This week, with the favorable tone of the Chinese financial management meeting, the normal landing of the US interest rate hike boots, and the signs of easing in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and other unfavorable factors gradually improved and dissipated, the strong risk aversion has dissipated, the short-selling force has been directly exploded, and the short-term bullish force has gradually become stronger!
Although today's A shares continued yesterday's strong long atmosphere, the Yang line generally rose, but the peripheral rally was gratifying and the early high opened to beat everyone's expectations too full, the afternoon rushed higher and fell back, and finally the anti-V-shaped trend closed, so that many people were a little disappointed!
The old iron, which was tortured and scared by A shares, saw the index rush up and down, and inevitably had a pimple in his heart, and a series of questions in his heart came again! Is the rally coming to an end again? The large market funds are going to play a day trip, a two-day tour inflow, and tomorrow is going to run?
At the same time, everyone is speculating whether tomorrow's index will pull back to make up for today's gap, the atmosphere is getting stronger and stronger, and even many people are still passing the index to the second bottom, may break 3000 points, looking for the real market bottom!
So where is the bottom of the market that everyone is talking about?
First of all, my article yesterday wrote very clearly, the Shanghai Composite Index 3023 point is the policy bottom of this round of decline, I believe that many old irons also agree with it, and also said why there are two bottoms or multiple bottoms to finally form the market bottom!
In order to let everyone accurately and intuitively understand what is the bottom of the market, I deliberately went to the A-share to look for it, and found that the financial conference in October 2018 was very similar to yesterday's financial conference!
The same national financial management meeting to set the tone to the market, a big Yang line formed a policy bottom, opened a wave of rebound, similar as high as 90%!
But the shanghai index rebound is not a one-off, only two big yang lines, followed by the shock upward to the 30-day, 60-day moving average, the rebound suddenly stopped! After 2 months of intervals, the second bottom was opened, forming a new low, that is, the market bottom, the next thing everyone knows, opened a 2-3 year small bull market!
Of course, when I say that the A-share situation in 2018 is similar, I am not telling you that there will be a bull market this year, but I just want to say that there is still a possibility of secondary bottoming, the probability of the W-shaped rebound trend is extremely high, and the focus is on the unknown interval time!
At present, the rebound has only opened for two days, and the probability will not end so quickly, and the rebound may be subject to certain resistance, and the rise will not be so smooth, and it will be transformed into a shock upward!
Therefore, you have to accept the fact that the A-share adjusts while pulling up, gradually digesting the fact that the chips are trapped, it is possible that sometimes the splash of the water splashing up is a little big, and you can't fantasize about pulling up all the way, so there is no way to last!
The most dangerous and darkest times have been carried, are you still afraid of this little wind and wave? Big deal you heavy position is uncomfortable, slightly batch subtract a little position is it, do the swing market on the line!