Recently, if it has entered a continuous shock finishing, it is expected to continue the shock pattern during the day, and pay attention to the operation of the prompt range. Industrial products, non-ferrous plate recovery gradually strengthened, but also need to observe further higher performance; black plate, coal plate should have a short-term correction to achieve, thread, hot coil to maintain shock recovery expectations, iron ore to maintain a wide range of shock expectations; chemical plate, fuel oil to observe the early high point impact performance, plastics, methanol smoothly into the prompt killing trend, do a good job of killing and reducing holdings plan, rubber pay attention to band resistance, rebound weakness also need to short follow up. Agricultural products, meal to maintain a rebound in the expected rebound; oil and fat sector into a strong rise, focusing on whether the previous highs can be rebounded and breakthrough; cotton to maintain the expectation of following the shock of the outer disk.
Stock index futures
IF2205: IF touched a high of 4219 on Thursday, with the small Yang line closing. In terms of form, relying on the 4080 line to explore and recover during the week, yesterday's impact test 4220 area entered the shock rebound trend. At present, if is still a medium-term wide range shock pattern, suppressed by yesterday's rush to the high, it is expected to step back to the 4150 line during the day, and then the probability of continuing the repeated trend of the shock, it is difficult to have a smooth unilateral trend at this stage.
Suggestion: IF can gradually participate in the 05 contract, it is expected that the day will also be under pressure yesterday's high 4220 line, the fall stage to pay attention to the 4150 line retracement, appropriate short-term follow-up, but with the gradual digestion of the good, follow-up there is still a chance to test the 4080-4100 area, medium-term wide range shock treatment is appropriate.
nonferrous metal
Shanghai copper 2206: Shanghai copper touched a maximum of 74050 on Thursday, and the Zhongyang line closed. Morphologically, yesterday's intraday shock rebound test 74000 line, the evening recovery failed to break through smoothly, into the shock recovery trend. Referring to the performance of the continuous Yang line recovery, Shanghai copper is expected to enter a further upward trend in the short term, focusing on whether the 74300-74500 area can be broken.
Suggestion: Shanghai copper into the rebound recovery stage, focus on the observation of the 74300-74500 area, rebound breakthrough area, will enter the upward trend of the turn, you can consider backing the 73600 line of short follow-up, such as the Yang line closed higher, more than a single can continue to hold, the strength of the recovery is limited, short-term follow-up is appropriate.
Shanghai nickel 2205: Shanghai nickel touched a maximum of 225200 on Thursday, and the Zhongyang line closed. Morphologically, the three consecutive Yang lines continued to rise, and last night's futures price impact test 228000-230000 area entered a sustained rebound trend. At the price level, the 230000 line corresponds to the medium-term rebound resistance level, and the focus of the day is to observe whether the line impact can be broken.
Suggestion: Shanghai nickel gradually entered the rally upward continuation stage, 230000 first-line key observation, impact test is best to gradually reduce holdings, the remaining hold to see if it can further break through, such as the strength of the break is limited, but also need to do a good backhand plan, at this time to maintain the medium-term wide whipsaw expectations, the current stage of the main to wide range shock treatment.
Silver 2206: Silver touched a high of 5274 on Thursday, with a small Yang line closing. In terms of form, the recent continuous Yang line rose to the 5250 area, and the evening retracement of the 5180-5190 area to explore and rise, continuing the upward pattern. Recently, silver has gradually entered the anti-fall rising stage, and the band support focuses on the 5160-5180 area, running on top of it, maintaining strong continuation expectations.
Suggestion: Silver smoothly impact test 5250 line, at this stage gradually into the shock rebound trend, 5160-5180 area above the run, more than a single can continue to hold, or new positions more than a single opportunity to follow up, maintain further upward expectations, pay attention to whether you can break through the 5250 line, pullback to do more ideas.
Black plate
Thread 2210: Thread touched as high as 5035 on Thursday, and the Zhongyang line closed. In terms of form, yesterday's Zhongyang line rebounded to around 5000, and in the evening, it once again hit the 5050 area, continuing the shock rebound trend. The recent retracement phase has repeatedly obtained the support of the 30-day moving average, and the recovery stage focuses on observing the 5050 line, if the line is strongly broken, the swing high will impact the 5100-5150 area.
Recommendation: Thread medium-term key support corresponding to the 30-day moving average, the running stage, maintain the shock recovery expectations, short-term strong resistance corresponding to the 5050 line, pay attention to whether it can be smoothly broken, such as continuous rush to the high and weak, it is best to choose the opportunity to leave the market, waiting for the key support to continue to follow up for a short time, and control the rhythm of participation.
Iron ore 2209: Iron ore touched a high of 909 on Thursday, and the long-foot Yang line closed. Morphologically, yesterday's intraday inertia broke through the 880 area, the follow-up rebound rose to near 900, and the evening impact on the 920 line entered the rebound trend. Yesterday's black plate collective rebounded upwards, supporting iron ore to recover the 900 mark, focusing on the impact performance of the 920-930 area during the day.
Suggestion: Iron ore focus on observing the 920-930 area, breaking through the area, is to accelerate the upward trend, pay attention to the impact of the previous highs, for the area repeated test is difficult to break, the intraday whipsaw stage also need to observe the 880-890 area, tending to a wide range shock pattern.
Coke 2205: Coke touched a maximum of 4250 on Thursday, and the Changyang line closed. In terms of form, the Long Yang line broke through the 4100 line on Tuesday, and further rose to the 4250 line yesterday, continuing the strong running trend. Recently, the 09 contract has gradually entered the replenishment stage, and the relative high point of the 05 contract focuses on the 4250-4300 area, and it is expected that it should be difficult to break through the area, and the retracement stage refers to the target position in the 4130-4150 area.
Suggestion: Coke to maintain the 4250-4300 area to rush higher target expectations, the recent decline in the killing stage to focus on the 4130-4150 area, refer to the pullback support position, tend to wide wash trend, short-term follow-up.
Glass 2209: Thursday the glass touched as high as 2045, and the small yin line closed. In terms of form, yesterday's intraday recovery encountered resistance in the 2040-2050 area, and the retracement of the 2000 mark failed to break through, entering the whipsaw shock pattern. At present, glass has become a capital hedging variety, and it is expected that the glass plate will repeatedly step back to the 2000 mark, focusing on whether it can be smoothly broken.
Suggestion: Glass recovery strength is obviously limited, 2040-2060 area below the operation, maintain the rebound short selling idea, focus on the 2000 line, such as smooth breakdown, the follow-up low should be in the 1980 area, short selling encountered 2040 line to recover the stability, at this time the short order should not be held.
Chemical sector
Fuel 2209: Fuel hit a maximum of 4091 on Thursday, with a small yin line closing. Morphologically, yesterday, relying on the 4000-4100 area into the shock wash, the evening rebound impact 4100 line, continuing a strong upward trend. It is expected that there should be a further recovery in the intraday, observe the previous wave of highs in the 4300 area, and it is expected to be impacted during the day, and pay attention to whether it can be broken.
Recommendation: Fuel operation is stronger than crude oil, high running stage, will also impact the previous high position, maintain a strong continuation of expectations, but near the previous high point is best to gradually take profit and leave, waiting for a pullback to buy point is appropriate.
Hujiao 2209: Shanghai jiao touched a maximum of 134930 on Thursday, and the small Yang line closed. Morphologically, yesterday's rebound stage still encountered resistance at the 13500 line, and the line entered the shock run under pressure. The recent Shanghai rubber rally is still limited, the intraday focus on the 13500 area, continue to run below the line, maintain the continuation of the decline expectations, continue to observe whether the weekly low of 13300 can be broken.
Suggestion: Shanghai rubber focus on observing the 13500 area, under the operation to maintain the rebound back to the expectation, focus on the 13300 line, break through the line will enter the accelerated killing, otherwise it is still a shock wash pattern, the new position short selling stop loss reference 13600 area.
Plastic 2209: Plastic touched a maximum of 8953 on Thursday, and the Zhongyang line closed. In terms of form, the rebound stage during the week encountered resistance in the 8950-9000 area, and the pressured area continued the shock downward trend. Compared with the performance of crude oil, the willingness of plastics to actively rebound weakens, and it is necessary to maintain the expectation of rising and falling, and at the price level, the intraday focus is on whether the 8800-8850 area can be broken.
Recommendation: plastic band strong resistance reference 9000 mark, under the operation of the opportunity to short single intervention, stop loss reference to the line to rise to stand steady, it is expected that the rebound phase will also test the 8800-8850 area, in case of collective weakening cooperation, relatively low reference 8600 line, rebound short selling ideas.
Methanol 2209: Methanol hit a maximum of 2938 on Thursday, with the upper shadow yang line closing. In terms of form, yesterday's rush to the high stage successfully encountered resistance prompts the suppression of the 2930-2950 area, and the killing stage failed to break through the 2900 mark and entered a continuous shock washing trend. It is expected that the rebound of methanol is still limited, and at the price level, the 2930-2950 area corresponds to short-term resistance, focusing on the test of pressure performance in this area.
Recommendation: Methanol focus on the 2930-2950 area, relying on the area to continue to hold the short order, stop loss reference 2950 line breakthrough, is expected to rebound repair end, will also break the 2900 line, further fall back to expectations.
agricultural products
Soybean meal 2209: Soybean meal touched a minimum of 3875 on Thursday, with a foot yin line to close. In terms of form, the repeated retracement of the 3880 line during the week failed to be broken, and the recovery stage encountered resistance at the 3950 line, entering a continuous shock washing trend. At the price level, for the key support 3880 line, there should be inertial breakdown after repeated retracement, and the first wave of lows should pay attention to whether the 3830-3850 area can be broken.
Suggestion: soybean meal to maintain the rebound to fall back to the expectation, the band of strong resistance still look at the 3950-3980 area, the fall focus on the 3880 line can be broken, back to the 3830-8350 area can be short orders to reduce the position, the remaining holding is appropriate for further observation.
Palm oil 2209: Palm oil touched a maximum of 10988 on Thursday, and the Changyang line closed. In terms of pattern, yesterday's impact on the 11000 mark failed to be broken, and it was tested again in the evening to continue the strong running trend. Compared with the performance of the oil and fat sector, soybean oil rushed up and fell significantly, palm oil and vegetable oil challenged the previous highs, and it is necessary to observe the resonance recovery performance.
Suggestion: Palm oil focus on the 11000 mark, such as the continuous Yang line to break through, the short-term is expected to open a new round of upward trend, for repeated recovery is difficult to stand steady trend, do not rule out the medium-term double top pattern, can enter the observation, or high-altitude soybean oil is appropriate, short-term strong expectations.
Cotton 2209: Cotton touched a maximum of 21360 on Thursday, and the small Yang line closed. In terms of form, the 5-day moving average support was obtained during the retracement stage during the week, and the impact of the 21300 area yesterday failed to break through, continuing the shock recovery trend. At present, the inner disk follows the outer disk into the rebound stage, and at the price level, the intraday focuses on observing whether the 21300 line can be broken and further recovered expectations.
Suggestion: Cotton recently focus on the 21000-21100 area, the running stage of the region, maintain the shock recovery expectations, focus on whether the 21300 area can be broken, short and multi-stage encounter 21000 break, at this time more than one single is not suitable to hold.
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