When we play cards, we often encounter situations where the opponent is all down, and we are holding a hand that is not very strong. At this time, your number of make-up cards will affect your decision-making.
In this issue of [Hand Analysis], Depu Ge analyzes a hand for everyone, and our protagonist abandons the top pair and nut flush listening card when facing a player who is known for his great bluffing.
So the question is – should I really discard this card?
The hand process
This hand takes place in the flash game at Seminole Hard Rock Casino.
There are high-profile professional players like Mustapha Kanit, Chance Kornuth and Matt Berkey on the table, as well as amateur players like Bill Perkins and Joey DiPascale.
The game level is $100/$200, but in this hand Berkey puts a $400 straddle. DiPascale holds $72,000 chips in the HJ position, in which he takes the A8 and chooses to raise to $1,400.
James Calderaro (chips $30,000) called on BTN, but Kanit (chips $117,000) increased to $6,500 at the BB level.
Berkey ($360,000 in chips) called, DiPascale called, Calderaro also called. Pot $26,275.
Flop: 873
Kanit played cards, Berkey bet $11,500, DiPascale called with top pairs, Calderaro folded, and Kanit discarded AK.
The pot rises to $49,275 and the effective chip volume is $54,000.
Transfers: 7
Berkey directly all-in, DiPascale fell into a long exam. In the end, DiPascale chose to fold, giving the pot of up to $103,000 to the others.
In fact, Berkey only has a K high card and successfully steals chickens.
The full hand video is as follows▼
(Tips: video duration 06:10, connect to WIFI to watch, local tycoons feel free ~ )
analyse
Matt Berkey carefully designed a big game and managed to win the cauldron. If Joey DiPascale had watched the video afterwards, surely his remorseful intestines would have been blue...
So now ask yourself honestly – if it were you, would you fold in such a situation?
Let's start with the flop before. A8s are a great hand type, enough to raise a hole before the flop, even if you're surrounded by a group of top pros...
But Mustapha Kanit then recouped with AKo in the BB bit, and if Berkey hadn't called in the case of putting the head scratch first, then DiPascale would most likely fold here because A8 is too easy to dominate.
But the truth is, at this moment he only needs to follow $5,000 to win a $16,000 pot, and there is likely to be another call later.
But if you're playing A8 in a 3-bet four-player pot and the table style is very loose, you have to have a good idea of the range of each opponent, or you're likely to be crushed after a flop.
You can't abandon the top pair so easily!
The flop allowed DiPascale to hit the top pair, plus a backdoor flush card. But in a four-player pot, the value of this hand is far less than the single-player pot.
So DiPascale has to handle it with caution and try to gather more information.
Kanit's passing cards suggests that he holds two high cards most of the time, but not over-the-top. After all, if there is a super right, facing three opponents, it will definitely be a direct bet.
On the contrary, Berkey's bet later is more difficult to figure out. He followed the jackpot in the head grabbing position, which made his range look strong. This range contains many high-card combinations, such as AQ; but there are also many middle pairs, such as 77, 99, and TT.
After Berkey placed his bet, DiPascale made the right decision. While Berkey's bets look strong (after all, he's betting against three opponents), you can't give up the top-to-head heel so easily.
Let's look at the numbers again
After the DiPascale call, Both Calderaro and Kanit folded. Transfer 7 also allowed DiPascale to hit the nut flush card. But this time Berkey pushed straight down, only a little more than the full pool bet.
Before deciding whether to call or fold, let's look at some numbers.
When Berkey is fully down, the pot reaches $103,000. DiPascale needs to be followed by another $54,000. His pot odds are 1.9-1, which means that his call has to be 35% correct to be profitable.
Let's take a look at Berkey's range and see what DiPascale's card power will do to him. The Berkey range includes three hand types:
1. Super Monster Cards: 88, 77, 87 or 33, diPascale has only one dead end against this card.
2, ordinary strong cards: JJ, TT or 99, against this card, DiPascale has 14 supplementary cards (9 plum cards, two 8s and three A's)
3. Bluff cards: AQ or KQ and other high card combinations, if caught, there are only 6 supplementary cards at most
Mandatory call
Now it's clear that DiPascale's hand power is very good against the opponent's 2/3 range, and the odds are also appropriate.
Let's look at Scope 1 again before making a final decision. There is only one possible combination of 88 and 77, respectively: 8 8 and 7 7. And 33 has three possible combinations.
Thinking back to the actions before the flop, it is basically possible to exclude 87s.
So the truth is that there are only 5 hands in Berkey's range that make DiPascale die, and DiPascale has a chance against other cards.
Moreover, a player like Berkey can use more than 5 hands to bluff cards – which is why he is so successful.
While it's true that DiPascale is dead, the odds are too small to be insignificant.
The 7 of the transfers is arguably a card that forces DiPascale to call – a card that is simply too good for him! If he can analyze his situation correctly, he should call without even thinking about it.
summary
Matt Berkey fired enough fire at DiPascale and managed to get him to discard the winner card, which was still a winner card with a large number of make-up cards. Although Joey DiPascale had a struggle, he could not accurately read out The range of Berkey in the end, and handed over 100,000 knives in vain.
Then returning to the question at the beginning of the article, the answer must be very simple: "No, never fold!" ”