Source | Valley Rain Planet
ID | guyujihua2021
Author | Summer
Nearly 400 rattan schools have been admitted, what is the climbing rate?
Today is the annual Ivy Day, the major U.S. Ivy schools have issued lists, and the circle of friends is lively as if the New Year.
In fact, under the influence of the epidemic, the current situation, policies, and university admission preference factors, the number of admissions this year has decreased, and the official data of the university shows that the admission rate has reached a new low, such as the number of Applicants in Harvard's 2026 class has reached a new high, the admission rate of 3.19% is a record low, and Brown's admission continues to decline.
Harvard released the latest acceptance rate
Brown released the latest acceptance rate
But yesterday, many parents came to ask me, didn't the IVFG also issue hundreds of admissions? It feels like a lot of it?
So today, do not discuss the number, exclusively to talk about the truth behind the number - it seems to be a very beautiful hundreds of rattan school offers, in the end what is the climbing rate? And what do you value most about climbing vines?
Eight Ivy League schools in the United States
01
How many people are admitted to the IVFet school instead of the number of people?
As of press time, the data shows that there are a total of 352 admissions to the IVet School, including 195 in the RD stage and 157 in the early application. This article discusses domestic high schools, so for the time being, it is not counted in the US high school data, and a total of 186 admissions have been calculated in China.
If you remove the data of foreign schools, domestic high schools (non-foreign) have received a total of 160 admissions to the IVFet schools, 76 people in the early application stage, and 84 people in the regular application stage.
Next, let's do a "check".
The policies of each school are different.
To put it simply, if a student wants to climb the vine, he can only apply to one school in the early application stage, such as Harvard, then he can only apply for this ivy school (you can apply to other public universities), so the offer for the early application can almost be one person for one.
After receiving early admission, the university will encourage students to return to other universities to apply. However, some students who get admission will apply to other Ivy League schools or TOP10 universities at the rd stage, which is not uncommon.
However, under the best state of assuming that everyone withdraws their RD applications, the number of RD admissions is not duplicated by the number of early admissions.
Harvard REA Policy
At the RD stage, each student can apply to multiple universities at the same time.
Some IVet schools often have similar admission tastes, or excellent students are similar, so it is normal for a school to admit more than 3 top 10 & IVFJ from the same student.
According to the above estimates, about 30% of the offer repetition rate is deducted – it is possible that this probability is still low – and the number of students admitted to domestic high schools in the RD stage this year is estimated to be 60.
Add up the number of students admitted to the IVFGs at the two application stages, for a total of 76 + 60 = 126 students. Under the statement, this is the most ideal estimate for all students admitted to the IVB school in the early stage that they will no longer apply to other IV schools at the RD stage and remove the REA to regular RD students.
That is to say, out of the 353 admissions to the IVF, only a maximum of 126 students from Chinese mainland high school share the admission quota of 8 IVF schools.
Columbia's acceptance rate was only 3.7 percent, and applications rose 51 percent.
02 The climbing rate is estimated to be about 2%.
Next, let's estimate the climbing rate of Chinese mainland high school students, and state again that this is not rigorous mathematical statistics, nor can it be calculated.
According to the 2021 U.S. Open Doors Report, there are 310,000 Chinese students studying in the United States, and the number of Chinese students studying in the United States for undergraduate degrees is 125,616, accounting for 39.6% of the total number of Chinese students studying in the United States.
According to the four-year undergraduate calculation, the average number of Chinese students studying in the United States each year is 31,404. This includes the total number of U.S. high school nationality students.
Looking at the total number of U.S. students in the United States, the data shows that the number of non-degree students is 7,458, accounting for 2.4% of the total number of Chinese students studying in the United States. According to the four years of US High School, that is, about 1864 people per year.
U.S. Gateway Open Report
Subtracting the total number of U.S. students (from U.S.) each year from the total number of undergraduate students studying in Chinese universities each year, the total number of Chinese mainland high school undergraduates who take F1 visas is 29,540 per year.
Then, among the total 29,540 undergraduate students who go to the United States in each session, about 120 people are admitted to the Ivy League, and the proportion of Chinese mainland high school ivy students in the international students does not exceed 0.04%.
According to the top 20% of students will apply to at least one IVet school, the probability of climbing the ivy is not more than 2%.
In other words, more than 98% of students are unable to climb the vine successfully. As for the big vine at the tip of the gold tower, the result is at least 5%, which is more difficult.
So, if we only see the 2% success rate of climbing vines, the survivor bias makes us ignore the elephant in the room in the climbing vine.
Parents don't have to worry, I have asked many counselors and school guidance, more than 80% of students can basically be admitted to the matching school. In other words, our children are most likely to be able to enter a matching school, and may be able to catch up with expectations.
For example, the TOP30 University 2021 admitted more than 830 people in Shanghai, the TOP50 more than 2,000 people, and then one of the British G5 University College UCL in Shanghai 500 + admissions every year, and the University of Toronto in Canada issued nearly 400 admissions. These schools are ranked in the top fifty globally.
There are also more niche countries to study in, cost-effective, good quality, safer, but also a new choice. To understand this, is it much less stressful?
Study Abroad in Germany Report
03 Climbing vine = time and place
The competition at the tip of the pyramid must be fierce, and each of them is no longer a hegemon, but a god-like all-round development, which I call the competition of different dimensions.
Raising a big vine school baby, tianshi (child talent), geographical advantage (era factor) and (family matching), one is indispensable, but there is an importance ranking, in my opinion, the heavens and times > the geographical advantages> people.
First, the days are well understood, talent.
For example, after I once talked to a prospective Harvard mother for a long time about parenting, I suddenly remembered to ask how high the CHILD's IQ is? The mother said that her son's IQ is not high in the laboratory, just over 150, his ancestors were the earliest foreign language professors in Qingbei, and he took his children to read English books from an early age...
Two days ago I chatted with a MIT dad, he himself is a super famous school high school students, the child is talented, one of the top schools at home and abroad is the most top, the adaptability is very strong, sports is also the highest level, writing awards are also the highest level, but also Bilingual in Chinese and English, many friends, optimistic and cheerful.
Dad also said that we regret not to guide him academically, and with his IQ and ability, he will definitely be able to achieve results.
A student once shared with me that the school was admitted to the University of Fuji: just one word to describe, genius. This reminds me of Gu Ailing. For such a child, as long as parents do not drag their feet, it is the greatest help.
What is even more enviable is that most ivy school parents have great respect for their children, know how to guide their children, and build ladders for their children, which is an equal relationship of equal strength.
Every time I interview such a family, on the one hand, I will also be very impressed with the wisdom of my parents and learn more, but on the other hand, I can always think of many parents who also have similar wisdom, and I have not raised a cow baby.
Second, geographical advantage, that is, the choice of the times.
Over the years, the admission preferences of IVFG schools have changed somewhat, from first-tier cities to second- and third-tier cities, from top famous schools to some new schools, which is jokingly called "rain and dew".
Like the Chinese students admitted by Harvard this year, they are not limited to the well-known public schools in the past, but also in two second-tier schools such as Shanghai Jianping and Beijing 101. Last year, students from Suzhou, Chengdu and other places were admitted.
A consultant once told me that he had taken a Harvard student to follow his business parents to the north and south, and the school said that the admitted Students of the Vines were almost from other places to study, and they had the diversity that American universities preferred.
Yale acceptance rates are around 4.46 percent.
Are you saying that other students must be inferior to them? Not necessarily. If you want to talk about metaphysics, maybe the school's preference at that time was metaphysics. Some parents once said that they originally thought that their children had taken advantage of going north to study, but they did not expect to become a disadvantage for The admission of Ōto, because the life experience was too thin and lacked diversity.
Therefore, children in first-tier cities to study at Meigao have become the choice of many people. However, to judge the flow of the times, it is the most testing thing for the pattern. Therefore, Gu Ailing's mother is only one.
Finally, there is the person, that is, the fit between parents and children.
Whether it is a genius or an ordinary person, there is a distinction between good development and lack of talent, it is not easy for parents to be talented, and the average person also has a threshold for rising, after all, most of them do not have the degree of effort to fight for talent.
Well, this is the homework of parents, and it is also the place where most ordinary parents can work hard.
Although the big vine is out of reach, dreams can still exist.
And with a sense of purpose, it is more motivated, which is also one of the evaluation indicators of the process of education, but do not equate the ultimate goal of further education with only a very small probability of climbing vines, otherwise it may increase anxiety in vain, but it will not be worth the loss.