On national team match day, Nagelsmann and his girlfriend went skiing in Austria to recharge their batteries. As a result, this time, he can completely relax with tens of millions of liquidated damages.
Bayern was a bit hasty to change the coach at this point, but the replacement was for good reason. Tuchel came not 2 months early, but 2 months late.
01. Only 5 percent win rate in the last 10 Bundesliga games: losing the league is unacceptable
A. Bundesliga titles are in danger: only 5 of the last 10 league games have been won
In the current Bundesliga standings, Bayern are one point behind Borussia Dortmund and can only sit second in the Bundesliga. In the past seven seasons, Bayern's league win rate has been around 75%, and this season it has actually fallen to 60%.
The league must not be lost, which has also become the fuse for the infant to stand up for the underground class.
Originally, the team still had an upward period this season, but after the resumption of the Bundesliga in January, it suffered a wave of three consecutive draws. Since then, although there have been five wins, they have also lost to Borussia Mönchengladbach and Bayer Leverkusen.
With 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in the last 10 Bundesliga games, the winning percentage has fallen to 50%, and Bayern's top management has finally made up its mind to change coaches.
After all, losing to Bayer Leverkusen, who are still playing the Europa League in midweek, is really undeserved. With Bayern's squad thickness, the team's advantage should be even greater.
The team was not only reversed, but also suppressed on the field, which made Nagelsmann lose the slightest chance to turn around.
After all, so far in his coaching career, the Bundesliga average points per game is not even as efficient as Alonso.
Although his point scoring rate with Bayern seems to be high, Bayern's Bundesliga win rate has been as high as 75% in the past seven years, and the results achieved by the baby manager are still far below normal level.
b. The other two reasons for leaving class: Champions League lack of confidence + locker room hidden dangers
The other 2 key reasons that led to the baby's departure from class are the most straightforward of which is that his girlfriend is a Bayern team reporter who used to work for Bild.
Bayern's old player Babel once revealed the player's heart: "Nagelsmann's relationship with his girlfriend is not welcome in the Bayern dressing room. There is a lack of trust between the player and him, and he is afraid to speak freely during communication, for fear that things will suddenly reach the newspapers. ”
Another problem is the Champions League, where Nagelsmann can easily lose control of the midfield and pace when facing a coach with strong ball control.
Facing Villarreal last season, Bayern lost just like that. Lo Celso made Bayern very uncomfortable. It seems that the score difference is not large, in fact, Bayern did not experience a crushing defeat, they are already very lucky, and they need to thank the opposing striker's poor shooting skills.
Nagelsmann's rib attack is always difficult to limit, and scoring or not scoring depends entirely on the performance of the opposing striker, which is unacceptable for Bayern.
This time the Champions League last-eight meeting Pep Guardiola's Manchester City, without a change of manager, Nagelsmann's defeat can almost be foreseen in advance.
Because winning Paris is related to problems in the construction of the opposing team. It is clearly unwise to give up possession in central midfield and only want Mbappe to counter-attack.
Especially after Neymar's injury, Paris' midfield ability to advance was greatly weakened (Nagelsmann also tried his best to strangle Neymar in the first leg, and Mbappe's two offside goals after coming on were all driven by Neymar), covering up the weakness of the infant team.
02. The purpose of the change of manager is for the Champions League: Tuchel's league leadership is not so pretty
a. Face Pep Guardiola and Real Madrid: Tuchel has experience
As mentioned above, the baby manager has natural flaws when facing teams with strong control in midfield. This is in stark contrast to Tuchel.
It was no coincidence that Thomas Tuchel beat Nagelsmann by three goals in the semi-finals of that year's Champions League. Not to mention that Tuchel also beat Pep Guardiola in the Champions League final and Real Madrid in the semi-final. He played 3-0 at the Bernabeu in last season's Champions League last-eight, and if Alonso's goal had not been cancelled by the VAR controversy, it might have left for the most incredible away comeback in Champions League history.
Bayern are in the same zone as Manchester City, Real Madrid and Chelsea this time, and all three opponents are old acquaintances of Thomas Tuchel's.
Although taking over the team will be the top of the league with Borussia Dortmund, followed by the Champions League knockout rounds, at least these teams, Tuchel really knows very well, and can ease the troubles caused by rushing to the start.
B. Tuchel's league is not stable: not very good at playing too beautifully
Tuchel overall, is a cup coach with significantly better ability than the league. Bayern invited him, naturally hoping to make a breakthrough in the Champions League.
The two-and-a-half-year contract will give Tuchel some room to maneuver, make better use of the peak of this group of players, and once again put Bayern at the top of Europe.
In terms of league efficiency, Tuchel was no better than his predecessors during his time at Chelsea.
This also has to do with the inefficiency of the Chelsea team, and Tuchel is certainly not a coach who can play a lot in attack.
03. Bayern's advantage fits well with Tuchel: you can win the Champions League with one move
a. Defensive: Playing in the Champions League is very confident
Tuchel's defensive prowess may be underestimated by many. His success in the Champions League is built on this.
When Neymar and Mbappe were injured together, Tuchel took the "civilian version" of Paris and actually beat Zidane's Real Madrid 3-0 in the Champions League group stage.
Tuchel's use of superstars is also not a problem, Neymar has had his best time in Paris under him, and he has repeatedly praised Tuchel as the most talented coach.
Since taking over at Chelsea, Tuchel has set the magic stat of only one shot in his own small penalty area for Premier League opponents in his first 10 games, conceding only one goal (not counting Rudiger's own goal).
In his first 50 games in charge of Chelsea, Tuchel has won 32 of them, keeping 31 clean sheets (first in the same period in the top five leagues) and conceding fewer than 0.5 goals per game (24 in 50 games).
Considering that Bayern Munich's defender resources are among the best in Europe today, Tuchel's strengths are a good fit for Bayern Munich and are the reason why the team chose him.
At the same time, in the Champions League manager's first 50 wins, Tuchel also finished first with 32 games against Zidane and Pep Guardiola.
This 50th victory, which led Chelsea to a 4-0 victory over Juventus, was a testament to Tuchel's ability.
Bayern, a team that is not under much pressure in the league and wants to achieve results in the Champions League, should have hired such a coach a long time ago. The only thing to worry about may be that Tuchel is also not very good-tempered, and it is not easy to maintain good relations with management.
b. Tuchel's killer game in the Champions League: quick attacking and defensive conversions
Defence is the foundation, and Tuchel's killer game in the Champions League is quick attacking and defensive conversion.
The three-centre-back formation he created at Chelsea can be applied at Bayern Munich. At the same time, the rapid offensive and defensive switching ideas can also be translated over.
Tuchel's use of the French midfield is a highlight, and the key is the start of the mid-lap. At Bayern, there is no shortage of players who can speed up.
Tuchel may need some time to get a good job of allocating responsibilities in tactical detail, and if it can be integrated in time, the results will be worth looking forward to.
At the same time, Tuchel's team attaches great importance to the control of the second penalty in attack, which is also a highlight.
Speed, impact and continuity – these are the ideas behind Thomas Tuchel's two consecutive seasons of leading Paris and Chelsea to the Champions League final.
Conclusion:
Tuchel is in many ways a perfect fit with Bayern Munich's tactical system and personnel structure, and Mane, who has previously used poorly enough, may also be activated by his bringing. Old centre-forward Schupomoting has a deep affection for Tuchel, and the two will work together for the third time from Mainz to Paris to Bayern.
The only thing that could hinder Tuchel's success is the handling of relationships, but after the beatings of Paris and Chelsea, Tuchel may also learn to be more tactful, which will help him a lot in his coaching at Bayern.