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Entering a new era! Will the "one-man model" become the "new normal" in Hong Kong's chief executive election?

author:Han Chengke

Wen | Han Chengke

Lee Ka-chiu became the only candidate in the sixth Chief Executive Election with 786 nomination votes. In 2006, the Legislative Council amended the "Chief Executive Election Ordinance" to add a "vote of confidence" system, even if one person can run, it still needs to vote, which means that Li Jiachao also needs to go through the election "baptism", still need to continue to win the support of the most election committees, and there is no problem of "lying flat to run", but there are also voices from the outside world that question the lack of competition for one person to run, and pointed out that the future election of the chief executive will continue to use the "one-person model".

Entering a new era! Will the "one-man model" become the "new normal" in Hong Kong's chief executive election?

In fact, it is not accurate to describe only one candidate in the "one-person model", and in the past chief executive election, only one person successfully "entered the gate". Whether it is one person or more people mainly depends on the objective environment, and cannot be said to be a "one-person mode" because only one person can participate in the election. In fact, the situation in this year's chief executive election is very different from that of previous ones, and there are mainly the following reasons for the final one-person candidacy:

First, due to the sudden arrival of the fifth wave of the epidemic, the outbreak period and the chief executive election period overlapped highly, disrupting the entire election arrangement, not only making the chief executive election unprecedentedly postponed, but also causing some interested candidates to not take an early position because the anti-epidemic was overwhelming, which affected the deployment of the election.

Second, the current chief executive Carrie Lam Cheng Yuet-ngor has not said whether to seek re-election until only a month or so before the voting day, when she announced that she would not seek re-election on family grounds, which may also disrupt the election arrangements of other candidates.

Entering a new era! Will the "one-man model" become the "new normal" in Hong Kong's chief executive election?

Third, after Li Jiachao expressed his intention to run for election, he immediately received the support of almost the entire establishment camp, and there was a great tendency to give up who he was and responded to, and Li Jiachao's strength also made other people who intended to run for election retreat.

In fact, there is no one or more people in the chief executive election, as long as they meet the qualifications for running, obtain enough nomination votes, and pass the "QC" review, anyone has the right to participate in the election, the reason why one person can participate in the election, and Hong Kong's political situation, anti-epidemic needs and other candidates' own momentum is directly related, there are many people in the society who have announced their candidacy, and finally because they have not obtained enough nomination votes, which is probably not related to whether it is a "one-person model". Rather, these candidates failed to gain the support and trust of the EC.

The election of one or more people to run for the chief executive is actually not the focus of the problem, the purpose of the election is to select the best and the most ideal candidate, which requires a long period of investigation, experience and screening. "The test jade must be burned for three days, and the identification of materials must wait for seven years", the chief executive elect naturally cannot rely on more than a month of election projects alone, a political platform, a slogan, several speeches, and various kinds of propaganda to decide out, these are not unimportant, but from the perspective of selecting and employing people, the most important thing is to evaluate the whole process of the candidates' previous work, achievements, responsibilities, performance, etc., to see whether the candidates can get the recognition of different sectors, which is also the main reason for the restructuring and empowerment of the Election Committee, that is, to let the Election Committee play a role." Discernment" role.

Under such consideration, the threshold and requirements for successful "entering the gate" are naturally higher than ever, and it is more difficult to successfully "enter the gate". In the end, how many people can become candidates, mainly depends on their past performance, ability, performance, and of course, those who meet the requirements are welcome to have more competition, but there is no need to indiscriminately fill the numbers, and deliberately let Zhang Sanli and Lisi come out to run for competition in order to "create" the so-called competitive elections.

Entering a new era! Will the "one-man model" become the "new normal" in Hong Kong's chief executive election?

Therefore, for this year's election of the chief executive, only one person can participate in the election; on the one hand, it should be seen that under the new election system, the difficulty of candidates to "enter the gate" has indeed increased significantly compared with the past; in the past, some opposition and even pro-establishment figures no longer have the so-called ideas of "creating kings" and "fishing for kings." Candidates need to rely on real efforts and rely on their own creation to successfully "enter the gate." Under such high requirements, there will naturally not be many candidates. But on the other hand, the so-called "one-person model" is also a false issue, how many people to run mainly depends on the objective environment, look at the quality of the candidates, there is no so-called model, let alone the need to put it

The number of candidates is on the line.

As for whether one person running for office will become the "new normal" for the chief executive election? This is probably also premature. Always, this is the first chief executive election under the new election system, coupled with the epidemic and the international environment and risks and other factors, whether it is the central government or even the Election Commission in the natural stability of the posture, but how the subsequent chief executive election, but also depends on the situation and potential candidates at that time, now it is too early to assert whether "one person to run". Moreover, the Central Committee has made it clear that it will not waver in its determination to implement the "double universal suffrage," and that the future universal suffrage for the chief executive will be "elected by universal suffrage after nomination by a broadly representative nominating committee in accordance with democratic procedures." Universal suffrage is one person, one vote for the whole people. In this way, under the universal suffrage of one person and one vote, only one person can participate in the election, which cannot be said to be impossible, but the opportunity should be small.

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