The latest Russian-Ukrainian judgment may 13: Russia's large logistics ship was hit and caught fire near Snake Island
Original Little Leaning Jun Extreme Dark Night 2022-05-13 23:05
Morning Mist / Repost
Source | Original
Author | Sue no
Today is May 13th, and we continue to study the situation in Russia and Ukraine.
Today's war situation cannot be summed up in the war report issued by the General Staff of the Ukrainian Army today:
1) Near Lehmann, Russian troops try to control the area near Oleksandrivka;
2) In the direction of Bakhmut, Russian troops attacked Komyshuvakha and Orikhove;
3. Russian troops try to advance at Malinka.
4. In addition, the Russians continued to shell Azovstall:
Russian large-caliber mortars are fired
5. The Russians shelled the villages of Oleksandrivka, Tavriyske, Kotlyareve, Hannivka and Osokorivka around Kherson Oblast.
Today, the Russian Ministry of Defense also released a report on the situation of the war as usual, we may wish to take a look:
In the past 24 hours, Russian missile and artillery units have hit 15 command posts, 520 Ukrainian and military equipment concentration areas, 6 artillery unit firing positions, and missile arsenals near the village of SHEBELINKA in the Kharkiv region.
Since the beginning of the special military operation, the Russian army has destroyed: 165 aircraft, 125 helicopters, 842 unmanned aerial vehicles, 304 anti-aircraft missile systems, 3032 tanks and other armored fighting vehicles, 368 multiple rocket launchers, 1491 field artillery and mortars, and 2869 special military vehicles.
To be honest, the number of the Russian army really does not have much reference significance, if this is true, the entire Ukrainian army should have been completely wiped out and still looking for it, how can it fight with the Russian army back and forth?
Unlike the Russian army, most of the achievements of the Ukrainian army can be found to confirm the image material. Yesterday we talked about the Battle of the Crossing, and today I find more detailed images, according to which military observers all over the world agree that the Russian BTG (Battalion Tactical Group) in the North Donetsk section of the river has been devastated.
These destroyed and abandoned vehicles were carefully numbered and eventually found that as many as 73 vehicles were destroyed, including 7 T-72s, 38 amphibious tracked infantry fighting vehicles of various types, 10 other armored combat vehicles (AFVs), 5 PMP bridge vehicles, and various armored personnel carriers (APCs) and trucks.
Come, there is a picture and there is truth:
Not only static pictures, but also videos:
In addition, according to satellite photos taken today, the Ukrainian-owned TB-2 drone attack sank two Russian "Rock Antelope" class (Serna) class landing craft, Russian air defense systems and supply ships on Snake Island in the Black Sea:
Satellite images also show the remains of mi-8/Mi-17 burning, and a barge with a crane appeared at the wreck site. Notice that there is obviously a "rock antelope" sunken in the water in front of it.
On May 13, local time, the Ukrainian Independent News Agency quoted the Ukrainian Military General Staff as saying that the Ukrainian Neptune missile accurately hit a logistics support ship of the large Russian Black Sea Fleet.
At that time, the ship was carrying reinforcements and the "armor" anti-aircraft missile system to help the Russian troops on Snake Island. As a result, a fire broke out after being hit, and the casualties are unknown.
Video of the suspected fire of the ship:
In fact, Snake Island is not large, and there are very few technical equipment that can be placed, so in this sense, it is typically easy to attack and difficult to defend.
Snake Island is so big
As long as the Russian army cannot smoothly transport the anti-aircraft missile system to the island, the Ukrainian army can continue to cut leeks on Snake Island, but if the Ukrainian army continues to cut leeks, the Russian army cannot transport the air defense missile system to the island.
Halo, this seems to be a dead loop.
But the problem is also strange, knowing that if you continue to negotiate with the Ukrainian army on Snake Island, more equipment and personnel will be buried in this bottomless pit, why does the Russian army have to live and die on the island and not leave? Could it be that what political purpose is not? It feels like Snake Island is to the Russian army, just like Guadalcanal is to the Japanese army.
In May 1942, Japanese troops captured the Solomon Islands and then used laborers to build an airfield on Guadalcanal, which was the limit of Japanese expansion in the Pacific Naval Battle.
Just two months after the Battle of Midway in June, U.S. troops landed in Guadalcanal, where they continued to deplete valuable Japanese army and navy resources.
From the map, it can be seen that Guadalcanal is extremely far from the Japanese mainland, and to send a fighter here, it will take 5 to lose on the road. Although it was also extremely far from the U.S. mainland, it was the closest place where the U.S. military could consume Japanese troops. The reason why the U.S. military is not afraid to fight a war of attrition with the Japanese army here is because the US GDP is 11 times that of Japan.
In Guadalcanal, the Japanese army for the first time to observe the strength of the U.S. army, they saw for the first time the number of automatic firearms in the grass-roots units of the U.S. army is 6 times that of the Japanese army, they saw for the first time that the U.S. army prepared 17 times the ammunition base of each cannon, and they also saw tractors for the first time in Guadalcanal, a black soldier operating a tractor, which can do 200 laborers a day' work.
While the Japanese army used destroyers tow iron barrels to send two or two white rice per person per day to the Japanese troops on the island, the U.S. military ate steaks and drank Coke and chewed bubble gum, and one fighter squadron even sent an F4U "Viking" fighter with a metal barrel to fly to a height of 9100 meters (because the temperature there was minus 44 degrees) and then plummeted, so the milk and cocoa in the metal barrel became ice cream.
In the end, unsurprisingly, in less than half a year, the Japanese army could not afford to consume and withdrew from here.
If the Russian army continues to spend time with the Ukrainian army on Snake Island, the end will be the same.
Of course, Russia's strong and weak state cannot be reversed in the short term. In the past 24 hours, in addition to the constant sound of alarms everywhere as usual, the Ukrainian people are still suffering from the trauma of war:
1. Russian missiles attack on Nikolaev's civilian infrastructure; the Cultural House in Kharkiv Delhach was once home to a humanitarian aid distribution center, but was destroyed overnight in a Russian missile attack;
2. Russia has sent additional artillery units to shell the Chernihiv Oblast in the border area of bryansk oblast; a Russian cruise missile attack destroyed the Grand Pettine Hotel in the port city of Odessa, as shown in the figure:
A senior U.S. defense official said Monday that Russia "does not have the ability" to threaten Odessa with ground or amphibious attacks, so it has repeatedly used cruise missiles to hit large targets in Odessa.
3) The Russians continue to dig mass graves in Mariupol in an attempt to cover up what they did:
Mariupol officials believe the city has killed 20,000 people since the start of the war, more than 4 percent of the pre-war population.
4) After weeks of being bombed by Russian troops, Mariupol has become a "medieval slum".
Some countries have been disastrous because they are too close to hell, and some have been because they are too close to Russia.
Let's summarize the battle situation:
First of all, let's talk about the ferry. Yesterday's article has actually been more specific, and we will talk about the background of this matter today.
It is said that the river was crossed by the Russian 74th Motor Rifle Brigade, which belonged to the 41st Army Group. On the first day of the war, the reconnaissance platoon leader led people to surrender to this unit, which can be described as a disgrace.
In March, when the unit attacked Chernihiv, it was beaten by the 1st Brigade of the Ukrainian Army, and since then it has been like a mouse seeing a cat, and has not been able to occupy all of Chernihiv, and this time in May the forced crossing of the Northern Donez River was beaten by the Tanzanian 17th Brigade.
The 17th Tank Brigade of the Ukrainian Army is also a strong brigade, and the 1st Brigade of Tan is the only two standing tank brigades, the elite of the front-line troops.
The Russian army was anxious to open up the situation here in Bilokhorivka because it felt that it was impossible to open up Slavyansk from Iyzyum and then connect popasna, so the big circle was not drawn, and a small circle from Bilokhorivka to Popasna was drawn, trying to encircle the 20,000 or so Ukrainian troops in Lichansk-Syv donetsk.
The 17th Tan Brigade had already surveyed this section of the river, and the engineers of the Ukrainian army engineers selected a number of most suitable places for erecting pontoon bridges, and sent people to secretly monitor the south bank without alarming the Russian army. Indeed, Russian sappers began to deliberately set fire to villages and woods on the north bank, while burning old tires, creating a lot of smoke and trying to protect the bridge operation.
The Ukrainians measured the flow rate and concluded that the Russians had to rely on motorboats to complete the pontoon bridge, so they did not care about the smoke and dust on the north bank, and quietly hid on the south bank to listen to the movement of the river. In the early morning of the 8th, the day before Victory Day, the Russian sappers began to build a bridge before dawn, and the Ukrainians immediately noticed it.
It is said that the tank troops build pontoon bridges and then launch a surprise attack is actually a classic tactic, the Russian army wants to restore the "ancestral glory" and "traditional arts", but now in 2022, the sky and the ground are pervasive reconnaissance methods, the Russian army is like a blind man walking at night, and think that the bushes next to it are chickens, kittens and puppies, in fact, they are all ferocious animals.
After this heavy loss, the 74th Motorized Infantry Brigade rested for at least a few months and could not participate in the battle.
It is said that Russia is also aware of the fiasco of this river crossing, and now pessimistic and depressed voices are beginning to rise, and Vladlen Tatarsky, a prominent military commentator from RSOTM, criticizes that the combat effectiveness of the Russian army will not improve until the commander who caused this mistake is dealt with. He said the donbass offensive was clearly hampered by a lack of effective intelligence from drones and the incompetence of Russian generals.
Hey, did you find out that the Russian army is incompetent until today? The whole of Russia is also too late to realize it, right? What did the Female Anchors of the Russian RT who said "we should have used the egg long ago", the Dumas of the country who said "We must come back to Beria", and the Russian military bricklayers who said "We are independently fighting against the military-industrial complex of 50 countries"?
A little gift for you: the Ukrainian peasant uncle has already started the idea of TOS-1, and the "traditional art" tractor is out!
There is not much information about military reinforcements today:
1. The M113 armored vehicle sent by the Dutch arrived:
The Dutchman with thick eyebrows and big eyes also arched fire! The Netherlands donated the super version of the super version of the M113 infantry combat vehicle, which the video confirmed that the vehicle is currently in the Donbas battlefield:
2. Another video is said to be the Ukrainian army is carrying out live ammunition training for the British army to aid the sulfur stone anti-tank:
It can be seen that the launch device of the sulfur stone missile is mounted on a van truck, and there is a blindfold outside, and the 3 sulfur stones in the video are fired continuously, with amazing fire density.
Due to the lightness of the sulfur stone (the weight of one hellfire is equal to two sulfur stones) and the advanced seeker, there was a video in 2005 showing six air-launched sulfur stones launched from a typhoon, hitting 6 targets on the ground, and the fire density was quite strong.
3, although the German Pzh2000 is still flying in the sky, I don't know when it will be implemented, but the M109 sent by the Norwegians has arrived:
Diplomatic aspects:
1. The Austrian Prime Minister's harsh words: If Russia cannot supply natural gas, Austria can confiscate the storage facilities of Gazprom.
Earlier, Austria refused to comply with Russia's demand that EU countries pay for gas in rubles.
To be honest, Russian energy is really cheap and the whole of Europe loves to use it. But cheap energy and national sovereign independence can be weighed by anyone; economic development is important, but no one is willing to exchange the price of enslavement.
2) UN officials warn that millions of lives will be lost if Ukrainian ports continue to be blockaded. Beasley, head of the U.N.'s World Food Programme, told CNN that if Ukraine's Black Sea ports are not reopened within the next 60 days, it could trigger a global hunger crisis and a total collapse of Ukraine's economy.
We have already put photos on this news a few days ago, and we will not put it on today.
There was a serious food crisis in the world in the 1980s, but since then, although the earth's population has increased by more than a billion, the hunger situation has been greatly alleviated, which should be due to the progress of agriculture and world trade, but the war between Ukraine and Russia, the main exporters of food, hunger has now returned!
3. According to CNN, according to a statement issued by the United Kingdom after the G7 Foreign Ministers' Meeting in Germany on May 12, British Foreign Secretary Liz Tras called on allies to impose further sanctions on Russia until Russia completely withdraws from Ukraine and agrees to peace. Tras also said NATO countries should plan to continue to provide Ukraine with NATO standard equipment, as well as the necessary training and expertise, until late summer.
4. Siemens bid farewell to the Russian market once and for all: After 170 years of operation in Russia, Siemens decided to withdraw completely from the country's market. The move has a huge impact on Siemens' second-quarter earnings and could have more consequences. However, the German company said it could absorb these burdens.
Between making money and morality, how to choose, people with conscience and conscientious enterprises are not difficult to choose. Chinese some people in the local area network always say that foreign companies are willing to sell even their parents in order to make money, I will hehe, how much money are you willing to sell your parents? If you don't want to, why do you think people are happy?
5, North Korea added 18,000 new cases of fever, it is said that North Korea used the world's most stringent blockade measures, even killed wild animals running into the border, other strict control measures are more imaginable. But in this way, there is still such a big disturbance, does that mean that this "solid wall and clear field" can deal with Aomi Kerong? When there is no virus, no vaccines are not built, and now the virus has come in, all by gunfire?
6 NATO Secretary-General Stottenberg said today that the Finnish leader is welcome to join NATO and said that the final membership process will be "smooth and fast".
Defying warnings from Moscow authorities, Finnish President Niinistö and Prime Minister Malin issued a statement hours ago expressing support for Finland's application to join NATO. Finland is expected to officially announce its application for accession on the 15th.
What about to prevent NATO from expanding east? Now NATO has not fired a single shot, not a single person has been injured, Russia has lost 25,000 lives, but NATO has expanded north!
Finland and Sweden joined NATO "smoothly and quickly" because for many years their defense systems were designed entirely according to NATO standards. The munitions standards used are also entirely NATO-style. For many years, NATO has also regarded the two countries as brothers who are "not members of NATO but treat them as member states." If the two countries embark on the process of joining NATO, integration will be almost cost-free. After all, from concept to training, it is originally a big family.
It is a pity that Russia suffered, so many people died not to say, for no reason to increase the border line of 1300 kilometers and NATO countries, the roof leak coincided with the overnight rain belongs to yes.
Today's final roundup section tells a story about big data.
Why can't the Russian military seize the opportunity? From the beginning of the fighting to the present, we can find that in the north of Kiev, they have a convoy of 60 kilometers in the air, but they cannot open it; on the outskirts of Kharkov, they besieged for two months, but now they are fleeing north; in Berdyensk, the transport ship has just unloaded its cargo, and it was sunk by the "Dot" missile; off the coast of Odessa, the "Moscow" had a displacement of 13,000 tons and a phased array radar, but when the subsonic anti-ship missiles flew in, they did not react at all, and as soon as they crossed the river, they were covered by Ukrainian artillery fire and lost clean.
In fact, the Russian army in Ukraine, like a group of people in the dark with torches, flaunting the market, separated by Nyima more than a dozen miles away was seen by the Ukrainian army.
What should be done to know the deployment of enemy forces in general? Repeatedly scanned with satellites in the sky? Send out reconnaissance planes to observe over and over again? All bad. Although the first method can find big data, there are inevitably errors in the details, and although the second method is clear in detail, the Russian army will not let you fly around on their heads.
There is one easiest way: if the Ukrainians want to know the movement of the Russian army, they only need to call the telecommunications company.
Look at the mobile signal, which is the distribution of Russian sim cards on the territory of Ukraine:
Completely clear, completely precise, completely costless, completely real-time, the Russian army can not hide no matter what.
That's why the Russians never attacked The Ukrainian signal base station, blew up the base station, they couldn't communicate themselves, they couldn't upload FB and Ins.
Ingenious, right? Very clever. A big data makes the deployment of Russian troops inescapable.
In fact, this line of thinking is fully understood by expanding a little: I want to know whether North Korea can succeed in fighting the epidemic, or whether South Korea can succeed in fighting the epidemic?
Some people may be confused: there are too many factors to consider! It's too hard to predict. How many doctors, how many hospitals, how many ICU beds, how many vaccines, how many antigens, how many nucleic acid tests, how many big whites, and so on
It is true that there are many, but isn't the wisdom of human beings used to simplify the complex?
Look at this chart, think about the big data behind it, and fully understand who will succeed:
Similarly, I don't believe that the highest levels of the Russian army have not seen the Sim card distribution map.
Even if he hadn't seen this map, he had seen the track map of NATO early warning aircraft and reconnaissance planes flying around Ukraine?
Even if he could blow up all the signal base stations in Ukraine and eliminate the Sim card distribution map, would he be able to blow up all NATO early warning aircraft?
Even if all NATO AWACS aircraft fell from the sky, the track map of the C-17 air overlords flocking to the West around the Polish border and around Lviv will still exist, right?
Behind this big data, there are more than 40 countries with strong military forces and transportation capabilities, can the Russian army destroy it?
To put it mildly: the U.S. military has even shipped Burger King's mobile manufacturing machines to Poland, and the Russian army is still dismantling the chips in the dishwasher and refrigerator and putting them into missiles.
Behind this big data is the huge disparity in technology and productivity between Russia's national strength and the world's most powerful economy.
As long as you understand this big data, how will this battle develop next, is it still unclear?
Who will win and who will lose, is it not clear?
Unfortunately, from top to bottom, no one in Russia can stop the country from failing.
And the most important significance of the Russo-Ukrainian War for the whole world is that we have seen with our own eyes how a person who is not stupid, a person who is not crazy, step by step, goes to anti-intellectualism and madness.
The full text is finished, welcome to forward and share
Let more people see!
Source: 2022-05-13 WeChat public account Extremely dark night
https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/WrV4ep4JRaTGwBG4Ao108Q
【Statement】This article is forwarded and shared, and the source has been indicated. Does not represent that the platform is for or against the views of the original author, and the literary responsibility and copyright belong to the original author. This article is reproduced for the purpose of transmitting more information, if there is any infringement, please contact to delete.