Last week, if it entered the hint of shock downward, the current disk has entered a downward breakout trend, and further killing performance needs to be observed. Industrial products, non-ferrous plates into the resonance acceleration of the recovery, the market sentiment is excited stage, maintain further upward expectations; black plates, coal plates into the resonance breakthrough upwards, threads, hot coils into a strong rush to the high stage, iron ore to pay attention to the early high impact performance; chemical sector, crude oil, fuel oil continued to rise strongly, plastics, methanol is expected to enter the stage of whipsaw shock, rubber to maintain shock downward expectations. Agricultural products, meal main look at the stage of shock repeated washing trend; oil plate into the expected pullback trend, but also need to choose the opportunity to short follow up; cotton to achieve the expected pullback trend, pay attention to the prompt target retracement performance.
Stock index futures
IF2203: Last week' IF minimum touched 4482, and the bardo line closed. In terms of form, the recent continuous whipsaw shock in the 4520-4650 area, the second half of the week fell back to break the range low, the futures price fell back to the 4500 line, entering the expected downward trend. The overall atmosphere of the market has been relatively sluggish recently, and before the emergence of a clear rebound, the trend of shock decline will continue. At the price level, the 4530-4550 area refers to short-term resistance, the lower running stage, and the next fall target refers to the 4400-4430 area.
Recommendation: IF recently repeatedly prompted the band strong resistance 4650 line, the line below the operation stage, repeatedly prompt short orders to follow up, the current successful realization of the 4500 line of exploration targets, but also need to observe further killing performance, after the reduction of short orders, the remaining holdings to see if they can fall back to the 4400-4430 area.
nonferrous metal
Shanghai copper 2204: Shanghai copper touched a maximum of 73240 last week, and the Zhongyang line closed. In terms of form, last week's recovery broke through the 72000 line, and the Friday night high touched the 74500 line, continuing the breakthrough upward trend. At present, the outer disk has entered a continuous long yang acceleration, and the inner disk has focused on observing the previous highs of 74500-75000 following the upward stage.
Recommendation: Shanghai copper 72000 running stage corresponding to a strong upward trend, during the week to pay attention to the impact performance of 74500-75000, such as the resonance of the internal and external disk breakthrough, it will open up the medium-term upward space, such as the rebound breakthrough is weak, more than a single also need to do a good exit plan, or consider the backhand reference medium and long-term shocks there are also opportunities.
Shanghai nickel 2204: Shanghai nickel touched a maximum of 199800 last week, and the Changyang line closed. In terms of form, last week's high hit the 200,000 mark, and then rose further to the 195,000 line after a small retracement, corresponding to the continuation of the shock rally. Compared with the strong upward performance of the outer disk, it is expected that the intraday impact test will also be in the 198000-200000 area, focusing on the impact performance of the region.
Suggestion: Shanghai nickel into the accelerated rise stage, with reference to the Long Yang line to pull up, there is room for growth in the short term, you can focus on observing the impact performance of last week's high, but Shanghai nickel 200,000 mark, Lun nickel 30,000 corresponding to the key integer mark, it is estimated that the breakthrough should be difficult, and it is appropriate to leave the market in the high stage.
Silver 2206: Silver touched a high of 5135 last week, and the Zhongyang line closed. In terms of form, last week repeatedly hit the 5100 area, and on Friday night, the dynamic Yang line rebounded to break through the line, continuing the upward trend of shock. The recent silver trend is more resistant to falling, the overall rhythm corresponds to the center of gravity upwards, focusing on the previous high of 5200 during the week, if the recovery breaks through the line, the high will challenge the 5300-5500 area.
Suggestion: Silver to resume the upward trend of the shock, focus on observing further higher performance during the week, chase up as much as possible light position is appropriate, such as a significant breakthrough, you can hold more than a single, the recovery is not as expected, short-term follow-up is appropriate, beware of wide-ranging whipsaw trend.
Black plate
Thread 2205: The thread touched a maximum of 4943 last week, and the Zhongyang line closed. In terms of form, last week's continuous Yang line continued to rise, relying on the 4800-4950 area shock ended, and rose above the range high on Friday night, entering a recovery to continue the trend. Recent favorable policies are expected to be superimposed hot coils continue to lead the strong rise, the thread single week to achieve a strong long Yang line to pull up, it is expected that there should be a further rush to achieve in the intraday, focusing on the impact performance of the upper 5000 area.
Suggestion: Thread 4920-4950 area into a short-term support position, the running stage of the 5000 mark impact performance, but after the good cash, do not rule out the trend in place, short and more high stage to choose the opportunity to leave the market is appropriate, follow-up into the observation stage or wait for the new position prompt.
Iron ore 2205: Iron ore touched a high of 835.5 last week, and the Changyang line closed. In terms of form, last week's Long Yang line rebounded to recover the 800 mark, and the follow-up impact on the 830-840 area entered a strong recovery trend. Overall, below 700 corresponding to the bottom of the policy, the short-term entry policy suppresses the empty window period, and the outer disk enters an accelerated upward trend, and the inner disk will also impact the previous high position, and the short-term strong expectation.
Suggestion: Iron ore into the continuous Yang line to rise upward trend, the above focus on the 840-850 area, such as related varieties into the resonance breakthrough rise, do not rule out the opening of the breakthrough of the upward space, maintain further recovery expectations, rush up to do a good job of long single gradual profit plan.
Coke 2205: Coke touched a maximum of 3634 last week, and the Changyang line closed. In terms of form, last week,the Long Yang line strongly broke through the medium-term strong resistance area of 3400-3500, and hit the 3700 area on Friday night, accelerating the upward trend after entering the breakthrough. The recent rise is mainly driven by the rise in peripheral coal prices, and it can be observed whether the impact of the 3700 area can be broken.
Suggestion: Coke into the breakthrough to accelerate the rise stage, such as further long Yang line up, follow-up does not rule out the impact of the previous high position, but the recent rise in the stage has not appeared significant incremental funds, beware of liquidity is too low superimposed policy suppression, otherwise it is easy to copy the long yin line decline performance on February 25, control the rhythm of participation.
Glass 2205: Last week's glass highest touched 1988, the small Yang line closed. In terms of form, the recent rebound stage encountered resistance in the 1980-2000 area, and the decline stage failed to break through the 1880 line and entered a short-term consolidation trend. At present, the glass has entered the stage of swing oscillation, and it is necessary to focus on the suppression performance in the 1980-2000 area above.
Suggestion: Glass focus on the 1980-2000 area, rebound to break through the area, is the bottom of the stage to appear, such as repeated pressure on the area, but also need to continue the previous shock fall expectations, pay attention to whether it can break the key support 1880 line, tend to rush higher and fall trend.
Chemical sector
Fuel 2205: Fuel oil touched a maximum of 3899 last week, and the Changyang line closed. Morphologically, last week's Long Yang line rebounded strongly, and the futures price rose to the 3900 area, referring to the strong continuation performance, and it will also hit the 4000 mark during the week. Recently, the market as a whole is in the rhythm of rising continuation, but entering the stage high, wide range washing is inevitable, pay attention to the next key integer mark impact performance during the day.
Suggestion: Fuel on Friday pullback is not as good as expected, short-term into a strong continuation stage, subjectively expected 4000 a line should have a rush to fall back to achieve, the week is expected to enter a wide range of shocks, you can try to touch the top operation, the position should be light, the follow-up can observe the fall of the fall, short-term support reference 3700 a line.
Hujiao 2205: Last week, Shanghaijiao touched a minimum of 13550, and the bardo line closed. Morphologically, the weekly level of continuous yin line continued to explore, last week's rebound rebound encountered resistance in the 14000-14100 area, followed by a prompt shock downward trend. According to the weekly level performance, it is expected that there should be a long yin line after the continuous yin line to kill and fall, and it can be focused on whether the 13500-13600 area can be broken down.
Suggestion: Shanghai rubber smoothly under pressure 14000-14100 area encountered resistance to fall, during the week to focus on observing whether it can fall back below the 13500-13600 area, breakdown of the area should have accelerated the realization of the kill, for the decline is not as expected, do a good job of short order reduction plan.
Plastic 2205: Plastics touched a maximum of 9335 last week, and the Changyang line closed. In terms of form, last week, relying on the 8700 line to explore and recover, the follow-up impact tested the 9300 area, but the sustained rise failed to achieve, entering the correction and finishing stage. In contrast, the recent crude oil continues to be strong, but the plastic with the strength of the rise is more limited, showing a weaker follow the rebound trend, the price level, the week is still recommended to focus on the 9000-9100 back to the performance.
Suggestion: Plastic 9300 line should be a short-term high position, the pullback stage to pay attention to the 9000-9100 area, the test can be short-term reduction of the main, the remaining to see if it can be further broken, it is estimated that the smooth killing of the fall also needs crude oil to weaken with the cooperation, otherwise it will repeatedly test last week's highs, the main look at the shock trend.
Methanol 2205: Methanol touched a maximum of 3159 last week, and the Changyang line closed. Morphologically, last week's high impact tested the 3150 line, followed by a shock pullback trend, and obtained the support of the integer mark around 3000. It is expected that there will be a continuation of the shock recovery during the week, but more conditions are needed to break through last week's highs, focusing on the repeated retracement of the 3000 line.
Recommendation: methanol short-term inertia rush high in place, the near future is expected to enter a strong consolidation trend, mainly with reference to the 3000-3150 area of shock range, appropriate short-term to follow up.
agricultural products
Soybean meal 2205: Soybean meal touched a maximum of 3996 last week, and the cross yang line closed. In terms of form, the weekly level of continuous Yang line rose strongly, the daily line rebound stage encountered resistance at the 4000 mark, and the follow-up exploration failed to break through the 3800-3850 area, entering a strong shock washing trend. Recently, the market rally momentum weakened, but the smooth killing is also difficult, it is expected that there should be a certain range of early market to kill the fall to achieve, focusing on the observation of 3850-3900 a belt to step, the recent trend tends to oscillate repeatedly.
Suggestion: Soybean meal last week fell back to kill the stage failed to break through the 3850 area, the upper strong resistance corresponds to the 4000 mark, the near future is expected to enter a continuous washing trend, short-term follow-up is appropriate.
Palm oil 2205: Palm oil touched a maximum of 12796 last week, and the long upper shadow Yang line closed. In terms of form, last week's high hit the 12800 line, and the follow-up single-day plunge of nearly 1,000 points, smoothly stepping back to prompt the target 10-day moving average position. After the heavy decline of the long yin line on Friday, the market bullish sentiment has entered a cautious stage, and we can focus on the 12000 line, which corresponds to the downward break point, if it continues to run below the line, the low target of the lower point is to pay attention to the 11500 line.
Suggestion: Palm oil successfully achieved the expected pullback trend, at this stage into the reverse killing trend, especially after the batch stop loss of long y short p arbitrage funds, if the oil recovers before the logic, palm oil fell huge space, the recent is not recommended to chase up, should do a good job of backhand short-term short selling plan, first look at the 11500 a belt back to the performance.
Cotton 2205: Cotton touched a minimum of 20640 last week, and the upper shadow Yang line closed. Morphologically, last week's rebound test in the 21500 area encountered resistance to fall, followed by a retracement of the 21000 area, into the shock downward trend. Recently, cotton has gradually entered a pullback pattern, the price level, intraday focus on the 21000 area, such as falling back to break through the line, but also need to observe last week's lows to further explore the performance.
Suggestion: Cotton rebound repair strength is limited, short-term strong resistance to pay attention to the 21500 line, below the operation to maintain further killing expectations, focusing on whether the 20900-21000 area can be broken, breakdown with reference to last week's low target, falling back less than expected to do a short order reduction profit plan.
Disclaimer: The above information is for reference only, and any direct or indirect investment profit or loss caused by the information in this article shall be borne by the investor. The copyright of this article belongs to the early morning review, such as quoting, publishing, reprinting all or part of the content, must indicate the source of "early morning review", and reserve all rights of the early morning review.