We all know that Japan's signing at the Qatar World Cup is very bad, and they have drawn Spain and Germany. These two teams, one is unlucky enough, and Japan has drawn two, it can be said that they have the possibility of becoming cannon fodder. After all, the qualifying situation of this group is currently very clear - Germany and Spain are likely to join hands to qualify.
Of course, things must be reversed, and the more so many people look down on Japan, the more likely it is that Japan will create miracles. In fact, there is no shortage of dark horses in every World Cup, and it is not uncommon for strong teams to be defeated by weak teams in the group stage, so it is too early to decide that Japan has no chance to qualify. However, it is too difficult for Japan to beat Germany and Spain in a row; relatively speaking, it is a good result to get a draw from the top two.
So, Germany or Spain, who is more likely to let Japan get points?
Far from it, let's first find relevant materials from the last World Cup. In the last World Cup, Japan won one win, one draw and one loss in the group stage, in which they defeated Colombia, drew Senegal and lost to Poland. It can be seen that Japan is not too bad when playing a technical team; but when it encounters a European power team, it is a bit of a loss.
Of course, in the last round against Poland, the two teams are suspected of playing tacit balls, so the reference is not significant. But the next quarter-finals are telling. In the face of Belgium's onslaught, Japan, which had previously occupied the advantage, could not resist at all.
So it is clear that Japan is not afraid of the flow of technology in the World Cup, but of the power faction. After all, Japan's technology is also very good, so when you meet the same type of team, even if there is a gap in strength, you will not suffer too much. But once the power team uses its physical advantage, it is difficult for Japan to resist.
From this point of view, it can be concluded that Japan does not necessarily have to be more intimidated when it meets Spain; but it is more difficult to meet Germany.
You know, since Frick took office, Germany has gradually restored the impactful style of play before, so the current German team is not as soft as Löw's late coaching. Like the humiliating example of the 2-0 loss to South Korea in the last World Cup, it is difficult to appear in the current German team. Therefore, the German team that Japan will encounter at that time must be a tough German team, even more than the Belgium they met four years ago.
In fact, there is another factor that makes it more likely that Japan will score points in Spain.
In the past decade, Spain has had a characteristic in the big competition field, the group stage is relatively slow and hot. Although they won the 2010 World Cup, they lost the first game of the group stage. In the 2014 World Cup they were even humiliated by the Netherlands 5-1 in the group stage. In the last World Cup, they won one and two draws in three group matches, and they were not alarmed.
In contrast, Germany has always been a group stage to start threatening, and has played a big score in the group stage many times. It can be said that this is very scary for Japan.
Therefore, for Japan, it is still more realistic to push hard against Spain at that time. And since the two sides are only playing in the last round, if Spain has advanced early in the first two games, then it is not ruled out that they let Japan get a point. But for Germany, japan can't think of good things, it is difficult for them to take points from Germany. In particular, the two sides will meet in the first round.
In short, the Japanese team is good to be self-sufficient.