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Concentrate on the side attack to prevent the Shanghai Composite Index from entering the downward channel again

Concentrate on the side attack to prevent the Shanghai Composite Index from entering the downward channel again

On the 22nd, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.27% to gain seven consecutive yangs, and at the same time "turned positive" the annual gains, up 0.45% year-to-date, once again approaching 3,000 points and the upper Bollinger Bands. Although some people are already dreaming of 3100 or even 3800. We still want to pour cold water on everyone, what is the logic of continuing to buy A-shares at the moment, and how is it different from October last year?

Concentrate on the side attack to prevent the Shanghai Composite Index from entering the downward channel again

Is it because the village chief has changed? Because the U.S. stock market has risen sharply, and the U.S. artificial intelligence has improved again? Or is it just because the stock market has risen for seven days and will continue to rise?

The stock market does not create wealth, but only redistributes the market, and it is of little significance to the real economy unless private placements lose money and public offerings make money. Market confidence comes from the real economy, not the stock market. Even if the national team forcibly pulls up to 3,000 points to pay tribute to the two sessions, it will not be until March, is it for the new village chief to look good?

The Shanghai Composite Index is likely to start a downward channel soon. We need to get around the front, strengthen the defense and concentrate our firepower on the flanks.

According to Guosheng Metalworking's research, banks, media, and public utilities are currently highly congested.

Concentrate on the side attack to prevent the Shanghai Composite Index from entering the downward channel again

Historically, during the last round of the Compo Depression, software, coal, transportation, mining, wholesale, printing, clothing, business services, oil and gas, construction, textiles, and communications performed better, while consumer goods, beer, automobiles, and retail performed poorly (industry yield data can be obtained from French's academic website). Although the dividend yield of China Coal Energy is low, there is a lot of room for improvement in the dividend payment ratio, and the coal sector as a whole still has investment value. Therefore, we recommend investors to defend coal, oil and gas, and attack the flanks of artificial intelligence servers and optical communications. The trading master has higher returns and risks than cross-position artificial intelligence.

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