After a short wait, the division finals officially began, with the Eastern Heat and Green Army taking the lead and ushering in the series G1 competition.
In the end, the Heat, who played at home, easily defeated the Green Army 118-107, and although there was a good physical confrontation in the game, there were also a lot of points chasing and being chased, but the overall intensity was far less intense than the Green Army and the Bucks.
Even so, the Heat retained home field advantage, taking a 1-0 lead and fighting back against outside skepticism with action.
After this Eastern Conference Finals, the US media "Fivethirtyeight" also updated the probability of 4 teams entering the finals and winning the final championship at the first time.
Among them, the Heat, which won the G1 competition, both data ushered in a surge, and the probability of winning the championship rose to 26%, even so, the probability of the top team winning the championship was still as high as 50%.
Warriors win probability: 11%
Compared with the previous 7%, the Warriors' probability of winning the championship has increased significantly, and more importantly, the team has doubled in the probability of advancing to the Finals, from 23% directly to 46%.
Although still behind the Lone Rangers, the Warriors have improved a lot compared to the previous period, which has also reduced the controversy of this set of predictions.
Because from all aspects, the Warriors are clearly the better team in this series of showdowns, the initiative is in the hands of the Warriors themselves, as long as the strength of the existing lineup is played, the Lone Ranger has almost no chance to beat the Warriors in the series.
Lone Ranger chance to win: 14%
As the heat's probability of winning the championship soared, the overall probability of the Lone Ranger declined, and the probability of advancing to the Finals also dropped significantly.
Even so, such a probability is still not a small controversy, the reason why the US media is optimistic about the Lone Ranger is nothing more than that the Warriors have no one to limit Doncic.
But the problem is that the Warriors are not like the Suns and Jazz, the lineup lacks players with enough scoring explosive power, on the contrary, the Warriors are the most explosive team in the league, the only variable is dream Green, as long as he can control the mistakes and play the due performance on the defensive end, the chances of the Lone Ranger are not great.
Heat win probability: 26%
After the G1 start, the Heat's probability of winning the championship soared, and the probability of advancing to the next round also increased from 33% to 40%.
Although the Heat won the G1, Butler also proved with a performance of 40+ that his ability was completely underestimated by the outside world.
But starting from the actual lineup configuration of the two teams, as long as the Green Army gets rid of the injury problem, then it is still the team that controls the initiative in this series, after all, for the Green Army that lacks point guards, G1 Horford and Smart can not play at the same time Has too much impact on the team.
Green Army wins: 50%
The Green Army's data changes are very interesting, after the G1 loss, the team's probability of winning the championship has risen from 42% to 50%, but the probability of advancing to the next round has dropped to 60%.
No matter from which point of view, the Green Army is the more championship team among the 4 teams, but many times the game is not simply compared to the strength of paper, but depends on the player's on-the-spot performance.
The team has to face a variety of unexpected situations, luck is also an important part of the overall strength of the team, and even whether a team can win the championship, good luck occupies a large proportion, after all, no one can predict when the injury will occur, just like the last round of elimination of the Bucks, if it is not Middleton injured, the Green Army is also very difficult to pass.