In the era of globalization, the rise of one big country often means the decline of another big country, and in order to maintain hegemony, the United States is not afraid to use force. According to a report by Phoenix News on June 16, the huge strike group of the US "Lincoln" aircraft carrier group, the "Reagan" aircraft carrier group and the amphibious assault ship "Tripoli" carrying F-35B stealth fighters held a large-scale military exercise code-named "Brave Shield-2022" in the waters of Guam, Mariana Islands and Palau in the Asia-Pacific region, with 15 ships, more than 200 military aircraft, and 13,000 personnel, "involving almost all branches of the US military."
The Guam Daily Mail unabashedly said that the military exercise was aimed at China in response to China's "growing diplomatic and military image in the Indo-Pacific region" and that "the US military's dispatch of such a large fleet is a warning to China." Against the backdrop of the large-scale military exercises against China held by the United States "in full swing," according to a report by the Russian Satellite News Agency on June 15, the heads of state of China and Russia held a telephone meeting, in which the leaders of the two countries discussed international issues, including the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, and reiterated "mutual support on issues involving sovereignty and security" and "close strategic coordination."
Obviously, under the circumstances of the United States pressing forward step by step, China and Russia have further "hugged the group" so as to "unite their hearts" and join hands to "oppose hegemony" and promote "the establishment of a multi-level and just system of international relations." Specifically, the cooperation involved in the Sino-Russian summit by telephone is in "three aspects": First, China has further increased its support for Russia's economic development, in addition to purchasing more than 12 billion euros of Russian energy in 100 days, the Chinese leader said, "The Heihe-Blagoveshchensk Highway Bridge has been opened to traffic, opening up a new channel for interconnection between the two countries."
Second, according to the information released by the Kremlin Information Bureau, the Chinese leader "pointed out the legitimacy of the actions taken by the Russian side to safeguard the fundamental interests of the country in the face of the security challenges created by external forces", that is, the Chinese side believes that when external forces create security problems for Russia, the actions taken by the Russian side to safeguard the fundamental interests of the country are "legitimate", which of course includes the "pre-emptive counter-aggression" mentioned by Putin during the red square military parade. To some extent, the Chinese side has euphemistically recognized the "legitimacy" of Putin's military actions.
Finally, in exchange, Russia needs to provide support to China "on issues involving sovereignty and security." As early as early February this year, when President Putin attended the opening ceremony of the Beijing Winter Olympics and held face-to-face meetings with The Chinese leader, China and Russia had reached an agreement to "support each other on the Taiwan issue and the Ukraine issue." At present, the three major US aircraft carrier groups are killing the Asia-Pacific region, the target is directly aimed at China, the situation in the Taiwan Strait is becoming increasingly tense, and in the case of China's increased support for Russia, Putin should also honor the commitments made to China, and China and Russia "close strategic coordination between the two countries" and "support each other" on security issues.
As we all know, the outbreak of conflicts between major powers often requires a reason and excuse to get their hands on, for example, Putin's military action against Ukraine is to "oppose the Nazis"; For example, the United States military aided Ukraine, fought a "proxy war", fought under the banner of "anti-aggression", and in the era of globalization, it must "establish a foothold" in public opinion. What is the reason for the United States to "sharpen its knife" around China? That is to "maintain peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait." At present, the United States is "preparing with both hands" and the "Taiwan card" on the other, in an attempt to blackmail China with the Taiwan issue and force China to give up its "right to development."
If the Chinese mainland is unwilling to yield, then the United States will instigate "Taiwan independence," just as it forced Putin to act in Ukraine, forcing China to "unify militarily." At that time, the United States, Japan, and other countries will be able to interfere in China's internal affairs by force under the banner of "safeguarding peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait" in order to "interrupt China's rise" through war. Therefore, the three major US aircraft carrier strike groups gathered in the Asia-Pacific region to hold highly targeted military exercises and name them in order to deal with China, in fact, to prepare for an armed showdown with China.
On the one hand, Chinese Defense Minister Wei Fenghe made harsh remarks to the US representatives at the Shangri-La Dialogue, saying, "If anyone dares to split Taiwan, the Chinese army will certainly fight a war at all costs." Wei Fenghe and the defense minister also gave a special briefing on China's nuclear weapons development, saying "meaningfully" that "all the nuclear weapons displayed in the military parade on the 70th anniversary of the National Day have been installed." Obviously, "no matter what a war", "nuclear weapons have been installed", China's attitude is "unprecedented" tough, and the big war is on the verge of breaking out.
On the other hand, China is also actively seeking Russia's support, so the Chinese and Russian leaders held telephone talks at this sensitive and critical moment, and the Chinese side increased its support for Russia in the economic, political and diplomatic aspects, and also hoped that Putin could proceed from the overall situation, fulfill the commitments made to the Chinese side during the Beijing Winter Olympics, and support China's position with "practical actions" on the Taiwan issue, and China and Russia can "closely coordinate strategically". At this time, Russia's support is still very important for China to cope with the pressure from the United States and Japan.
So will Putin "lend a helping hand" at a critical moment? First, political support is certain. As we have pointed out in previous articles, as China cedes dominance over Afghanistan, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has made it clear that Moscow supports Beijing's "all legitimate efforts to unify the province of Taiwan," which has been traded before. Although Putin has gained the right to take the lead in the Afghan issue, he will not "cross the river and tear down the bridge" and "turn his face and not admit it", so politically, Russia will still support China's position.
Second, Russia's "asking price" will not be low. Don't look at the polar bear as if "five big three rough", what to do is "straight to go", but in fact, the fighting nation is also very "carefully calculated", in this Sino-Russian heads of state telephone meeting, China has sent 2 "small red packets", one is to increase economic and trade cooperation between China and Russia, open more road trade routes, which is a "timely rain" for Russia, which has been heavily sanctioned; The other is to "euphemistically" acknowledge the "legitimacy" of Putin's military actions, even if Putin is engaged in "pre-emptive counter-aggression."
Finally, as long as the price is right, the possibility of China and Russia "fighting side by side" in the first island chain and the Sea of Japan in the future is not ruled out. On this point, in the previous article, we also made an analysis, pointing out that once a conflict breaks out in the Taiwan Strait, the Chinese and Russian navies may work together to "do away" Japan's Maritime Self-Defense Force in order to destroy the momentum of decay and "deter" the United States. The United States must consider the possibility of a real nuclear war, and at that time, the United States will either risk nuclear war and confront China and Russia, or withdraw from the Taiwan Strait conflict.
Once the United States withdraws from the conflict in the Taiwan Strait, then the Taiwan issue will be resolved, and China's war for reunification will also be China's "war of rise." Therefore, pulling Russia into the trenches is very necessary for China at present, and it is also worth paying a big price, money is an external thing, you can earn it again, but once the strategic opportunity is missed, you don't know when it will be. Therefore, first, China needs to let Russia participate in the future war in the Taiwan Strait, because of the huge gap in nuclear forces, the United States does not dare to directly "harden" with Russia, but dares to "confront" China.
This is not a joke or a vain speculation; during his visit to Japan, President Biden made a "slip of the tongue" by saying that the United States would prevent Chinese mainland from "armed reunification" of Taiwan in the form of "military intervention." This is the "commitment" of the United States. This fully shows that the United States does not dare to "duel" with Russia, but dares to "single out" China, and there is only one reason for this, that is, Russia's nuclear weapons are very strong and it is the only country that can erase the United States from the earth. Therefore, ensuring that Russia stands in our trenches is very important for China to win the battle in the Taiwan Strait.
Second, China and Russia must implement the "hand-cutting action"; yes, it is the hand of the arm, and it is necessary to wipe out Japan's maritime power in a sloppy way, which is equivalent to "cutting off" one of the arms of the United States, which, in addition to deterring the United States, will also force the United States to make a choice, which will either personally go down or withdraw, and want to fight a "proxy war." If the United States "personally goes down", then he will face China and Russia, as mentioned earlier, Russia's powerful nuclear weapons are very jealous of the United States, as long as Russia is off, Putin has no way to retreat, he must also win.
It seems that a historic moment will come in the near future, and China must be prepared, this is a battle of rise, but also a battle of national fortune, and it is necessary to be willing to "invest". Win, anything can come back, lose, everything is someone else's. Of course, perhaps after China and Russia put up a posture of cooperation, the United States and Japan will converge on the Taiwan issue and dare not challenge China's bottom line, which is also a good thing, because China is still developing at a high speed, and "time is on our side."