearish mainly, short single entry can continue to hold, fall back to the low support to do more.
Long order: 20880-20920 long, 20770 long, stop loss 20650, target 21380 exit
【FTSE A50 analysis】A50 contract 06 This week the market is small, continue to stabilize above the weekly middle rail, yesterday closed the line yin cross, the current short line has begun to fall, four hours to form a dead fork has a downward trend, observe the middle rail support, fall back to do more, real short-term can hold 100 points of short profits.
Long order: Aggressive can go long in a light position near 14100-14060, waiting steadily for 13880-13920 to go long, stop loss 13700, target to see 14460 position reduction, 14580 exit
[The above views, for reference only, investment is risky, enter the market need to be cautious; Self-financing, self-inflicted consequences; Please strictly stop loss, control the position, rational operation】