【Introduction】The Spring Festival of the Year of the Tiger came to an end, February entered the end, due to the lack of desire of residents to purchase fresh pork after the year, the breeding end has a certain resistance to low-priced pigs, after a brief decline in pig prices, into the end of the month there is a situation of building a bottom sideways, however, the consumer market continues to decline, by the slow movement of fresh pork, the price of white strip pigs in the wholesale market continues to fall, at this stage the average price of domestic pork fell below 10 yuan / kg, while the price of white strip pigs in some markets bottomed out 6.25 yuan / kg, and pork prices fell back, but In the past 10 days, the market has stabilized at about 12.2 ~ 12.5 yuan / kg, is the pig price going to build the bottom up, and the pig price is going to return to the "7-figure head"? Today we will analyze it in detail!
According to the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, on February 25, in the wholesale market monitored by the domestic key, the average wholesale price of pork fell to 18.64 yuan / kg, compared with 19.08 yuan the previous day, a single day fell by 0.44 yuan / kg, pork prices fell sharply! According to the author's understanding, in the southwest region of Lu, the local rural market, the price of ordinary pork with skin hovers around 10.5 ~ 11 yuan / catty, and in some northeast markets, the price of pork has fallen below 10 yuan / catty!
In the mainstream consumer city of China, Beijing Xinfadi Market, on February 25, the wholesale market, the transaction price of white strip pigs hovered at 6.25 ~ 8.25 yuan / jin, and the price of thick white strip pigs reached the bottom of 6.25 yuan / jin! Among them, the price of the front and back buttocks is maintained at 6.5 ~ 8 yuan / kg, while the price of ordinary pork is maintained at 10 ~ 13 yuan / kg, and the price of pork falls back to the cheap price!
In addition, for slaughtering enterprises, according to market monitoring, on February 25, the factory price of lean white strip pigs in domestic slaughtering enterprises was maintained at 16.16 yuan / kg in the north and south regions, of which the average price of white strip pigs in northeast China was 14.58 yuan / kg, and Guangdong was high at 19.2 yuan / kg, while in the Shandong market, the average price of white strip pigs was 15.61 yuan / kg! The average price of white pigs in slaughterhouses is sideways and weak, and at this stage, the price of live pigs is maintained at 12.48 yuan / kg, and the price difference between white pigs in slaughterhouses is only 3.68 yuan / kg, which is far lower than the factory cost price, and the losses of slaughtering enterprises have increased significantly!
Nowadays, the pork market continues to be sluggish, the domestic mainstream market, pork prices have been sideways 10 yuan / kg, in some areas, pork prices fell below 10 yuan, but, in the pig market, the recent pig prices showed a bottom-building trend, the market showed a stable and strong trend, then, pig prices to rise against the trend, to return to the "7-word head"?
It is understood that at present, the domestic pig price is stable at 6.24 yuan / jin, in recent days, the price of live pigs rose and fell by less than 0.05 yuan in a single day, and the market showed a wide range of stable performance! In fact, this also reflects the stalemate between supply and demand, after all, the pig price is low, the market is far below the cost line, therefore, farmers and large-scale pig enterprises, lack of enthusiasm for centralized barn, in addition, at this stage, the supply of moderate pigs is insufficient, some production capacity years ago, which also caused a stage, pig supply is tight, slaughterhouses are facing greater pig procurement pressure!
However, the slaughterhouse loss is more, therefore, even the low-price procurement enthusiasm is also poor, and the white strip pig can not be sold, the north-south price difference between the pig is less than 1 yuan / jin, the northern slaughterhouse white strip pig external adjustment order is insufficient, and the wholesale market is still slow, which also limits the mood of the slaughter enterprise price increase procurement, the supply and marketing of the two weak situation highlighted, therefore, the pig price continued the sideways stabilization performance, some markets by the pork storage factors boosted, pig prices have a weak and strong trend!
However, behind the glitz, pig prices still do not have the basis for a sharp rise, and pig prices still need to wait for a long time to return to the "7-character head"! After all, in the domestic pig market, the sow stock is high sideways, the inertia of the market pig out of the barn will continue to ferment, and the domestic spot corn is stronger, the price of soybean meal continues to climb, the feed price increase will further push up the fattening cost line, due to the lack of a large rise in pig prices in the short term, therefore, the breeding end or will enter the cycle of accelerating production capacity in advance, into 3 to 4 months, pigs out of the pen or will appear short-term stampede phenomenon, which will also promote the further downward trend of pig prices, therefore, the first half of 2022, Pig prices or will generally maintain at 5 ~ 6.5 yuan / catty, pig prices do not have the basis to return to the "7 character head"!
Pork fell below 10 yuan, white strips fell to 6.25 yuan, pig prices bottomed out, to return to the 7-character head? What do you think about this? The above is the author's personal opinion, the picture comes from the network, the content is for reference only!