Is the United States and Taiwan trying to force a showdown on the mainland? On October 27, Taiwan regional leader Tsai Ing-wen admitted for the first time in an exclusive interview that the US military exists in Taiwan and that the United States and Taiwan have cooperated in many aspects. The commentary held that this broke the "tacit understanding" between the mainland, the United States, and Taiwan on the issue of "the existence of the US military in Taiwan, and is a blatant demonstration and provocation to the mainland." Universal's old Hu said that this is the first time in decades that Taiwan has acknowledged that the US military is stationed in Taiwan, and no matter what the purpose, this is a matter of "breaking the bottom line" and is one of the most dangerous factors in triggering a war in the Taiwan Strait.
Tsai Ing-wen's provocations against the mainland do not stop there. On October 10, Tsai Ing-wen said in her Double Tenth speech that the mainland and Taiwan are "not subordinate to each other" and called on the United States, Japan, South Korea, Australia and other countries to intervene in Taiwan affairs and support Taiwan. The commentary said that this is an act of the Taiwan side to openly advocate Taiwan D and is a blatant provocation to the mainland. Obviously, the Taiwan side's provocation of the mainland's bottom line has become normalized and will continue in the future, which may become more serious.
The taiwan side's confidence in doing so comes from the support of the US side. In August, the withdrawal of US troops in Afghanistan made the world doubt the US position on the Taiwan issue and the possible protection, which caused concern on the Taiwan side. In response, Biden said that the situation in Taiwan is different from that in Afghanistan; the United States has a commitment to collective defense of its allies, as well as Taiwan, Japan and South Korea.
Biden's statement is considered to be the clearest statement that the United States is ready to defend Taiwan. Although the White House official came out to "urgently cool down" later, saying that Biden was wrong and that the US policy toward Taiwan had not changed, there was no doubt that this had played a role in encouraging the Taiwan side. Note that Biden's statement of defending Taiwan is widely interpreted (including the mainland) as a slip of the tongue, so the mainland does not react strongly. But is that really the case?
On October 21, Biden once again publicly stated on television that when the mainland attacks Taiwan, the United States will defend Taiwan. The show's supporters, fearing that Biden would make another slip of the tongue, made several confirmations, and Biden's answer was clear and still "yes." Obviously, this is not a matter of slip of the tongue, nor is it a problem of Biden not understanding U.S. policy — if he did not understand it before, then it should have been understood as early as the August one. So, that's what Biden himself is clearly thinking.
Although an official from the White House once again came forward to explain that Biden did not announce any policy changes, and the US policy on Taiwan did not change, this is undoubtedly "no silver three hundred and two here." Biden is the supreme head of the U.S. government, and a White House official came out to deny, what level of official? Deny Biden? This kind of practice of asking the supreme responsible person to provoke and deter the Chinese side, support the Taiwan side, and then let a lower-level official explain that when nothing happens, the Chinese side should have seen enough, right?
Biden's behavior has clearly shown his attitude toward Taiwan and is a blatant provocation to China's bottom line. It is said that the mainland should fight back strongly, but unfortunately, the mainland still seems to be "indifferent" and continues to treat it as a slip of the tongue. In the eyes of the Taiwan side, it seems that there are some "ostriches". Sure enough, on October 27, when biden attended the East Asia Summit, he said that he was concerned about the mainland's "coercion" behavior toward Taiwan, and that the US commitment to Taiwan was "rock solid." What promise? Defending Taiwan by force?
The open support of the United States to Taiwan is not only Biden. On October 26, US Secretary of State Blinken said that the US side is a friend that the Taiwan side relies on, and the US side encourages all UN member states to support Taiwan's participation in the UN system; while US Deputy Secretary of State Romney said that the mainland's military ambitions for Taiwan are a major threat to the global order, and the US side must let the mainland know the possible consequences of actions against Taiwan. Obviously, the open support of the US side for Taiwan is already of a government nature.
With the support of the US side and the lack of much reaction from the mainland, it is no wonder that Tsai Ing-wen is so arrogant. This time, Tsai Ing-wen's performance seems to make Lao Hu lose his temper. In response to the previous provocations by the United States and Taiwan, Lao Hu repeatedly claimed that the Chinese fighter planes would "pass through the island" and even reached the window of the mainland's reconquest of Taiwan, which was believed by many to represent the attitude of the official and military. However, judging from the actual results, the mainland fighters have not yet crossed the island, and have not even done it in the form of wiping the edge ball to approach the territorial waters and airspace; Lao Hu's statements are basically personal views and wishes.
This time, Lao Hu did not threaten the fighter plane to cross the island again, but said that he believed that Tsai Ing-wen had long been frightened and could not sleep steadily; everyone should fully believe in the country, believe in justice, believe in time and military superiority on our side; and when to settle the Taiwan issue, the initiative is on our side. Whether Tsai Ing-wen can sleep, Lao Hu somehow knows, but believes in national, justice, military superiority, and believes that time is no problem on our side. However, the initiative of provocation seems to be on the side of the United States and Taiwan?
Why does the United States and Taiwan dare to provoke the mainland so frequently and intensively –in Lao Hu's words, the bottom line has been broken, and they are not afraid that the Chinese side will immediately recover Taiwan? The reason for this is that the United States and Taiwan are likely to have clearly recognized the mainland's plan, and they believe that the mainland does not immediately have a plan to recover Taiwan.
Regarding the serious provocations between the United States and Taiwan, Foreign Ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin said that the Taiwan issue does not allow any foreign interference, and the Chinese side has no room for compromise; no one should underestimate China's strong determination, will and ability to defend national sovereignty. The People's Liberation Army Daily said that China has a firm will and sufficient information to thwart any interference by external forces and Acts of Taiwan.
Note that the "will" of the continent is mentioned here. However, judging from the actual situation, I personally believe that the mainland's will to "not fight Taiwan in the short term for the time being" will probably be even firmer -- what the mainland needs most at present is time for development, and the military side should not say that the fighters have penetrated the island, and they have not even approached the edge of the ball.
The United States and Taiwan are worried that the Chinese side will use force to regain Taiwan when it is actually strong enough (in a few years), so at a time when the mainland is not fully prepared, it unites the world's multinational forces to exert pressure and provocations on the mainland in a vain attempt to break the mainland's strategic deployment and plans, or force the mainland to back down. I am afraid that such an attempt will be difficult to succeed.
Again, our will to "not fight for the time being" is very firm. The Chinese side has sufficient "great power determination" and will not dance with the baton of the United States and Taiwan, but will firmly follow its own plans and steps to realize the plan to recover Taiwan. The so-called provocations that the United States and Taiwan are now, in addition to some statements and deterrence actions, are more indifferent, and then further strengthen the actual preparations -- such as the laws being formulated to sanction Taiwan D elements, such as the upcoming policy of "free medical care" for military dependents. Our preparation, step by step, was solid.
There is a saying how to say, the time is not enough, the bottom line is not arrived; when the time comes, the bottom line is not reached. This is the strategic ambiguity of the mainland. In the latest words of the spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, the mainland is as immovable as a mountain, as moving as thunder!
Author: Dawn Defense - Dream Hunting