The opening of the Hangzhou Asian Games is imminent, and the biggest difference between this Asian Games and the past is the inclusion of e-sports as an official competition. At the last Asian Games in Jakarta, although there were also esports competitions, they were only played as exhibition competitions, and the final medals could not be included in the medal table.
In this Asian Games, e-sports were divided into the "intellectual events" column, which are the same as chess, Go, and bridge.
Under the big project of e-sports, this Asian Games has set up a total of 7 sub-events, namely 7 different e-sports games, namely: League of Legends, Honor of Kings, Dota 2, Peace Elite, Dream Three Kingdoms 2, Street Fighter 5, FIFA online 4. Originally, Hearthstone was also included in the Asian Games competition, but due to the reasons of the copyright owner, the national service was suspended and has been officially removed.
So how do these projects rank in strength? How many gold medals can the Chinese team win this time?
1. The most suspenseful items: League of Legends, Dota 2
League of Legends has a long history of professional competitions and is currently one of the most watched professional esports leagues in the world, and every year in the world championship, Chinese clubs and Korean clubs compete for the championship, and the same is true in Asia, and the final final must be the Sino-Korean battle.
It stands to reason that the strength of the Chinese team and the South Korean team is almost five or five, but the Korean players have a buff bonus, that is, after winning the Asian Games championship, they can be exempted from military service, and almost all Korean athletes will be extremely desperate in the Asian Games and burst out with amazing strength. So in terms of fighting spirit, we may be a little behind.
In addition, there are indeed some problems in the selection of the Chinese team this time, I can only say that not all positions are the top players in our country, as for which positions will not be detailed. The Chinese team defeated the South Korean team 3-1 to win the championship at the last Asian Games, and I believe that in the past few years, the Korean team has been studying Chinese players and making full preparations. In this project, I personally predict that the probability of the Chinese team winning the championship is about 45%.
Dota 2 can be described as the veteran of all MOBA games, the influence of this project is also very large, currently in the world, European and North American teams are the strongest, although the results of Chinese teams in previous years have been excellent, but always disturbed by some non-competition factors, but also caused a lot of controversy. In Asia, the strength of Southeast Asian teams and players is very strong, although the teams in our mainland region may not necessarily win against the teams in Southeast Asia, Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, but the problem is that these players often come from different countries or regions, and it is difficult to assemble into the same team in the Asian Games competition.
This time, our Chinese team uses a mix of current players and retired players, which may also want to give legendary players a chance to compete for honor! On the whole, in the Dota 2 project, our probability of winning the championship is about 60%.
2. Stable gold winning projects: Glory of Kings, Peace Elite, Dream Three Kingdoms 2
Honor of Kings is known as "National Mobile Game", is currently the largest number of domestic users of mobile MOBA game, but also developed by our domestic game company, it can be said that all the top masters of this game are Chinese. Every year, King Glory officially holds a world championship cup, although nominally "world", but in fact, more than 90% are also Chinese teams and players. Teams from other countries have a hard time even reaching the knockout rounds, let alone winning the championship. The current King Glory project even has a situation where Chinese players go to play for foreign clubs, no way, domestic competition is too fierce.
Peace Elite is the mobile version of Duanyou PUBG, and it is also the first to develop and operate in China, occupying the second place in mobile competitive games, similar to the glory of the king, this is our domestic game, and the top masters are in China. In the previous Peace Elite Asian Games Tournament, our Chinese delegation won the East Asian championship by a great margin. As for West Asia, this game is hardly played.
Dream Three Kingdoms 2, listen to this name to know that it is a local Chinese game, people who do not understand Chinese culture want to play this game, may not even remember the name of the character!
To sum up, these 3 games are all developed and run in China, and the largest number of users and the largest professional leagues are also in China, which is equivalent to our own games, self-declaration, own participation, and just a show. The probability of the Chinese team losing the gold medal in these three events is the same as the probability of the national football team winning the World Cup within 20 years.
3. Projects unlikely to win gold: Street Fighter 5, FIFA online 4
The first is Street Fighter 5, which is 100% impossible for the Chinese team to win the gold medal because we didn't sign up at all! The official reason given was that the copyright owner did not have an office in China, which made it difficult to participate. This is indeed an objective reason, and in fact, we do not have a master of this game in China. The strongest in the Street Fighter 5 event should be the North American player, followed by the Japanese player. The game's top event is called the Capcom Cup, and in the past five Capcom Cups, the United States has won twice, the Dominican Republic twice, and the Japanese one time.
FIFA Online 4 is a football game, you may understand football in seconds, but although our strength in the actual football game is very weak, the football game Chinese players still have the power to fight. This time, the Chinese team signed up for a total of 2 players, namely Li Sijun from Manchester City Esports and Liu Jiacheng from Wolves Esports.
Li Sijun is a veteran of this project, and just won the title of 2022 Football Esports Mr. last year. However, in the FIFA Online 4 project, the comprehensive strength of the South Korean team and the Thai team is stronger, and the probability of Chinese players winning the championship is only about two or three percent.
Finally, to sum up, a total of 8 e-sports events were prepared for the Hangzhou Asian Games, and 7 of them were finally participated, and our Chinese team registered 6 of them, guaranteeing that we can get 3 gold medals, and if you are lucky, you may also get 5 gold medals. I hope that all the contestants will cheer well and strive to add honor to their country.