In the blink of an eye, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has reached its 40th day, and in general, the war situation is still glued, and in places such as Mariupol, Kherson and Donbass, the Russian-Ukrainian army has engaged in a fierce exchange of fire.
At the same time, with the withdrawal of some Russian troops from Kiev and Chernihiv, the Ukrainian army began to counterattack on the northern front, and dozens of towns have been taken in the past few days. The main direction of the Russian offensive was already placed in the north of Donetsk, and after successive fierce battles, the Russians successfully took Iyyum in the south of Kharkov.
The most important thing for the Russian army is to complete the encirclement of the main force of the Ukrainian army in Donbass, and then take the entire Donbass in one fell swoop.
On the 4th, the Russian Defense Ministry said that since the launch of the special military operation, the Russian army has destroyed 125 Ukrainian aircraft, 392 drones and 1936 combat vehicles. In the past few days, the Russian military has destroyed several large fuel depots in Ukraine with precision weapons, as well as the airport located in Nikolayev.
In addition, the Russians fired a number of cruise missiles to bomb the Ukrainian Black Sea town of Odessa in order to destroy the refinery and oil depot.
Russia's offensive plan has three main plans.
First, the use of missiles to accurately bomb Ukraine's fuel depots, oil refineries, military airfields, warehouses, railway hubs and other targets, the purpose is to prevent the Ukrainian army from launching a counterattack in Kherson and Nikolayev, as well as to cut off the Ukrainian army's supply line, so as not to let the Ukrainian army deployed in Donbass get fuel, ammunition and materials.
The ultimate goal was to allow the Russians to annihilate the main Ukrainian forces in Donbass.
Second, in Donetsk, a head-on confrontation with the Ukrainian army was launched to seize the main road and hub to the Donbass, in preparation for the Donbass cluster that surrounded Ukraine on all sides.
Third, attack Mariupol.
Of course, the combat effectiveness of the Ukrainian army should not be underestimated. The Ukrainian Defense Ministry said on the 4th that the Ukrainian army shot down 2 Russian fighters, including 1 Su-35.
This is the first time in history that a Russian Su-35 fighter jet has been shot down on the battlefield, which is of unusual significance, because the Su-35 is the ace fighter of the Russian army.
Ukrainian media published "the wreckage of the Su-35 after it was shot down" and said ukraine captured "Russian pilots who parachuted to escape." Prior to this, the Ukrainian army had also shot down the Russian Su-30 fighter and Su-34 fighter bomber.
From this point of view, the anti-aircraft missiles provided by the United States to Ukraine are not useless, which means that Ukraine's air defense forces have not been completely destroyed, and even strengthened compared with a month ago.
What determines the direction of the War situation between Russia and Ukraine is not only the victory or defeat on the battlefield, but also the diplomatic contest and economic competition, which are also crucial, and for Russia, the most worthy of vigilance is probably Japan and Poland.
Perhaps because Russia did not gain absolute superiority in Ukraine, Sweden and Finland are planning to join NATO, and Poland directly said it was ready to deploy U.S. nuclear weapons on its own soil.
Poland also did not forget to call for the United States to increase its troops in Eastern Europe and to establish a command in Poland.
Russia's response was strong, that is, "all countries that have deployed U.S. nuclear weapons will be Russia's primary targets", and if war breaks out, Poland will suffer.
Russia's implication is nothing more than that Poland would do better not get into trouble for itself, and the end of angering Russia is to pay a heavy price.
For Russia, Poland's repeated provocations and Japan's repeated clamor are difficult to accept, let alone Poland's deployment of U.S. nuclear weapons on Russia's doorstep.
The reason why Putin wants to launch a special military operation against Ukraine is to prevent Ukraine from joining NATO, "de-militarize" Ukraine, and prevent Ukraine from obtaining offensive weapons that can threaten Russia's security.
The result of Poland knowing that it could not do anything was to kick the iron plate. Of course, the United States will not deploy nuclear weapons in Poland, because Biden knows that it means a direct military confrontation between the United States and Russia.
For the United States, the tactics of pressure on Russia are innumerable, and military confrontation is almost the most than worth the loss, and the United States will not take the risk unless it is a last resort, because Russia has thousands of nuclear warheads, and it is absolutely enough to destroy the United States.