Text\World
In recent days, the civil war that broke out in the East African country of Ethiopia has entered the middle and late stages. From a military point of view alone, the overall situation of the current Ethiopian civil war tends to be one-sided, but this one-sided is not to say that the Ethiopian government army is like a broken bamboo and the army is swept across and pushed flat, but that the Ethiopian government army is beaten to the teeth and abandoned by the local armed forces of various factions, which is a fundamental reversal of the overall situation compared with the early and middle stages of the civil war. Compared with the war on the front line, there are some special details on the battlefield of the current Ethiopian civil war that deserve attention, such as whether it is the government army or the local armed forces, they have basically achieved "no crime" in the process of fighting against the Chinese enterprises that have been built in large quantities before, which seems to have become an invisible tacit understanding that both sides of the war abide by. And as far as the current situation is concerned, there is still a very great possibility in the near future, that is, the future development of Ethiopia may continue to follow the "China route".
Defeated Ethiopian government forces
First of all, let's talk about the current situation in Ethiopia's civil war, according to some of the latest news summary, the current situation of the Ethiopian government forces can be described as quite bad. In June earlier this year, around June, three major defeats were fought in a row, and they were chased and beaten by their main opponent, the Local Forces of Tigre, and several elite field divisions were collectively defeated and defeated. The Tigray armed forces initially announced that at least 7,000 government soldiers had been captured, and in the subsequent several major victories, many government prisoners were successively captured, adding up to at least tens of thousands of people before and after, and this was only a prisoner, and the enemy troops eliminated on the battlefield were counted separately. It may sound exaggerated, but the photos of the scene sent back by Reuters and many other well-known media are indeed very exaggerated, the huge army of government prisoners crowded the streets, can not see the head, such a large number of captured combined with combat casualties and various attritions, it is not an exaggeration to say that the government army was defeated like a mountain.
A team of captives who can't see their heads
As one of the underdeveloped countries in the third world, Ethiopia, like many African countries that have long been subjected to Western colonial aggression, has established diplomatic and cooperative relations with China in various fields very early. In recent years, China's aid projects to Ethiopia are not small, covering many fields such as communications, transportation, infrastructure construction, etc., and are basically blossoming everywhere and developing in an all-round way in Ethiopia. It is reasonable to say that ethiopia, which has been a year younger since the outbreak of the all-out civil war, should have been affected by the war and stopped work and production. However, the reality is that the two warring sides seem to have an invisible tacit understanding, and neither the government nor the local armed forces have committed any crime against Chinese aid enterprises.
China and Ethiopia have cooperated a lot
For example, the China-aided Yaji Railway is still unimpeded, and the Chinese-aided "Oriental Industrial Park" enterprise cluster in Addis Ababa still maintains a low level of normal operation. These phenomena are enough to illustrate an objective reality: the warring parties to the Ethiopian civil war, despite their complexity, have almost always recognized and respected China's attitude, which can be seen from actual actions alone. Although this has a great relationship with the traditional and profound friendship between China and Ethiopia, it is also necessary to take into account the image of a peaceful and responsible major country that China has shaped and established and maintained in the international community for a long time, as well as the international influence and influence of China as a real world power today.
When the epidemic came, China was also the first big country to help Ethiopia
In short, it is no accident that the various factions of the Ethiopian civil war have not committed any mistakes against Chinese companies, but that something else can be analyzed and derived from it. As the biggest "victor" in this civil war so far, the Tigray armed forces, which beat up the government army all the way and won more and lost less, maintained a very friendly attitude towards China. It should be pointed out that the existence of the Tigray armed forces is itself quite special, and can be regarded as a special presence that was driven back to Tigray State after the death of former Prime Minister Meles and the great changes in Ethiopian politics. Previously, the Tigray political forces that formed and led the local armed forces in Tigray were part of the Ethiopian government, and most of its military and political leaders were senior officials of the former Ethiopian government, such as the current head of tigre state: de Brezion, who was very friendly with China and repeatedly stated his desire to make friends with China in public.
Debretsion Gebremichael has long been friendly to China
Earlier, when de Brezion was also serving as vice premier and minister of communications in the Ethiopian national government, he maintained a rather friendly attitude toward China, and successively invited Chinese technology companies such as ZTE and Huawei to enter Ethiopia in the name of the state to cooperate, and built a large number of optical fiber networks and 4G infrastructure with Chinese communication technology. Even after being driven back to the Tigray region after being politically ostracized, Debrezion still stressed that "Tizhou still welcomes Chinese friends and opens the door for Chinese enterprises to invest and develop." Therefore, even before the government army invaded Tizhou, the last period of the war was imminent, and the normal operation of Chinese enterprises in Tigray was still well guaranteed. With the large-scale counterattack of the Tigray armed forces, the government army was driven out in one breath and won a complete victory, the front was moved forward by a large section, and some Chinese enterprises that had been disturbed by the war also returned to tranquility.
Tigre forces captured a large number of advanced weapons from government forces, including the Chinese-made A-200 long-range rocket launcher
Considering that the current international environment is still under the influence of the new crown epidemic, the economies of Western countries, including the United States, are basically in a weak state, and they are still unable to take care of themselves, even if they can get rid of the epidemic and its collateral effects in the next few years, it will still take a long time to complete their own recovery, and it is unlikely that they will open up overseas markets on a large scale and even enter a country that has just ended in the civil war. The Chinese economy under the epidemic is just the opposite, still in a state of rapid development, which has laid the foundation for Chinese enterprises to further expand overseas markets, just after the end of the civil war, all aspects are in ruins, especially Ethiopia, which is in urgent need of infrastructure, and also happens to correspond to China's best areas, after all, the nickname of "infrastructure demon" is not blown.
China aided a dam project in Ethiopia
The above-mentioned situation can also be seen in the whole world, including the various factions in Ethiopia, so no matter who the ultimate winner of the Ethiopian civil war will be, it is believed that the introduction of China's economy is an indispensable part, which can be seen from the fact that Chinese enterprises are investing and developing in Egypt, but they are still well guaranteed under the premise of continuous war. In other words, for Ethiopia itself, this is the best embodiment of the future national development will still follow the "China route".