The corn rally train started, and nothing could stop the corn rally, and the grain price on March 4

Hello farmers old iron, today is March 4th, the northeast corn market is very lively, yesterday Liaoyang directly under the warehouse corn auction 2840 yuan transaction, a premium of 100 yuan. At the same time, the three provinces of the northeast production area + a region of deep processing, alcohol all kinds of enterprises go hand in hand, together with the pace of 2022 northeast corn price increase, some enterprises even rose two or three times a day price, Jilin Songyuan Cargill this time more stud, a rise of 50 yuan, the second class above the purchase price of 2620 yuan / ton, the third class purchase price of 2600 yuan / ton, the fourth class purchase price of 2580 yuan / ton. This also doubles the confidence of the market, nothing can stop the pace of corn rising, not only the price increase, but also very likely to break through the new high in 2020.

In the process of corn rising, many people are still anxious, corn rises like this, will it "wear new shoes and go the old way"? If your mother turns her face, it will be enough for you to drink a pot. Speaking from the heart, corn has only risen by more than 100 yuan since it was listed last fall? The price increase has just begun. Don't look at the price, the market trend and circulation is very good, if the market is not good 2400 yuan are high prices, so there is no need to panic. At present, the price of the port is constantly rising, in fact, it is pulling the price hard, the surplus grain at the grass-roots level is small, and now the price of corn has begun to rise, who is this price increase to? In any case, as long as it is a price increase, it is a good thing.

March 4 national corn prices

Jilin Boda Biochemical rose by 40 yuan, 2600 yuan / ton, 14 waters 1.3 yuan / jin, 20 waters 1.1739 yuan / jin, 30 waters 1.0221 yuan / jin; COFCO Gongzhuling rose 30 yuan, third-class grain 2640 yuan / ton, fourth-class corn 2600 yuan / ton, third-class 20 water 1.225 yuan / jin, fourth-class 20 water 1.16 yuan / jin, third-class 30 water 1.067 yuan / jin, fourth-class 30 water 1.05 yuan / jin Inner Mongolia Yipin Biological 2630 yuan / ton; Jilin plum blossom 2570 yuan / ton, 14 moisture first and second class 1.285 yuan / jin, 14 moisture third-class grain 1.265 yuan / jin, 14 moisture fourth-class grain 1.245 yuan / jin; Yihai Kerry Fuyu biological 14 water 1.235 yuan / jin, 20 water 1.1461 yuan / jin, 30 moisture 0.9979 yuan / jin; Heilongjiang Chengfu food 30 moisture third-class grain 1.0181 yuan / jin, 30 moisture fourth-class grains 1.01 yuan / catty;

Qiqihar Longjiang Fufeng Biological 2520 yuan / ton, 14 moisture 1.26 yuan / jin, 20 moisture 1.162 yuan / jin, 30 moisture 0.985 yuan / jin; Hulunbuir northeast Fufeng Zalantun Alcohol Factory 2510 yuan / ton, 14 moisture 1.255 yuan / jin, 20 moisture 1.157 yuan / jin, 30 moisture 0.981 yuan / jin; Deda Agriculture 2630 yuan / ton, 14 moisture 1.315 yuan / jin, 20 moisture 1.2124 yuan / jin Jilin bioenergy 2580 yuan / ton, 14 moisture 1.29 yuan / jin, 20 moisture 1.1971 yuan / jin, 30 moisture 1.0423 yuan / jin; Zhaodong golden corn 2460 yuan / ton, third class 14 moisture 1.23 yuan / jin, fourth class 14 water 1.22 yuan / jin, third class 30 water 0.9938 yuan / jin, fourth class 30 water 0.9858 yuan / jin;

Chifeng Ruiyang Chemical Co., Ltd. 2630 yuan / ton; Suihua Xiangyu 15 water dry grain 2520 yuan / ton; Shanxi Changqing Biological 1.35 yuan / jin; Longfeng Company 2510 yuan / ton, 14 moisture 1.255 yuan / jin, 30 moisture 1.014 yuan / jin; Jingliang Longjiang Biological 2510 yuan / ton, 14 moisture 1.255 yuan / jin, 30 moisture 1.014 yuan / jin; Yishui Qixing citric acid plant 1.435 yuan / jin; Yishui Dadi Starch Plant 1.415 yuan / jin Zhucheng Xingmao factory price of 1.42 yuan / jin; Juxian citric acid plant rose 1 point 1.435 yuan / jin; Binzhou Jinhui 1.379 yuan / jin; Weifang Changle Yingxuan 1.445 yuan / jin; Heze Dazecheng biological factory price 1.385 yuan / jin, more than 17-23 1.375 yuan / jin, greater than 23 water 1.365 yuan / jin; Ronghai grain technology 1.41 yuan / jin;

But we can also see that the current corn auction is unusual? It's like seeing the 2020 corn auction scene:

1. Why did the northeast port suddenly increase the price sharply? Many people are confused, do not understand, anyway, the price increase is. But the price has risen, the number of acquisitions is very small, and the actual transaction volume is very small;

2, port price increases, futures cooperation, wheat auction cooperation, corn auction cooperation, this market is not understandable.

3, the grain traders are very happy to see this scene, because the grain in their hands has profits, but the traders without grain see the market this kind of rush, look at it also worried, always want to grab some grain under this price market, afraid of regretting it.

4, deep processing enterprises whether it is just needed, or with the rising rhythm of this is very normal;

Although the grain in the hands of traders now has a profit, but where to sell, where to accept this price, most of them now have no way to circulate, perhaps the later market can accept this price will have an opportunity. Although the expectation of the overall sentiment of the market is very strong, the market's mentality is also relatively fragile, and a shock will make traders frightened. From the current stage, the corn in the northeast is not in line with the price, whether it is sent to Shandong deep processing enterprises or the southern feed enterprises.

So for traders: remember to change the moisture, change the moisture to 14.5, the reason why traders will sell grain when the price fell sharply last summer is because of the moisture, can not be kept for a long time, forced to sell grain out of the warehouse. Therefore, once there is a market in the later stage, because your storage is not good, resulting in changes in grain quality, you will miss the opportunity to wait for profits.

The attitude of deep processing enterprises in Northeast China and North China is very different

This year's northeast deep processing enterprises currently inventory is OK, at most about 6 months, less than 3 months or so, but also afraid of no grain in the later stage, in the end how much corn flowed out who can not figure out, the later for the inventory of relatively low deep processing enterprises if there is no corn how to do? This is an important question. North China and Northeast China are not the same, there are places to receive help in all directions, and it is impossible for the northeast to pull corn back! This is also a very embarrassing place for deep processing and fine wine companies in the northeast.

If the grain price in North China wants to rise sharply, it is necessary to first consume the local grain source, and when the northeast corn is first needed, the price can be stabilized before it may take off, otherwise it is not realistic to want to rise sharply for the time being, because the grass-roots level is still about 40% of the grain. The selling pressure in North China is getting stronger, and the dependence on corn in Northeast China is stronger in the later period. At the same time, traders without wheat are now frantically grabbing corn, and due to the high moisture, there are relatively few people selling grain.

The deep processing enterprises in North China judge that the corn production in North China is enough for them to use throughout the year, and there are too many corn with poor quality, all of which are deep-processed vegetables, and there are very few feed factories, so there is no hurry to increase the price of grain. However, this practice will also lead to more frequent fluctuations in corn prices, and for traders, there may be more opportunities for stages.

No one can be sure whether the corn will be harvested this autumn, but what is certain is affected by the increase in soybean planting area;

1, the cost of corn planting is constantly rising, fertilizers, workers, agricultural materials, land rent is also rising prices;

2, whether it is the international situation, or the various pressures of the "mask" incident, which have led to a general increase in agricultural products;

3, the substitution of corn is less and less, this year even if there is rice to replace, many people think that rice is a major play, but there is still a difference with the substitution of wheat, wheat substitution can be used anywhere, and the replacement of rice is relatively narrow, mainly concentrated in the northeast, whether it is logistics or other factors do not allow rice to be able to do the replacement of flowering everywhere;

In summary, the various factors of the corn market are a support for the rise in corn prices in the later period, wheat has always been the ceiling of corn prices, and wheat prices have broken the historical record, rising so rationally, why can't corn prices rise? It has to go up, and it has to go up in big strides! Brother Farmer sits! The train is on!