Friends, the shortlist of the 28th Shanghai TV Festival Magnolia Award has been announced!
Judging from the list, "The World" is undoubtedly the biggest winner of this magnolia, with a total of 10 awards nominated for male and female protagonists, male and female matches, photography, etc., which is gratifying.
Judging from the nominations of the male and female protagonists, the competition is extremely fierce, and I have to say that it is really a "big year in the drama circle".
In terms of actors, Hu Ge, Lei Jiayin, Zhang Yi, Zhu Yilong, Guo Jingfei
In terms of actresses, Zhao Liying, Wu Yue, Yin Tao, Sun Li, Tan Zhuo
Today, let's briefly analyze who can win the award~
Send me my predictions (subjective, subjective, very subjective), and then explain in detail why I think so——
Actor prediction: Lei Jiayin = Guo Jingfei> Zhang Yi> Zhu Yilong > Hu Ge
Actress prediction: Yin Tao> Zhao Liying> Tan Zhuo = Sun Li = Wu Yue
First of all, let's talk about the actors, the nominated acting skills are very good, and they all have authoritative awards, so no matter who wins the award, I personally think that they can be convinced.
But if there is competition, there will be rankings, and judging from their performance in the nominated works, Shi Quan believes that the final "Emperor of Vision" will be produced in Lei Jiayin and Guo Jingfei.
Coincidentally, these two are still very good friends, and they really met at the top.
(MANY YEARS AGO, LI GUANGJIE, GUO JINGFEI, AND LEI JIAYIN CALLED THEM TF OLD BOYS)
Lei Jiayin, nominated for the role of Zhou Bingkun in "The World", can be described as expected by everyone.
The quality of this drama is very good, and the online broadcast volume and ratings are also very good, which can be called last year's "drama king".
In this drama, I personally believe that Lei Jiayin contributed the best performance of his acting career, especially in the scene where he quarreled with his father, he really played Zhou Bingkun.
When he says "should the facts be told", it is so distressing that the people watching want to hug him.
Previously, Lei Jiayin has won the Golden Eagle Award for Best Actor for this role, and now he has been nominated for Best Actor in Magnolia, looking forward to winning something.
Guo Jingfei, the shortlisted role is Li Tang in "Opponent". To be honest, it was a surprise that he was shortlisted for ten pieces, not that he didn't act well, but that the plot of this drama is very subtle.
(This drama is highly recommended, I believe many people have not seen this kind of plot and character setting)
Because before this, it was often rumored on the Internet that villains could not be nominated, so many people did not expect Guo Jingfei, and now it seems that this statement should be a rumor, as long as the actor plays well, there is a possibility of winning the award.
The drama "Opponent" has a novel plot that is worth savoring. As the male protagonist of the play, Guo Jingfei's acting skills are remarkable, and the main thing is a "contrast".
Whether it is the nest and helplessness when he is a small person, or the decisiveness and handsomeness of the "500,000" walking in the execution of tasks, he is all pinched to death, and with the blessing of his acting skills, he feels that his appearance has risen.
Zhang Yi, the acting skills are as stable as ever, "Crazy" is another blockbuster drama at the beginning of this year, and the chance of winning the award is still very high, but I personally feel that compared with the previous role, the breakthrough is relatively small.
He belongs to the students who can score more than 85 points in every exam, and still contributes 85 points in acting skills in "Crazy"; And Lei Jiayin and Guo Jingfei belong to the kind of 85 test in the usual test, and they scored 90 points in these two dramas, so I personally think that the latter two have a greater chance of winning awards.
Zhu Yilong, the performance in "Rebel" is very delicate, and the growth contrast before and after the male protagonist Lin Nansheng is also obvious, compared to some of his previous performances, there are surprises and progress, and the award is well deserved.
But the overall quality of the above dramas, or the online discussion is better, which may be the key point of influence.
Hu Ge, with his strength, can nominate Magnolia for Best Actor, which is completely reasonable.
But the quality of the drama "County Party Committee Compound" is really average, and his performance in the play is more than the upper and lower than the bottom, so I personally think that the chance of winning the award is not very large.
(The Douban score of "County Party Committee Compound" is 6.7, the lowest score among all male and female protagonist nominations)
Next, in terms of actresses, from the current public opinion, this award is not only their business, it seems to be related to whether the "85 traffic flower" pattern can be greatly changed.
Yin Tao, who has previously won a magnolia TV with "Chicken Feathers Fly to the Sky", his acting skills are undoubted, not only the same age, but also the entire internal entertainment is a handful of existences.
In the drama "The World", although Yin Tao's overall scene is not too much, the completion of the role is too high, and the virtuous and tenacious feeling on Zheng Juan's body is perfectly interpreted by her.
Good character + acting stick, if Magnolia does not card "two seals", she should have the highest chance of winning the award.
Zhao Liying has been nominated for Magnolia Best Actress twice before, plus this time has been nominated three times. Personally, I think this nomination is the closest she has come to winning the award!
"Wind Blowing Half Summer" has handed over a perfect answer sheet whether it is the theme or quality, or the degree of online discussion, and Zhao Liying, as the absolute heroine of the play, has also achieved leapfrog progress in her personal acting skills, upgrading from idol drama acting skills to being able to perfectly interpret realistic themes.
(Zhao Liying is very suitable for this role, the whole person has an unbreakable temperament, very vibrant; Personally, I like the name of "Savage Growth" before this drama, and it feels very suitable)
Ten pieces have been written before, Zhao Liying's lines have big problems, one is not smooth, and the other is that there is often an accent, but these problems are really not visible in "The Wind Blows Half Summer", and the speed of progress is worthy of praise.
Whether it is from the acting itself, the quality of the work, or from the perspective of actresses, she can convince the public when she wins the award. But Yin Tao's acting skills are too good, and the organizing committee must be very entangled.
It is also worth paying attention to the fact that although Zhao Liying has mentioned magnolia three times, as a member of the "85 traffic flower" of internal entertainment, the fan circle will inevitably be entangled, or "bundled" with the same generation.
Therefore, I personally think that Zhao Liying herself and her fans actually need an authoritative award to officially distance herself from actresses of the same generation, and wish her good luck!
Tan Zhuo, played by Ding Meixi in "Opponent", is really synonymous with "beautiful and miserable", it's not easy!
Like Guo Jingfei, she can be nominated is also a surprise, no matter whether she can win the award in the end, you must congratulate her, the hard work is not in vain, the audience and professionals have seen your excellence.
If she was young, Tan Zhuo's chances of winning the award were very large, but when she met Yin Tao, whose acting skills have always been super stable, and Zhao Liying, whose acting skills have improved by leaps and bounds, she feels that her chances of winning are average.
Sun Li, to tell you the truth, Ten Pieces has not watched "Ideal City" in its entirety, but I went to make up a few episodes of excitement when it started, and I brushed some clips later.
From what I saw, Sun Li's acting skills are still very good, but the overall reputation of this drama is relatively average among the nominated works, and her acting skills have not made a special breakthrough, so I feel that the odds of winning the award are average.
Wu Yue, who has been in the industry for so many years, has always had good acting skills, whether it is a movie or a TV series, but the reputation of "County Party Committee Compound" is really a little unworthy of her acting skills, which is too hindering.
Another very important point is that her attention in this drama is very low, many viewers are watching Hu Ge and the noon sun, and she basically has no presence on the Internet, which may affect the awards.
The above is my prediction for this year's magnolia, whether it is allowed to wait until the end of the awards on the evening of June 23, let's take a look~
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