Differentiation after the oversold rebound, opportunities and risks coexist? The pre-holiday market is relatively bad, in January, whether it is public or private funds are the effect of losing money is more obvious, public funds

Differentiation after the oversold rebound, opportunities and risks coexist?

The pre-holiday market is relatively bad, in January, whether it is a public or private fund is a loss of money effect is more obvious, the public fund as the "goddess of medicine" Gülen losses have lost on the hot search list, including the two days of the collapse of the Ningde era are rumored to have something to do with it, and the day of private funds is not good, although the pre-holiday floating capital market is relatively hot, but many private equity institutions still have large losses, mainly because the repetitiveness of the market makes these funds unable to obtain steady profits and lead to losses.

According to the data of the private placement network, as of now, a total of 432 private placement products have a net value of less than 0.7 yuan, that is, it is lower than the traditional private placement product liquidation line. Among them, the most injured is that some private equity funds established at a high level in 2021 have suffered adjustments after opening positions, and the net value of some products has touched the traditional warning line or even approached the liquidation line.

As of February 7, the number of 10 billion private placements was 111. From the performance point of view, 94 of them have performance disclosure of the 10 billion private placements this year the average income of -4.32%, the performance of the positive performance of the 10 billion private placements only 11, accounting for about 10%. In addition, 90% of the tens of billions of private placements have lost money, and 35 have fallen by more than 5%, of which 7 have fallen by more than 10%, and the maximum decline is close to 15%, of which is mainly the private placement with the highest increase in 2021.

Through the above data, it shows that the days of private public offerings are not good, the floating capital market is more, the trend line hot spots are less, especially the direct plunge after the surge before the holiday, the hot spot effect is not strong, has been shrinking the amount of gloomy, unable to rebound, those strong types have been rising strongly, the market divergence is obvious, to increase the difficulty of operation.

The market fell to 3356 points before the festival, after the holiday this five trading days is a continuous rebound, today's highest index is to 3500 points, suppressed in the integer mark and the resistance of the 20-day line, rebound for four consecutive days, today's rush back down is also a normal behavior, the rebound of this position will not be achieved overnight, there is no condition for reversal, according to what we said in last night's private lecture is that many stocks are first rebounded and then evolved into a reversal market, so this position is good for the market is also a stock, Most of them appear in the oversold rebound after the emergence of differentiated adjustments.

Today's market, in addition to the Shanghai index to the pressure, and the ChiNext is also an important factor dragging down the market, the ChiNext Ningde era as the first large market value stocks, the recent break to kill the fall, and even some brokers continue to bearish down 20% of the space, the decline of Ning Wang will inevitably become an important trend to guide the market to weaken, according to technology, Ningde era fell below the annual line after there will be a rebound, I have talked in the real class, is expected to fall to about 400 yuan, so in the 450-400 price range is the stop point of the Ningde era, After the continuous decline of the ChiNext board, it will also usher in a stop-loss rebound next week, when the popularity will gradually rise!

The more popular theme in the market is the concept of digital currency, a number of stocks continue to rise and fall, such as advanced digital communication, Sifang Jingchuang, Yuyin shares, Hengbao shares, Jincai Interconnection, Chu Tianlong, etc., most of which are once again formed a reversal trend, and no other hot spots emerge, the sector is still the object of short-term funds. As an important branch of the digital economy, the market of digital currency is still worthy of continuous attention, but do not chase the rise too much.

For the hot spots in the future market, we can focus on the concepts of digital currency, unmanned driving, data security and so on in the digital economy, while the agricultural aspect is also different, as to whether the infrastructure industry can have a decent market, we have to observe, the overall hot spot, the current out of the digital currency, has not yet come out of the trend line of hot spots.

As for the risk of the market, it will not be too big, that is, it will be confirmed after the short-term rebound, the operation is mainly short-term, waiting for the market to appear in a clear direction and then further operation, some oversold stocks, are building a bottom to stabilize, market reasons, need time, so do not cut meat at will, patience can wait. In terms of comprehensive market trends, the stage is dominated by shocks and repairive markets, but the market profit plate has been almost digested, in the 3400 point area, the opportunity is greater than the risk, especially the blue chips and themes that are adjusted in place.

The above personal views are for reference only