No nonsense, directly talk about the war situation, the previous article said that on February 28, 2022, the Russian army completed the siege of important cities in Ukraine, while the Russian army in the north and south of the east threw the weight of the wheel, frantically rushed to the road, ready to wrap dumplings.
The battlefield situation at that time is roughly as follows:
Amazingly, as of March 9, the day I write this article today, the overall situation in Russia and Ukraine has not changed radically in the past ten days or so.
For nearly ten days, the fighting revolved around the four cities of Kiev, Kharkov, Mariupol, and Kherson.
Let's take a look at the map first, first remember where these cities are, or we will have a black eye behind us, and the more we look at it, the more confused we are.
Now we will focus on the cities of Kiev and Chernihiv, starting from the north.
On 24 February, Russian forces attacked from the north, all the way to the Chernobyl nuclear power plant and all the way to Chernihiv, the northeast gateway to Kiev, 150 kilometers away.
Source: New York Time
The Chernobyl nuclear power plant was successfully taken, but Chernihiv did not seriously fight, that is, it was besieged first, and for several days it kept bombing, using tanks and rockets to carry out long-range attacks, and the citizens leaned on the windows and waited for a few days, and did not see the Russian army really killed, but blew up a nearby chemical factory, "There is a very strong smell of chemicals in the air." ”
After a few days of siege, the Russian army seemed to be too lazy to attack the city, trapped on the line, directly divided the troops, and killed Kiev with their teammates, and on March 1, the situation in the north became like this:
Because Kiev was split in half by the Dnieper, the Washington War Institute called the Russian army attacking from the direction of Chernobyl the Western Route Army, and the Russian army attacking from the direction of Chernihiv called the Eastern Route Army.
After the two roads arrive, it is time to launch a fierce attack on Kiev, right?
After all, it is the capital of Ukraine, and the troops who have won a bloody blood can honor their ancestors in this life, and they can blow cattle with their neighbors in the community for a lifetime.
But the Russians did not launch a general offensive against Kiev, but only "tried to cut off the supply lines of weapons and other military equipment from EU countries." (Washington Institute of War Studies original sentence)
Although the Ukrainian forces destroyed all the bridges around them, they could delay the Russians for a while, but this was not a reason for the Russians not to launch a general offensive.
The Russian army really wants to fight, it is estimated that Kiev will be washed in blood, but the Russian army just does not rush the tower, the troops will stop outside the city to camp, occasionally fight the field, by March 4, the Ukrainian army found the real intention of the Russian army, just "surround Kiev."
In the past few days, the fighting has taken place in the area around Khostome, Bukha and Ilping in the northwestern suburbs of Kiev, and the Russian army seems to be in no hurry at all, that is, it is slowly encircling Kiev, not allowing NATO to go online with Kiev and cutting off NATO supplies.
Civilians in the Kiev region began to flee in large numbers from railway stations in the southeast direction, but because of the full military mobilization of Zelensky a few days ago, male citizens aged 18-60 were not allowed to leave the country for 90 days.
Most of the Ukrainians fled to Poland, followed by Hungary, Romania, Slovakia, Moldova, to see the CCTV reporter's personal experience in Lviv, the border checkpoint is still quite orderly, but the staff first put Ukrainian whites, and then put people of color in other countries, stirring up some small contradictions, but foreigners do not give priority to this rule is still very good.
After the Russian army knocked down the airfields and military facilities around Kiev, the armored troops slowly assembled around Kiev and actually stayed where they were, showing no sign of attack, except for occasionally throwing a few missiles at Kiev, as if to engage in a spring picnic party in the Northern Military Region.
Zelenskiy was confused, and the U.S. military was confused.
On March 1, the U.S. military released a satellite photo of a 64-kilometer convoy of Russian tanks and vehicles heading straight for Kiev, looking fierce.
Just when the world's media thought that the Russian army was going to push Kiev flat, these huge armored troops were stunned to grind on the road north of Kiev for three or four days, neither besieging the city nor fighting, only rubbing, never going in, using the road as a parking lot, even the US military experts could not figure out what the Russian army wanted to do.
By March 7, Russia's Red Star Television had also released a video of Russian armored forces assembling in Kiev Oblast, in which Russian T-72 tanks, self-propelled guns, armored personnel carriers covered in snow and marched slowly toward Kiev Oblast like the old man.
As of press time on March 9, the Russian troops besieging Kiev were still motionless, and it is really unknown whether they came to fight or go on an outing.
It feels like a military exercise is a little more tense than the atmosphere.
The global media was in a hurry, the emperor was not in a hurry, and the eunuch was in a hurry.
The offensive of the Russian army in the north, in this way, quietly surrounded Kiev, and there was really no vigorous offensive and defensive war to talk about.
In the south, most of the Russian cities fought relatively smoothly, and with the exception of Mariupol, there was almost no decent resistance.
The Russian army from Crimea easily took the city of Kherson, which had a population of 300,000, to the east, and it was also the first city taken by the Russian army.
The city deployed a large-scale Ukrainian heavy armored force, in the face of the Russian army only a few days of resistance, caused some small losses to the Russian army, by the Russian 8th Army advance assault force to conquer the fortifications after the rapid evacuation, the whole city is intact as a peaceful handover, social order as usual, Russian military vehicles into the city, here in an orderly manner to wait for traffic lights, courtesy of civilian vehicles and pedestrians, making a peaceful.
Kherson is the mouth of the Dnieper River into the Black Sea, and the geographical relationship with Shanghai and the Yangtze River is a meaning, so it is a strategic place, the occupation of Kherson is mainly to control the southern coastline of Ukraine, cut off the way of NATO to provide military supplies to Ukraine from here, and the western part of Kiev is the same meaning, cutting off the supply of ukrainian troops.
Further west from Kherson, is the port town of Odessa, capture here, the Ukrainian waterway foreign aid will be cut off, but the Russian Black Sea Fleet has been cruising nearby, did not launch an amphibious offensive, on February 28 Turkey in accordance with the Montreux Convention, banned any national warships through the Istanbul Strait, the Western warships blocked the Black Sea, the Russian Navy is locked in the Black Sea, Russia can launch an offensive against Odessa at any time, but by the time I published, Odessa only enforced a curfew, On March 6, Macron said that I had just called Putin, and Putin said that he was about to bomb Odessa, and he was punched in the face (Macron is always punched in the face these days), and by the 9th, the Russian army did not pay attention to Odessa, but only besieged the city.
In the early hours of March 8, the city's defense system shot down several missiles fired by Russian warships, and nothing else was unusual.
The Russian army, which marched eastward, also easily occupied the small city of Berdyansk with a population of more than 100,000 people, and further east, Mariupol, where the Azov battalion was located.
For eight years, Ukraine has built a strong defensive line here, known as the "Mariupol Fortress", and in the three battles of Mariupol that broke out from May 2014 to February 2015, the Donbas militia was beaten to pieces, and they had fallen here before, so the Russian army was very careful about the siege of Mariupol.
Starting from March 2, the Russian army first used heavy artillery to bombard the Azov battalion in Mariupol for 15 hours, causing the whole city to lose electricity, water and network, "the whole city was almost in ruins", trying to compress the scope of the operation to a few square kilometers, the Azov battalion and some Ukrainian troops are still fighting with the Russian army, and now they are still fighting in the dark, and the war reporters only dare to report the war situation around the periphery.
The world's media or individuals have not yet carried out in-depth coverage of the specific situation in Mariupol, and judging from the pictures and videos sent from the front, the whole city has been reduced to hell, and there is not a complete building.
During the armistice in the past few days, Russia and Ukraine have repeatedly accused each other of preventing people from fleeing from the humanitarian corridor, especially Mariupol, and I personally judge that the Ukrainian army is more likely to stop it, because who profits the most from the matter is naturally the most suspicious.
Russia wants the people to go quickly, they want to let go of the Azov battalion, the Ukrainian army in order to contain the Russian army in the street battle, of course, hope that the people stay in the local area a little more, so that the Russian army does not dare to shoot randomly, only reluctant to let the people go.
Locals who escaped from Mariupol in the past two days also said in an interview with reporters that they were all lying on the ground, bullets were roaring over their heads, and all the intersections were blocked by abandoned vehicles of the Azov battalion, and it was not easy to get back through the war zone to pick up a life.
At the time of writing, Mariupol continued to exchange fire, and the humanitarian corridors set up were useless, and most of the people could not escape.
The Southern Russians also nearly got into big trouble, causing fires when they attacked the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant north on March 4.
Ukraine's 50% of the electricity supply comes from nuclear power, Zaporozhia nuclear power plant accounts for half of the nuclear power generation, is the largest nuclear power plant in Europe, if this nuclear power plant explodes, its damage will be 10 times that of the Chernobyl accident, which scared the whole world into a panic, fortunately, the fire only affected one of the six reactors "reactor compartment structure", did not affect the safety of the device, and did not occur radiation leakage.
Satellite image of the location of the fire
The whole of Europe breathed a sigh of relief.
Fighting in the north is concentrated in Kiev, in the south in Mariupol, and in the east in Kharkiv, which has a population of 1.5 million.
Kharkiv is ukraine's second largest city, the industrial center, the most universities in the whole of Ukraine, the whole people use Russian, only a few tens of kilometers from the Russian border, in 2014 almost independence, ukraine after the suppression, the independent groups will be purged, and a large number of military facilities built in the city, stationed in heavy defense, making Kharkiv the most painful place for the Russian army.
On February 24, the Russian vanguard had reached 20 kilometers north of Kharkov, everyone thought that Kharkiv would be captured in a few hours, but they did not expect that the Ukrainian army would set up an ambush, so that the Russian army could not enter the city, and only by the afternoon of the 27th did some Russian troops infiltrate into the city, and as a result, 4 tiger armored vehicles of a reconnaissance detachment were completely annihilated by the Ukrainian army, and a sergeant was also captured.
The Russian army obviously underestimated the Ukrainian army, and was very annoyed, from February 28, it transferred heavy artillery and began to shell Kharkov, dropping various military buildings one by one, Chinese network a few days ago circulated a video of the bombardment of the Square of the Kharkiv Municipal Government Building on March 1, that is, the Russian military attacked the recruitment point of the Azov battalion with rockets. (The Russian Embassy said it was a rumor, a cannon fired by Ukraine itself, but Ukraine had no motive.) ）
However, the Ukrainian army still stubbornly resisted, the Russian army was obviously ill-prepared for the difficult situation in Kharkov, the advance was slow, and it was only after being hurt that it was severe, and on March 3, the 2S4 type 240mm super-caliber self-propelled mortar and the 2S7M type 203mm large-caliber self-propelled cannon were transferred from the Tyumen region to continue shelling Kharkov.
The Russian general Oleg Makowitzki, who ordered the shelling of Kharkov, was born in Kharkiv.
In fact, the Russian army through syria's Battle of Dongguta, has a certain experience in urban scramble, but in The Eastern Ghouta, in the face of the Syrian opposition using laneways and tunnels to fight, the Russian army can use air, long-range fire cover strikes, ground multi-way advance, cutting and encirclement to fight, and Kharkov fought so anxiously, there are another important reason for the local people pro-Russian people, there are Russian troops to buy things at convenience stores, the shop owner directly free of charge, so can not be killed, afraid of hurting civilians, play cautiously and carefully.
Taking advantage of this mentality of the Russian army, the Ukrainian army directly fired a cannon in a residential area to change a place, and the local people filmed the Ukrainian army using the "Hurricane" 220 mm rocket artillery to throw shells at the Russian army in the residential area, and immediately withdrew after throwing it, and went to the next residential area to cover. (Can Baidu to)
On March 3, Major General Sukhovsky, deputy commander of the 41st Army of the Russian Central Military District, was killed, and on March 7, Major General Gerasimov, the chief of staff and first deputy commander of the 41st Army, was killed.
Although the Russian army has always had a general on the front line, Ladul can not pull back the fierce combat style, but Kharkiv even killed two major generals are too strange, an important reason for the death of these two major generals on the front line, is the Russian army's own research and development, in 2021 in the military to promote the use of the Era encrypted telephone system can not be used, in order to obtain the first-hand information of the front line These generals ran to the danger area, was hit by the Ukrainian army and killed, and even the death of Major General Gerasimov, are comrades in arms using ordinary SIM card mobile phones to notify the rear, Because that ghost Era system can't dial the phone at all.
The producer of the Era system also fooled the Russian military, which can be used "under any conditions", resulting in the loss of the lives of two russian generals.
I feel that this unreliable producer is not as reliable as Xinhua Qiangbei.
The deaths of the two major generals have fully exposed the backwardness of the Russian army in modern scientific and technological warfare and information warfare, and the current Russian army is no longer in the same grade as the conventional army in China and the United States.
In the middle of the death of two major generals, on March 5, the Russian army launched a full-scale air offensive against Ukraine, the Russian army lost 1 Su-34, 1 Su-30SM, 1 Mi-8 helicopter, 2 Su-25, 2 Mi-35 helicopters and 1 Seahawk drone, while the Ukrainian army was destroyed 4 Su-27, 1 Su-25, 5 radar stations, 2 beech M-1 air defense systems.
This air strike once again exposed some of the Achilles heels of the Russian army, because of the lack of long-range strike precision-guided munitions, the Russian army can only use ordinary bombs to bomb ground targets, which requires low-altitude flight to be effectively hit, or not to accidentally injure civilian facilities.
Bombing the Syrian opposition is not the same thing as bombing Ukraine, after all, Ukraine is a "special military operation", the world's public opinion is closely focused on the Russian army, the Russian warplane's night combat capability is relatively weak, and the lack of electronic suppression protection fighters, so that the Russian aircraft are forced to drop bombs at low altitude in the daytime, resulting in the ace pilots are all hit by the Ukrainian army's stingers and needle-type portable air defense missiles.
To put it bluntly, because of poverty, the limited funds of the Russian military can only point to the science and technology tree of hypersonic missiles, nuclear intercontinental missiles, nuclear submarines, and other strategic weapons, and conventional weapons are still the same set of old equipment.
A Su-34 cost $40 million, a Stinger missile cost $37,000, such a good aircraft, to do the business of World War II aircraft, for China's direct Rainbow UAV guided bomb, stuck in the air for 48 hours, pressing the enemy to fight, which like the Russian army fought so badly, Russia does not upgrade conventional weapons, this point will be finished sooner or later.
As of press time, the fighting in Kharkov is still ongoing, the Russian army has relaxed restrictions on heavy weapons, even the Consulates of Slovenia and Azerbaijan have been hit, the supplies of the Ukrainian army have entered the city from the western front, the Russian army is trying to interrupt the supply line and completely encircle Kharkov, and it will take some time to completely eat Kharkov.
In the first stage of the Russo-Ukrainian War, the Russian troops in the northeast suddenly dropped the damaged equipment and went south, and the troops in the south went north with wind and fire, and through a large depth and penetration, they formed a circle of encirclement of the main force of the eastern Ukrainian army in the blue area pictured below.
According to the plot prepared by Russia, the Ukrainian army will run wildly from the gap, and the Russian army will attack it separately, but there are also generals who are familiar with the art of war on the Ukrainian side, who know the traditional way of playing along the way, and do not run to the gap at all, they shrink in the city, mixed in civilian areas and the Russian army slowly fight a war of attrition.
Everyone praised the Russian army for interspersing tactics in place, but the strategic purpose was not achieved.
At present, the whole war situation is still Russia, which surrounds the four cities of Kiev in the north, Kharkiv and Mariupol in the east, and Odessa in the south, and forces Ukraine to surrender.
The ultimate goal of the Russian army is not to occupy Ukrainian land, but to sign an agreement between Ukraine and recognize the independence of Luhansk and Donetsk, to recognize crimea as belonging to Russia, to declare neutrality in Ukraine, not to join NATO, and to militarize and de-Nazi.
Therefore, I did not dare to fight too much, except for Mariupol because of the presence of the Azov battalion, deep hatred, the hands are relatively heavy, Kharkov has been fighting until now, the water and electricity have not been cut off, only the people in some areas have difficulties in life, and Odessa and Kiev are still living normally for the time being.
Kiev has not been around for such a long time, and Russia still wants to talk about it.
On March 1, the first round of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, the beaten-up Ukraine issued appalling conditions, demanding that the Russian army unconditionally withdraw from Ukraine, and demanding that Crimea and the eastern states belong to Ukraine, which simply made people think that Ukraine was fighting this war against Russia, and it seemed that they did not want to talk about it.
On March 3, the second round of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine was still lonely, but only reached an agreement on the temporary ceasefire to establish a humanitarian corridor, which is the corridor mentioned in the previous article, but the Ukrainian army was reluctant to let the civilians go, and they had to be subjected to heavy artillery when they left, so most of the civilians did not go.
After the second round of negotiations, there was a bit of an accident, Kireyev, who had participated in the first round of negotiations, was killed on the street by the Ukrainian Security Service near a court in Kiev on March 5, and During the first round of negotiations, Kileev had attended the negotiations with the Minister of Defense, the Deputy Foreign Minister, the Chairman of the People's Servant Party, and the Koharata Mp, so that people with deep political resources, just because they suspected that they were Russian spies (I kind of suspected that this brother was a double-sided spy), without trial, they were shot on the spot, which shows that there are many internal contradictions among the Ukrainian high-level. Zelenskiy simply could not control the overall situation.
On March 7, the third round of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine still did not yield any results, but only said that consultations on the ceasefire would continue.
According to the current situation, Russia must ukraine sign an agreement, anyway, the major cities have been fenced, Ukraine does not agree, Russia will beat him up, beat him up, beat him up, stop, ask Ukraine whether to sign? Ukraine was beaten so badly that he gritted his teeth and said he didn't agree, so Russia beat him up again until Ukraine couldn't stand it anymore and agreed to sign an agreement.
Time is in Russia's hands, the initiative is also in Russia's hands, Ukraine has destroyed more than 2,000 military installations, Russia can afford to wait.
Now there are two questions, one is what is Ukrainian President Zelenskiy doing? The second is why the West has not come to help Ukraine.
It is said that the United States now equipped Zelensky with an encrypted communication device, Zelenskiy carried this thing with him, you can call and communicate with Biden at any time, Biden was responsible for Ukrainian affairs when he was vice president, he used to teach Poroshenko to be the president of Ukraine, Poroshenko had to report to him twice a week, one was old, and he had to teach another child to be president, and Mr. Biden was the real emperor of Ukraine.
In addition, the Japanese media said that the British Army Special Air Service Regiment is protecting Zelenskiy, protecting and monitoring at the same time, and if necessary, it can also wipe the puppet president's neck at any time.
Wherever there is chaos in the world, there will be a share of Britain and the United States.
Zelenskiy begged his grandfather and grandmother, asked French President Macron, Israeli Prime Minister Bennett, and German Chancellor Schoelz to go out of the mountains and talk to Putin about the conditions, and Putin repeated the words: recognize my territory, not allow nato, de-militarize, de-Nazi.
After three rounds of negotiations, the Ukrainian side finally relaxed, at least not to join NATO, it is estimated that Russia will beat up a few more times, Zelenskiy still has to sign all of Putin's conditions.
When Ukraine was beaten to death, the United States and Britain did not shoot to death, in the face of Ukrainian female journalists with tears, face to face the request to demarcate the no-fly zone, the British prime minister was frightened and said that britain can not do this, little sister you calm down, this is too dangerous.
We in the British Empire are always only responsible for stirring up, how can we let splash all over us?
Britain and the United States mainly stood behind the scenes, instigating Eastern European countries to support Ukraine, Russia after the start of the war demarcated a no-fly zone, including Poland and Romania, Romania did not believe in evil, had to try the no-fly zone, resulting in a MiG-21 crash on the Ukrainian border on March 1, March 2 sent a Cougar helicopter to search and rescue, the helicopter also crashed, all 8 people on board were killed.
After the Romanian test, Poland also wanted to try, the United States originally told Poland, or you give your MiG fighter to Ukraine to resist Russia, we give you the same number of F-16s, Ukrainian pilots can only use your MiG, F-16 they have not touched, too strong, they can't hold, and so I did not have a direct conflict with Russia is not.
Big Bobo thought of making a batch of F-16s in vain, happily agreed, on March 8, the Polish parliament agreed, went to the United States to ask for F-16s, the United States instigated, said that this matter is too complicated, I have to consider, Poland had to put these 28 MiG-29s at the Ramstein Air Base in Germany, was sold and still helping to count money, and also called on other countries with this model to learn from them and help Ukrainian pilots.
In addition, Ukraine announced on the 7th that 20,000 international volunteers will go to Ukraine to participate in the war, mainly from the United States, Britain, Sweden, Lithuania, and Mexico, but at this time, shouting "for freedom" to rush the Russian regular army, people feel like drinking fake wine.
Just when the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is becoming more and more intense, the United States is buying Russian oil "at a record discount", which is also prompting Europe to bind the United States more, pushing the dollar back to prepare for the next us interest rate hike cycle.
If you ask me, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, is it russia? Or is it the station Ukraine?
In fact, we have to jump out of the problem to see the problem, we must understand that Ukraine and Russia, in essence, are a pair of brothers who are related by blood, they have contradictions, but the contradictions are not so big that they cannibalize each other, it is the Ansaks and Jews who deliberately amplify their contradictions, force Russia to the corner of survival, and force Russia to beat up its own brother Ukraine.
The Ansaks' method of dividing other ethnic groups has been tried and tested in other countries in the world, and they have deliberately divided the East Slavs, deliberately created contradictions between India and Pakistan, and deliberately caused today's conflicts between Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Chinese mainland, so that China has never been truly unified.
You have to know the root of the matter, in order to rationally judge things, where does the deep hatred between the Russians and ukraine come from? They did not want war at all, it was essentially instigated by the Ansaks, who, for their own benefit, step by step, manipulated Russia and Ukraine to embark on this path.
Some people, while encouraging other people's brothers to kill each other, also hold up a lighthouse, they say that they are the center of world civilization, the model of human civilization, but in fact, in their world, there is only murder and arson gold belt, only bridges and roads are built without corpses.