The market in the past few days is a bit miserable, but it is also expected, as said a week ago, the A-share market has a signal of oversized funds to withdraw from positions. After the withdrawal of super funds, the stock funds on the market also panicked, there was a divergence, the ticket of the previous high board, but also rose and fell for two days under the uncertain mood, until the day before yesterday's Russian-Ukrainian geopolitical conflict, risk aversion was suddenly vented, just yesterday more than 4,000 stocks fell. So will the super funds be rescued after the withdrawal? I think it will, but not now, the reason for the withdrawal of super funds is to deal with the Fed's interest rate hikes, the market generally believes that the Fed raised interest rates in March, the tightening of world currencies, naturally will bring a lot of pressure to the world economy, if before the release of risk aversion, if the funds rush to attack, it is likely that the city has not yet saved itself or buried alive. Therefore, in the future, the trend of the A-share market will be dominated by existing funds, and the shock will fall mainly.
Since the market is so bad, there must be many friends thinking of copying the bottom, and there are many friends will copy to the middle of the mountainside, today I will summarize the problems that friends will encounter when copying the bottom, and say how to copy the bottom The winning rate will be higher.
The first problem, originally the bottom was very successful, made money, but the next day did not sell and lost back. First of all, it should be clear that the bottom reading is a counter-cyclical operation, what is counter-cyclical? Under normal circumstances, the mood of the stock from rising to falling changes: emotional climax - divergence, formation of confrontation - the bears take advantage, began to smash the plate - into death, a sharp fall - the short side of the power exhausted, sell completely - the emergence of buyer power, break the balance, into the bottom - buyer attack. However, in fact, in the A-share market, the mood of the short side is easier to reach than the multi-party agreement, after the death of the short side, the fear of the mood will often have a more far-reaching impact, according to the previous experience of doing bottom-reading rebound, more than eighty percent of the rebound is a false rebound, that is to say, the rebound amplitude is rarely more than fifteen points, the number of rebound days is rarely more than two days, so the best bottom-reading operation Tail plate low price buy, the next day find a point to sell, make a difference.
The second problem, the bottom of the bottom, but the ticket rebounded one or two points, the food is tasteless, and it is a pity to abandon it. A share market has always existed a word, called capital memory, the mysterious point is that each stock has its own trend style, for example, stocks that often pull up and down will often be easier to rise and stop than stocks that rarely pull up and down, in fact, in addition to the fundamental nature of the stock itself, there are investors who like to use this set of logic to explain behind them, a fund is successful in a certain ticket, often pay more attention to this stock in the short term. After the stocks that rose sharply in the early stage have fallen and stopped continuously, the funds that have profited in the early stage will often pay more attention to and be willing to rebound on this ticket, and the style of these funds is often as strong as the style of the stock's previous rise. Therefore, do bottom-reading rebound and give priority to leading strong stocks.
The third question is copied to the mountainside. The core essence of short-term operation is to judge changes in market sentiment. In other words, how to judge that the market sentiment has reversed? My method is to use the K line to judge, when the stock decline sentiment is not completed, the performance of the A-share K line is a contraction stop, the previous day's shrinkage of the ticket, the next day's performance is likely to continue to shrink the amount of the stop or put the amount of the stop, but when a stock has experienced the above two large degrees of emotional catharsis, the idea of funds and chips will often appear a relatively large reversal, then there will be a short divergence, and the strength of this divergence will often briefly prevail, which is our opportunity to bottom out.
Well, today's A-share market in the 2021 Lunar New Year on the last day of the opening of the market, in advance to give you a good early year, I wish you a happy new year, more than every year.
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