"Corn has not yet been sold friends, seize the time to sell it, according to the rumors in late November or early December, began to reduce prices"
"The corn I just sold, 1.38 yuan per kilogram, according to the buyer, there is still room for growth in the follow-up, and friends with storage conditions can continue to save it."
"My family's corn has long been sold, corn up or down, it's okay with me"
The above is a conversation that took place in the high-yield exchange group of small helpers, and the group members discussed the price of corn and when to sell corn, and basically had 3 views. First, there is corn in the home, you can sell it now, worried that the follow-up will reduce the price; second, there is corn at home, it is recommended to sell again, and the subsequent price will rise; third, there is no corn at home, and you can only watch others "game".
The question of when corn will be sold has been the focus of discussion in previous years, and the result is nothing more than 2 points. First, the price is high when it is sold, and it does not take long to sell it, and it falls, and the mood is better. Second, the price was average when it was sold, and the price rose not long after it was sold, and I regretted that I sold it too early. The above 2 kinds of psychology are more common and normal, after all, no one can accurately predict the subsequent trend, so what to do? Refer to the following 2 factors.
First, judging from the experience of previous years
From the trend of corn prices in recent years to decide when to sell corn, a dealer in the group said that there are 2 time periods for corn prices to rise, the first is the period of time a few years ago, because everyone does not sell grain, the market supply is small, and the price of corn is relatively high. The second is the period from May to August, when the farmer who sold the grain has sold out, and the new corn of the year has not yet been marketed, which is also the peak of the rise in corn prices.
This statement from the past 2 years of corn trends, does have a certain reference significance, recall the corn prices in January to February this year, and corn prices in May to August, some areas rose to the highest rise to 1.5 yuan / jin, the purchase price of individual deep processing enterprises exceeded 1.5 yuan / jin, straight to 1.6 yuan / jin, it can be said that the peak of corn prices.
After entering September, with the gradual listing of new corn, corn prices began to fall, and some areas fell by a large margin, from 1.4-1.5 yuan / jin to about 1.15-1.2 yuan / jin. The price of corn in September and October is not very high, after entering November, with the temperature decreasing, the arrival of rain and snow, corn prices began to rise again, especially in the northeast region, due to snowfall, the increase is relatively large.
Second, judge according to the actual situation
When is corn better to sell? In fact, the actual situation that everyone encounters is different, and different answers will appear. The actual situation contains a lot of content, which is determined according to its own situation.
The first point is whether there are good storage conditions in the home, or whether there is a good site for large farmers to rent. Everyone knows that the price is high when the market corn supply is small, but whether it can wait is a problem. After all, high-priced corn has a premise, the need for high quality, less moisture, if in the storage process, due to poor storage conditions, corn moisture is too large, or moldy situation, even if the price of corn on the market can reach 2 yuan / catty, it has nothing to do with themselves. And missed the price of 1.3-1.4 yuan / catty at that time, and the final sale price was less than 1 yuan / catty.
The second point is whether the family needs funds, especially for large farmers, the cost of leasing land, planting costs, labor costs, etc., is a large amount, and the loan needs to be repaid at the end of each year, so it cannot wait all the time, and when it encounters the right price, it will sell corn.
In addition, there is also a point, but also for the big farmers, years ago to buy the next year's agricultural materials, such as fertilizers, pesticides, etc., years ago will enjoy the manufacturer's rebates, relatively speaking, the price is preferential, and the purchase of agricultural materials also need self-funding, so they will also find a suitable price a few years ago, they will sell corn, can not wait forever.
Combining the above two factors, for farmers whose corn has not yet been sold, if there are good storage conditions at home and farmers who do not have urgent capital needs, they can continue to wait and sell again, and wait until May-August of the next year, the price is relatively high. On the contrary, if there are no storage conditions at home, or if the need for funds is more difficult, you can find a relatively suitable price at present, you can sell corn. Of course, the above is just a suggestion for everyone, when to sell, the initiative has to be decided by yourself.
The overall price of corn in November was mainly rising, and some deep processing enterprises have risen to about 1.45 yuan / catty, exceeding the market expected price, as for the reasons, there are about 4 points:
1. For the northern corn-producing areas, due to more rainfall, it affects the harvest time of corn, and also delays the market time of corn, resulting in a slow pace of new grain listing and limited market supply.
2, this year, many places snow fell earlier, especially in the northeast and Inner Mongolia region, as the main planting area of corn, the snowfall before and after the winter is larger, which also affects the sales progress of corn.
3, the demand for deep processing enterprises increased, it is reported that the recent corn starch price has risen by a certain range, the profit of deep processing enterprises has increased, some enterprises that have stopped work have also started production, the demand for corn market has increased, and the price will also rise.
4, with the continuous rise in wheat prices, corn prices also rose, the first half of the corn price is at a high level, some feed companies in order to reduce costs, the use of wheat as a substitute, corn demand has decreased, the price has also declined. The recent increase in wheat prices has been significant, and some areas have even exceeded the price of corn, in this case, the price of corn has also begun to rise.
As for the trend forecast of corn prices in the future, with the fading of rain and snow, the arrival of sunny weather, coupled with the current price is not bad, there may be a small peak period for grain sales in December, and there is a risk of falling prices.
Ask everyone, do you still have corn stored in your house? When are you going to sell?