Yesterday, the United States raised interest rates, an increase of 0.25%, in line with market expectations, boots landed, and stocks rose normally. Anyway, now everyone has accepted the fact that the interest rate is raised, after all, inflation is so strong, it will be finished without a rate hike.
Take another look at the rebound of Chinese stocks last night, the increase is unprecedented, if anyone is doing the air overview, last night should have exploded and jumped.
In fact, there are many foreign short-selling Financial Products of Chinese companies, all of which are several times the leverage, and the full pots earned in the first two weeks, but only yesterday a day may instantly burst back to the pre-liberation, which is really terrible.
Today the stock market continued to be red, Hong Kong still rose 6 points, but A shares began to show pressure.
Although A shares are red today, they began to go lower in the afternoon, and finally rose only half of the highest point, while the A50 index continued to decline after 3 points, basically losing today's gains.
After all, the urine nature of A shares is still there, the risk of foreign countries has not been lifted, it is not realistic to want to soar all the way, and the next few days may be a process of repeated bottoming.
As for whether it will fall again and form a "double bottom", I think it will not be, there is really no reason to panic like the previous few days, and it should continue to rise in the entanglement.
Yesterday's meeting of the Financial Commission was indeed very effective, and many departments immediately made statements, such as the Securities Regulatory Commission said that it would stabilize the market and actively communicate on the matter of Chinese stocks; the Central Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission also said that it would support economic stability; the most critical of which was that the Ministry of Finance stated that it would not expand the pilot scope of real estate tax this year.
This statement is actually very critical.
We know that one of the things the market fears the most is that the boots don't fall to the ground, like a knife hanging on the head, which will smash you to death at any time. In this case, no one dares to make a move, only a look, so many people did not dare to buy a house before, they wanted to wait for the property tax to land, see the change in house prices and then sell.
Now directly tell everyone not to wait, the property tax will not be introduced for the time being, the buyer should buy a house to buy a house, which is definitely a positive for the property market. More importantly, this statement is actually a signal to everyone, that is, the above iron will definitely take care of real estate this year, and will not hammer it.
So always let others "stabilize expectations", in fact, the immediate statement of key departments is the real stable expectation, the market has been a bird of fright for more than half a year, and any two roars can scare you to pee your pants.
Therefore, today's real estate stocks and bonds soared, not the reason for the real estate tax, but the attitude given above, the housing enterprises will increase the strength of help and care, after all, the previous stock prices are towards the "thunderstorm" to fall.
In fact, friends who often read my articles should not be too surprised by the property tax, because I wrote a few days ago (about the relaxation of the property market, a few views), this year's property market will continue to relax, until next year, the property tax is introduced.
So, you pan brother or your uncle!
Then, yesterday, many people asked me whether the property tax was going to rise if the property tax was not introduced.
I think so, from two points
First, if your logic is correct, if the property tax is not introduced, the house price will rise, then after the property tax is introduced, the house price will inevitably fall. This rise and fall, your house has not been built yet, the rise and fall back, a dream day trip, what is the meaning?
Second, we must admit that the heat of the property market will indeed rise, and house prices will rise to a certain extent. Because people's memory is only three seconds, the stock market has fallen miserably, as long as it rises, leeks will forget everything to rush in, so the property market is the same, even if they know that there will be real estate taxes in the future, but as long as the heat rises, they will also rush in at all costs, human nature.
Under the highest instructions to encourage the introduction of active policies and prohibit the introduction of shrinkage policies, all localities actually have reasons to support the market, as long as they relax regulation and control and raise the price limit, it is easy to bring up the enthusiasm for buying a house in this spring.
So whether house prices will rise, please keep an eye on your city's policies, in the end will not be greatly relaxed.
Of course, you must also be clear that the essence of China's life is red and white face, and after red face is white face, so after the real estate has played the residual heat, sooner or later it will still be hammered, and the house price will still have great pressure.
So our idea of buying a house remains the same, only buying the kind of high-quality, everyone wants to live in the house, rather than closing their eyes and grabbing it.
That's it