After the Russian army entered the Aubron district of the capital Kiev the day before, fierce fighting broke out in Kiev in the early morning of the 26th, including the east and west directions of the south and north, the situation can be said to be more and more tense, what is the observation?
Whether it is a war or a military conflict, it has some important strongholds to compete for, especially important military bases and important urban targets, which must be won. And we know that the spokesman of the Russian Ministry of Defense pointed out that we are not at war with Ukraine now, that it is just a military conflict, while Putin is talking about special military operations. If there is a war, it is generally protracted and will achieve an important goal of its own.
And this time, whether it is a military conflict or a special military operation, he wants to do two things, one is to de-arm, that is, to arm the Ukrainian army, and the other is to de-Nazimize. In fact, as a Ukrainian term, de-Nazismization is to de-right-wing, and it is believed that the Ukrainian county government is completely right-wing government, so it needs to be de-right-wing. So from the perspective of the deduction of the whole war, then the Russian army completely follows its own combat plan, step by step, whether it is as a military conflict or as a war, in fact, it includes several stages, each stage will have its own set goals, such as you basically take away the air supremacy and take away the electromagnetic power like the first stage, which is very critical.
On the other hand, how to project your strength forward. In fact, we know that in this military conflict, Russia did not actually exert all its strength, why do we say so? In fact, if we look at the current war reports, the Russian army also has a certain number of casualties, and even rumors that the Russian army may have aircraft shot down, especially transport aircraft. So if it is true that the transport plane was shot down, this shows that the Russian army actually did not have a firm control over some airfields, especially under the premise of seizing the airport of the Ukrainian Air Force, and there will be many Ukrainian troops around, and even use shoulder-fired anti-aircraft missiles to attack Russia's Il-76, which shows that the Russian army has not adopted the more ruthless tactics to counter these people like in Syria.
So as a Russian, in fact, there are indeed some unspeakable words about Ukraine's use of force. On the one hand, you can see Putin, including Lavrov, who has constantly emphasized that the main target we are facing is some weapons and equipment, and also pointed out that we hope that Ukrainian soldiers and weapons should be separated, that is, to lay down their weapons and leave, that is, what the Russian army wants to fight is actually weapons and equipment, and does not want to target people. Including if you look at the entire military conflict, ukrainian soldiers are actually not very dead or wounded, which shows that the Russian army is very restrained, including in the fight for urban goals.
Of course, we know that as Russia, if we speak, we will inevitably achieve one of our own strategic goals, so that special military conflicts can achieve their own results.
I have a map, we can take a look at it, this map shows that from the Russian point of view, in fact, it is hoped to be based on the Dineb, that is, on both sides of the Dnieper River and the east of the Dnieper River, which is what we have mentioned in the past in eastern Ukraine, where you see that Russia has basically controlled Chernig, Fuzhou, including Samui Oblast, Kharkiv Oblast, Luhansk Oblast, Doneesk Oblast.
In addition, the news that came this morning is that the Chaporizhia Oblast is also currently under the actual control of Russia, and there are two other oblasts that are also very critical, one is Kiev Oblast, and the other is Odessa Oblast, Kiev Oblast Everyone knows that Kiev is in Kiev Oblast, then this oblast can be said to be a place of contention, and Kiev Oblast is in the upper reaches of the Tiniebo River, so if you can control the Week, and then control the Odessa Oblast, this will form a tail-cutting effect, completely dividing the whole of Ukraine into two, Then west is West Ukraine, and east is East Ukraine.
And from Russia's own point of view, he hopes that Eastern Ukraine can form a real entity, which will be of great help to Russia's future work. You see, if you can get all these states, you can be like the Nikolayev oblast next to Odessa Oblast, including Kherson Oblast, and so on, and the whole eastern oblasts may be actually controlled by Russia.
We actually heard the news today, as a senior Russian official pointed out that we will not occupy an inch of the relevant Ukrainian territory, that is, if we finish fighting, where will we retreat? It will retreat to the Donbass region, the related Donbass region, which is a promise that Russia is now making. In other words, will Russia divide Ukraine? There is actually such a possibility in this, but from Russia's own point of view, where are the borders of the war? Basically, the Dnieper River is the border of the war, that is, if these provinces and states are completely controlled, they can consider how to maintain stability and how to carry out a series of counter-terrorism work.
So if you really want to do this, I think that as Russia, then you will maximize your own interests in the whole of eastern Ukraine, after all, there are heavy industrial bases that the whole of Russia wants to see, including military industrial bases.
You're like Nikolaev Oblast, which used to be the most cattle shipyard in the Soviet Union, and you're like another Soviet aircraft carrier, and the large ones are from the Nikolayev Shipyard in Nikolayev Oblast. So from Russia's own point of view, if it can bring the whole of eastern Ukraine under its control, it will be of great help. Of course, where is its Osaka camp area? It is in the Donbass region, namely Doneesk and Luhansk, which serve as a key point for it.
So as far as Ukraine is concerned, there is actually a relatively large variable, that is, how will this military conflict end, in fact, it has a relatively large relationship with Western countries, especially the United States.
If the United States and some Western countries support Ukraine more and more support, then it is possible that Ukraine will lose more from the current situation, that is, from Russia, although I will not take away an inch of your territory, but in fact Russia has made up its mind to turn the relevant area into its own actual control area, the actual control area does not mean that this place is Russia's future territory, at least it will not be realized in one step to turn this place into Russia's future territory. So I think these are likely to be Russia's future war borders, and we might as well wait and see.