Today's market, there is still no surprise, there is no surprise, one word: is to fall.
The GEM reached a new low. Retail investors and funds that are heavily weighted on the ChiNext board are uncomfortable.
Let's take a look at how far the market has fallen now:
The full index of the China Securities, the month level is close to the bottom, but if according to the historical law, it will probably take two or three months to get away from the "complete end". This means that the probability is that the shock will need to be grinded for two or three months.
Why not use the Shanghai Index, because the Shanghai Index is seriously distorted, even the compilation rules have been changed, and the Shanghai Index, which began in July 2020, has not much reference value.
Let's take a look at the CSI 800, which is the stock pool of our funds' general stock selection, and the large and mid-cap stocks are in it.
Compared with the CSI Full Index, the CSI 800 may bottom out a little earlier.
Technical analysis, just a reference, the bottom is an area, the lowest point exists only for one day.
But I can say with certainty that this is definitely not the lowest point.
So why not sell all the funds now and buy at the lowest point?
Because, we can't be sure whether the lowest point comes early, and it is difficult to buy accurately on the day or a few days before and after the lowest point, and once these days are missed, the loss may be even greater. Therefore, since it is not far from the bottom, insist on it.
Today's fund operation ideas:
1. Liquor:
Last week's highest position reduced by 20%, these days the shock fell, the amplitude is not large, but there are more than 3 points of the difference, in order to prevent the next week's raid to pull up the passive, today's position back to 10%, the remaining 10% next week's operation.
2. New energy vehicles:
New energy vehicle sector, I have repeatedly prompted the risk of pullback since August and September last year, and then I am also the least optimistic about this sector, if there is a new energy vehicle fund in everyone's hands, the current floating loss should be relatively large. For the time being, it is still in a downward trend and will not move today.
3. Military Industry:
The military industry sector is close to the bottom area, but the short-term decline is not over, if you want to increase your position, you must endure it and not move today.
4. Semiconductor chip:
Today fell back to the position we added last week, did not open the spread, today does not move, sit and wait for the subsequent large rebound to do T, must control the rhythm of the position, can not be too fast to reposition.
5. Medical:
Medical re-entered the weekly level of the pullback trend, do not increase the position for the time being, and wait patiently for follow-up opportunities.
The above are my "unwinding real disk" operating ideas, I originally rarely bought industry theme funds, but in order to demonstrate the unwinding, the Qingming Festival before the real market to build the above five industry funds.
To be honest, the unwinding of new energy vehicles may be very long, liquor and medical treatment are relatively more optimistic, and chips and military industries should also have opportunities in the second half of the year and next year.
However, let's take it one step at a time, minimize ineffective operations, seize every band opportunity, and do our best.
6. Off-site mixing base:
The position is low, continue to open a small position and add a position, I also add a small amount of over-the-counter combination today to relieve the itch.
In fact, I know that today's high probability is not the lowest point, but different funds, the rhythm of bottoming out rebound is inconsistent, so in recent months, batch small amounts of addition is it, which is also the safest operation.
Digression
1. The personal pension system is about to be released, and the upper limit of each person's annual payment may be 12,000 yuan.
This is considered a long-term incremental funding that will be available in the future. However, there is no need to pay too much attention for the time being, just take a look.
2. Public funds can only buy varieties that are equally rising, cannot be short, and can only be long. Partial stock funds are bound by contracts and industry regulations and cannot take the initiative to choose the time, so we must rely on ourselves to control our own position changes.
Every bear market is the opportunity for the people to make money, the bear market buys shares, and the next round of rise can be easily harvested.
Note: Personal ideas are only exchanged and do not constitute any investment basis.