#头号周刊 #
The causes of the Russo-Ukrainian war have been elaborated very well by the Russian president in his televised speech on February 21, 2022. Politics, history, power, war, have always been winners writing, winners taking all. The so-called morality is nothing more than the winner decorating the façade, and the loser comforting himself. So, if Russia achieves its goals through war, this speech will become a manifesto of justice, a classic historical document, and vice versa, nothing.
Donbass, Luhansk, Donetsk, Crimea are all Russian-speaking or Russians with an absolute majority, and they are adjacent to the great power of Russia, how can they not be half-hearted?
Take a look at the causes of conflict in other parts of the world:
Kosovo (Albanian, Islamic) has become independent;
The referendum on independence of the Catalan region of Spain (Catalan) was rejected;
Quebec, Canada (French) eager to seek independence;
Rohingya-inhabited areas (Islam, Bengali) in Myanmar's Rakhine State are unable to integrate into the mainstream and are unable to become independent;
The Palestinian Gaza Strip (Islam, Arabic) is autonomous under tight Israeli control.
U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton once warned Israel that without giving the Palestinians autonomy, the State of Israel will eventually be changed by vote (one person, one vote) as the proportion of the Palestinian population in Israel's total population increases year by year. This is very far-sighted.
Many Chinese people are very suspicious of Trump's unreliability and condone "white supremacy", which is actually political correctness for mainstream American society, and Hillary Clinton's thinking. The Hispanic, African-American, Asian-American population has been growing as a percentage of the total population, and eventually, the United States will change according to the proportion of the population.
Saddam Hussein in Iraq is controlled by the Sunni minority, and Bashar al-Assad in Syria is controlled by the Shiite majority, and these two countries have been in turmoil! Iran remains stable under internal and external difficulties because of the shiite overwhelming majority.
Looking at Ethiopia in Africa, the top three ethnic groups, Omoro, Amhara, and Tigray, do not account for an absolute majority in population, so you disobey me, I do not bird you, but also turmoil, war.
Don't think that Europe is rich and stable today, it was tempered by five hundred years of war, in fact, Europe's stability is very fragile!
Population proportion, language, religion determine regional stability more than economic and historical differences, especially the proportion of population plays a decisive role.
Looking around the country, the Xinjiang Autonomous Region, the Han population is 10.9201 million people, and the ethnic minority population is 14.9322 million people. In the Tibet Autonomous Region, there are 3.138 million Tibetans and 443,000 Han Chinese.
Compared with other problem areas in the world, we cannot but think about it, have some understanding, and have some measures to deal with it.