On March 10, 2022, The candidate of the National Power Party of Korea, Yoon Seok-wook, was elected as the 20th president of South Korea.
In 2020, I wrote "Moon Jae-in's Change of Life Against Heaven", which detailed the history of Yin Seok-yue and Moon Jae-in's feud, and now it needs to be briefly repeated.
Yin Xiyue was born in 1960 in Seoul (I still like to call it Seoul) Kochi family, his father is the founding father and honorary professor of applied statistics at Yonsei University, his mother is a lecturer at Ewha Womans University, his parents are famous university teachers, Yin Xiyue was born with a good social network waiting for him.
Just like your parents, a Tsinghua professor and a Peking University professor, their students are easily mixed with executives of large enterprises or provincial and departmental cadres, and the starting point for inviting people to dinner when you grow up is different from ordinary people.
Generally speaking, parents are great teachers, and children's academic performance is rarely broken, yoon Seok-yue grew up in this environment and was successfully admitted to the law department of Seoul University.
Everyone should pay attention to the fact that in addition to Park Jin-hye on the South Korean side, the other presidents of the recent years have all studied law, and the proportion of presidents or senior officials in the world graduating from the law departments of famous universities is extremely high, which has become a common phenomenon, because most countries in the world are learning from the European and American political systems, and all countries that implement this system will involuntarily elect law department members as officials.
Only China is an exception, many officials in China are from science and engineering backgrounds, and the eloquence of speeches is usually not as good as that of these lawyers, but rationality is far greater than sensibility, and governing the country is often like solving mathematical problems or modeling, and also memorizing modeling KPIs, which will be more rational in planning layout.
You can understand that most countries in the world are just a group of lawyers fighting another group of lawyers.
In particular, the Regime on the Korean Peninsula is a layman in the foreign war, an insider in the civil war, and the internal struggle is particularly fierce, and the fight is dark and dark, and the sun and moon are dark.
When Yoon Seok-wook was in college, he began to show his fighting skills, and at the age of 20, he simulated the trial of then-president Chun Doo-hwan on the university campus, played the prosecutor himself, and sentenced Jeon Doo-hwan to death, so he got into trouble and fled to Gangwon-doo for a while.
After graduating from university, he really went to the post of procurator, took the judicial examination 9 times in a row, finally passed at the age of 31, got the completion certificate of the Judicial Training Institute at the age of 34, and began to enter the Daegu Local Procuratorate as a prosecutor, and has been mixed in the procuratorial system for a lifetime.
Becoming a prosecutor is the first choice of most aspiring young people in South Korea.
The pass rate of the Korean judicial system exam is only 2.54%, which is lower than the success rate of entrepreneurship in China, so Yoon Seok-yue took the exam 9 times, Roh Moo-hyun took the exam 7 times, and the tuition fee is very perverted, after completing the law undergraduate, it costs about 900,000 yuan (157 million won), and after passing the exam, go to the Judicial Training Institute for two years to intern, and then pass the internship graduation exam to qualify as a prosecutor.
This work is also particularly hard, usually to work 80 hours a week, is twice the normal person, but the salary is also high, the first year of work annual salary of about 30-500,000 yuan, ten years of service annual salary can reach one million yuan, or iron rice bowl, can do this position of people, indicating high talent, good physical fitness, good economic conditions, stable development, mother-in-law and mother-in-law love.
South Korea's rules of criminal procedure are extremely special, most of the national police and the judiciary are parallel, the police catch people, collect good evidence, hand it over to the prosecutor, and then the court decides, the police and the prosecutor are only upstream and downstream relationship.
But this is not the case in South Korea, the investigation and results of criminal cases, the decision power is only granted to the prosecutor, the police do not have the right to handle cases independently, the police can only give the prosecutor a hand to run errands, can not prosecute the prisoner, with no evidence provided by the police, also determined by the prosecutor, the status of the police is lower than the prosecutor, the prisoner who wants to be arrested does not have the procurator nodding, the police can only stare dryly with a bunch of evidence, the prosecutor even has the right to mobilize the police officers in the jurisdiction to search and investigate a specific case, without the permission of the prosecutor, Nor can the police carry out or cease investigations.
Every case is initiated and completed in the personal name of the prosecutor, which can be said to cover the sky with one hand.
In a word, the prosecutor is the superior of the police, with great local and central judicial power.
As long as the case he is responsible for, he has always been responsible for the end, the boss is not allowed to intervene, the procuratorate can not manage, the power is too big to be controlled.
Prosecutors with a strong sense of justice dare to use the power in their hands to fight the local chaebols, and the less just prosecutors will collect some money and close the case.
The procurator is the jinyi guard who takes full responsibility for himself when handling cases, and the good or bad depends on the individual, sometimes producing heroes and sometimes producing demons.
The Korean procuratorial system is subordinate to the Prosecutor's Office below the Ministry of Justice, and the management department of the Procuratorate is called the Grand Prosecutor's Office and the High Prosecutor's Office, where there is a group of middle-aged and elderly men with big bellies whose hair is about to fall out, and further down, it is the local procuratorate that really runs errands and works.
The prosecutor's office is under the control of the legal department, the legal affairs are under the control of the president, and according to common sense, the people in the procuratorate should be trembling when they see the president, but this is not the case in South Korea, because the special nature of the procurator's "case goes with the person", and this kind of thing often happens under the control of the next person, and the small prosecutor can often move the president.
After the door of Park Jin-hye's girlfriend, the special inspection team dared to search the Blue House, but under normal circumstances, the procurator was not so rigid, mainly to see people off the dish, when the president was strong, they rarely confronted the hard face, the president was too weak or had stepped down, the procurator dared to show a "dare to fight with the powerful" of the clear stream of fame and seniority, to kill the president who has stepped down.
Therefore, there is a particularly strange phenomenon in South Korea, that is, after the president stepped down, he could not move to get into prison, Park Jin-hye, Lee Myung-bak, Roh Tae-wook, Andaw Doo-hwan were all imprisoned, and Roh Moo-hyun was directly forced to die.
South Korean media nicknamed some prosecutors "power hyenas" because they bullied them when they saw who had lost their power.
South Korea's domestic politics is divided into two major forces, the progressive faction is Kim Dae-jung, Kim Young-sam, Roh Moo-hyun, Moon Jae-in this way, conservatives are Park Chung-hee, Chun Doo-hwan, Lee Myung-bak, Park Jin-hye, to today's Yoon Seok-wook this way.
Prosecutors are like hyenas, who bite the faction whenever they leave office, and work particularly hard to curry favor with the new president until the deposed president is put in jail or killed.
In most cases, the progressive faction is pro-China and hates the Peace Talks with north Korea, and the conservatives are pro-Japanese and tired of China and North Korea, which is the basic disk, and occasionally it will be flexible, such as Park Jin-hye actually had a good relationship with China in the early days, and later planted it in the hands of THAAD, but no matter which faction, it still has to obediently listen to the United States.
At the beginning of the establishment of the South Korean procuratorate, how did it come up with such a strange system that made the procurator lawless?
Because this system was founded by Mei Dad, it was specially used to clean up the two obedient sons of Japan and South Korea.
After World War II, the US military occupied Japan and South Korea, the lighthouse country carried out administrative reforms on Japan and South Korea, in order to let go of those domestic opposition who did not obey their orders, so that the Japanese civilian officials of the US Embassy in Japan formed a "special investigation department" to investigate Japanese bigwigs, which later grew into a well-known special search office in Japan.
Note that this birthplace is the Japanese migrant workers in the US Embassy in Japan...
Needless to say, right?
The United States also left such a hand when it set up South Korean prosecutors, who were established as the most special part of the separation of powers between the judiciary, the executive and the legislature, and this department is indeed under the jurisdiction of the Ministry of Justice, which is ostensibly a subordinate of the president, but the independence is very, very large, the space for manipulation is very, very deep, and the highest executive and legislative organs cannot interfere in their behavior.
The procuratorate has 1 procurator general, 5 senior procurators, 18 procurators, and 2,000 procurators, and although the supreme prosecutor is appointed by the president, he is not affected by the president's change, and during his term of office, the next president has no power to move him.
Coupled with the procuratorial independence system introduced earlier, the procurator independently judges the facts of the case and bears the consequences and responsibilities himself, including any superior who does not have the right to change his decision, so that the procurator can walk sideways in South Korea, from the president down to the rogue, anyone can stir it up.
In short, the procuratorate led by the attorney general is an uncontrolled force, and if it is not done well, it is easy to be repulsed.
Yin Xiyue was not originally a conservative person, and in the earliest days, he also overthrew several conservatives.
In 2006, as a core prosecutor, when investigating the Hyundai Motor case, he did not give Lee Myung-bak face, persuaded prosecutor General Zheng Sang-myung to detain Hyundai Motor's agent, Jeong Meng-joo, in 2011 when investigating the Bank of Busan, he detained Lee Myung-bak's brother Lee Sang-deok, in 2012 the national intelligence agency boss Se-hoon operated the presidential election, on the Internet he wrote in yin, praised Park Jin-hye, Yoon Seok-wook found out and specifically investigated Won Se-hoon, so that Won Se-hoon was sentenced to 2 years and 6 months in prison, suspended for 4 years, Park Jin-hye was very angry about this, He was demoted, and since then he has served in the local prosecutors offices of Suwon, Daegu, and Daejeon, and has not had the opportunity to be promoted.
But from this time on, Yin Xiyue's fame was shocked, and everyone thought that this middle-aged fat man in his 50s even dared to provoke the president, and was a man.
After Park Jin-hye fell because of his girlfriend's door, Moon Jae-in considered that Yoon Seok-wook had helped him, and less than 9 days after taking office, he appointed Yoon Seok-wook as the chief prosecutor of the Seoul Central District Prosecutor's Office, and asked him to clean up Lee Myung-bak, who had a deep hatred with him, and Yoon Seo-wook, with years of experience, started with Lee Myung-bak's US DAS litigation fees, and quickly found out that Lee Myung-bak had accepted 11 billion won from Samsung and sent Lee Myung-bak to prison.
In June 2019, Moon Jae-in saw his meritorious service and promoted him to the highest position in the procuratorial system.
The reason why it is out of line is that Yoon Seok-wook did not serve as a leader in the High Prosecutor's Office, breaking the convention of the procuratorate, from the local government to Seoul to the prosecutor general, by helping Moon Jae-in clean up political opponents, stepping on Lee Myung-bak and Park Jin-hye.
By this time, Yin Xiyue was not a conservative person, he should be regarded as supporting each other with Moon Jae-in, the bad was bad, his position was given by Moon Jae-in, but Moon Jae-in could not control this post.
In August 2019, less than two months after Yin Xiyue took office, the two sides began to turn faces.
In order to break the vicious circle of South Korean politics that "the president has to go to jail when he leaves office", Moon Jae-in promoted two important bills, one is the "Amendment to the Criminal Procedure Law" and the other is the "Amendment to the Prosecutor's Office Law".
The two bills aim to redivide the powers of prosecutors and police in South Korea, the police can handle cases at their discretion, and have been given the power of preliminary investigation and the right to conclude cases at stages, without looking at the face of the procurator, from the past superior-subordinate relationship to the upstream and downstream relationship, the scope of procuratorial case filing is limited to corruption, economic, public office, election, military and other important crimes stipulated by presidential decrees, police civil servant crimes, judicial police transfer related crimes.
The privileges of South Korea's procuratorial bodies have been almost completely abolished.
To advance both bills, Moon also appointed Cao Guo (former chief secretary of the Cheongwadai Civil Administration), whom he had focused on cultivating, as minister of justice.
But these two bills will provoke Yin Xiyue, he is the highest speaker in the procuratorial system, less than half a year in office, Moon Jae-in will abolish their privileges, he does not shoot, the procurator's power to fly up will be abolished, the following little brother who obeys him? This is absolutely intolerable.
In August 2019, before Cao Guo took office, Yoon Seok-yue blackmailed his future boss, and the Seoul Central District Prosecutor's Office began to investigate Cao Guo, finding some trivial reasons, saying that he used his personal connections to help his daughter enroll in prestigious schools, and his family illegally operated school foundations and financial investments.
Cao Guo was a polite reader, who had played these old fried strips in the political arena, and in less than a month, he was criticized and criticized by Yin Xiyue's men.
Cao Guo, who knew nothing about political struggle, could not withstand this pressure, and soon lost the battle, resigned on October 14, 2019, and only served as the minister of justice for 35 days, going to teach at the university.
Moon Jae-in can only ask the veteran Akimi Ai to suppress Yoon Seok-wook.
The 61-year-old Akimi-ai has served as a member of parliament five times, served three presidents, is a common Democratic Party whip, a big man among big men, and her qualifications can be prime minister or president of the Grand Court, but for moon's reform, she still accepted Moon's nomination in November 2019 and became minister of justice on January 3, 2020.
Akimi Ai's inauguration ceremony, as a direct subordinate Yin Xiyue did not attend, he knew that this time came a real opponent.
On January 8, 2020, just five days after working on the job, Cho Mi-ae quickly cut through the chaos and replaced all five of Yoon Seok-wook's most important henchmen of the Grand Inspection Department, Han Dong-hoon, the anti-corruption department minister in charge of investigating The Cao Guo case, was transferred to Busan, the Seoul Central District Attorney General Bae Seong-bum, who was responsible for investigating the Cao people, was transferred to the Legal Training Institute, park Can-ho, the minister of public investigation in charge of the Ulsan mayoral election case, was transferred to Jeju, the director of the Old Thorn Head Planning adjustment department, Lee Won-suk, was transferred to Suwon, Gyeonggi Province, and the Suwon district prosecutor general, who had a good relationship with Yoon Seo-yue, was transferred to Suwon, the suwon local prosecutor who had a good relationship with Yoon Seok-yue. Transferred to the Judicial Research Institute, this kind of Clear Water Yamen.
Cho Mi-ai's confidant, Former Deputy Prosecutor General of the Southern Seoul Prosecutor's Office, Shin Jae-chul, was appointed Minister of Serious Anti-Corruption Cases to take over the Cho Kwok case, former Suwon District Attorney General Bae Yong-won was appointed Minister of Investigation to take over the Ulsan election case, and Moon Jae-in's disciple Lee Sung-yun was appointed Seoul Central District Attorney General.
A total of 32 officials at the level of chief procurator were transferred, which dealt a heavy blow to Yin Xiyue, making Yin Xiyue unable to lift his head for a while.
On January 13, 2020, the South Korean National Assembly voted to pass the "Amendment to the Criminal Procedure Law" and the "Amendment to the Prosecutor's Office Law", 165 of the 167 members voted in favor, the procuratorial reform was finally successful, Moon Jae-in finally succeeded in weakening the privileges of the procuratorial organs, and the history of South Korean procurators covering the sky with one hand became a thing of the past!
However, the struggle between Yin Xiyue and Qiu Mei'ai was not over, and the two sides fought for more than a year.
On November 24, 2020, Cho Mei-ae demanded that her subordinate Yoon Seok-yue suspend and punish him on the grounds that in November 2018, Yoon Seok-yue had an improper meeting with Hong Seok-hyun, the president of The JoongAng Ilbo, who was involved in the case, violating the principle of political neutrality, which was the first time in South Korean history that the Minister of Justice had asked the Attorney General to suspend his post, and prosecutors across the country protested en masse, Yoon Seok-yue launched an administrative lawsuit to revoke the suspension of the suspension order, and on December 1, the Seoul Administrative Court suspended the punishment and Yoon Seok-yue returned to work.
On December 16, Qiu Mei'ai once again initiated the Disciplinary Committee of the Ministry of Justice to discuss the punishment of Yin Xiyue and demanded that he be suspended for two months, but this time Moon Jae-in did not want to fight, did not approve, and Qiu Mei'ai resigned in a huff.
By March 4, 2021, Yoon Seok-yue also announced his resignation as prosecutor general in front of the office building of the Seocho District Prosecutor's Office in Seoul, and his resignation speech was full of frustration and indignation, saying that the Korean procuratorial system had been destroyed and was now facing collapse, and that his duties as prosecutor general had been exhausted, and that "I could not watch everything collapse."
Obviously, Yoon Seok-yue, who has been a prosecutor for a lifetime, is full of dissatisfaction with Moon Jae-in's stripping away the privileges of prosecutors.
But during the infighting with Qiu Mei Ai, Yin Xiyue, who frequently made headlines, turned out to be a big hit for the next president, when with a 19.8% approval rating, with Lee Luoyuan and Lee Jae-ming standing on three feet, South Korean poll agency Realmeter said that Yin Xiyue was suspended by Qiu Mei Ai, which was the main reason for its rising approval rate.
Good luck came, can't stop it, this can be regarded as a blessing in disguise.
In June 2021, after five consecutive weeks of showing the highest support, Yoon Seok-woo announced his candidacy for the South Korean presidential election, and on July 30, he joined the conservative National Power Party and became a member of his former rival camp.
Yin Xiyue came to this step, which can be said to be full of drama.
He personally sent conservative Lee Myung-bak and Park Jin-hye to prison, and finally in retaliation for Akimi Ai and Moon Jae-in, he defected to the conservative camp, and finally succeeded in being elected president.
And this buddy is really lucky, he is less than 0.8% higher than Moon's successor Lee Jae-ming, lee jae-ming's approval rating is 47.83%, and his approval rate is 48.56%.
Such a weak winning percentage is mainly because the Seoul area has 200,000 votes more than Lee Jae-myung, and the reason why the Seoul area supports him is because Moon Jae-in's real estate policy failed and the support rate of his political party plummeted, which gave Yoon Seok-yue the opportunity to beat Lee Jae-myung at the last minute.
If he is elected again, Yin Xiyue estimates that it will be difficult to be elected again, and his luck component is too high when he is elected president this time.
So what is the impact of Yin Xiyue's election on China?
The impact is very bad.
Yoon Seok-yue's pre-election governing framework included: controlling housing prices, abolishing real estate taxes, abolishing the Women's Family Ministry (KNUB), strengthening the Korea-U.S. alliance, adding THAAD deployments, privatizing health care and public transportation, abolishing denuclearization policies, and using nuclear power to generate electricity.
The media unanimously believes that Yoon Seok-wook is the most anti-China president of South Korea after independence.
During a televised debate last month, Yoon said that "war can only be stopped by ensuring pre-emptive strike capabilities" and hoped to cooperate more with the QUAD alliance formed by the United States, Japan, India, and Australia to encircle China.
The most noteworthy thing for us here is whether Yin Xiyue will add the THAAD system.
When Moon Jae-in first took office, Sino-ROK relations fell into a trough, and when Moon Jae-in visited China, our high-level officials hung him out in Beijing for a day or two before meeting him, and Moon Jae-in put forward three no-promises: Do not consider additional deployment of THAAD, do not join the US anti-missile system, and do not develop the US-Japan-ROK military alliance.
This THAAD missile system is specially designed for China's DF-21D and DF-26, which can monitor most of China's northeast, north China, and southeast coasts, and is a huge military threat to China.
Therefore, when South Korea deployed THAAD, Sino-South Korean relations directly fell into the freezing point, and the Korean restriction order was subsequently announced that South Korea's entertainment industry, cosmetics, and clothing could not be sold directly, and I was a friend of Korean cosmetics imports, and I directly went bankrupt and closed my door that year.
And Yin Xiyue actually put the THAAD deployment that China cares about most in the administrative program, which shows how hostile china has reached.
In January 2022, Yoon Seok-yue said he would give way to the THAAD base in Seungju County, Gyeongsangbuk-do Province, back to normal.
Generally speaking, what a politician says before he takes office is not necessarily strictly enforced when he comes to power, but judging from Yin Xiyue's current anti-China stance, the China-Japan-ROK FTA is estimated to be greatly impacted.
As for the things deployed by THAAD, we must listen to Yin Xiyue and watch his deeds, if Yin Xiyue really dares to do so, Sino-Rok relations will immediately break down.
At that time, all Chinese companies doing business with South Korea had better prepare for risk ahead of time, and this time it will be a world-wide rupture, south Korea's trade dependence on China has reached about 25%, and the trade surplus with China exceeds that of Japan and the United States combined.
The rise to power of such an anti-China president has made the future of Sino-South Korean relations full of uncertainty, and it is also recommended that domestic companies doing business with South Korea pay attention to controlling risks, whether it is South Korean cuisine, cosmetics, automobiles, culture and other industries, it is estimated that in the next five years, it will enter a low period.
Of course, before the wave of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation, a small country replaced an anti-China president, but it was only a small twist and turn in the river of history, whether it was Moon Jae-in, who was pro-China, or Yin Xiyue, who was anti-China, was not the decisive force that determined whether the Chinese nation could rise.
Our own revival is done little by little by our own protagonists with our own hands.