Germany's draw with Spain is only a temporary revival of the breath, but the prospects for qualifying are still not very optimistic. If you don't win Costa Rica in the final round, you will be out, but if you establish the winning momentum early, you may also die.
For Germany to qualify for it, it must beat Costa Rica in the final round, and one of the following conditions must be met: (1) Japan loses to Spain; (2) Japan draws, Germany wins by 2 goals; (3) Japan draws, Germany wins by 1 goal, and the number of goals in the final round is more than Japan (e.g. Germany 2-1, Japan 1-1); (4) Japan defeated Spain, and Germany eventually overcame the current 8 goal difference against Spain, and then Germany and Japan joined forces to qualify and Spain out, which is obviously very unlikely.
For Spain, a draw with Japan would have guaranteed qualifications, but if they only scored one point, Costa Rica could replace Germany as the top of the group. Spain's exit presupposes that it loses and Costa Rica beats Germany, or Germany beats Costa Rica by a large margin and surpasses the goal difference of 8 goals.
Unless Germany can pour seven or eight into Costa Rica, fate is no longer in its hands, and the final round may be more or less worried about the release of water from Spain. Theoretically, the most likely scenario for Spain to relax is when Germany has a two- or three-goal advantage near the end of the match, and it seems impossible for Costa Rica to reverse it, and it is impossible to win by more than seven goals, at which point Spain will be in a comfortable situation where losing to Japan will not hinder the qualification.
Another factor is that the final round of Group E takes place after Group F. Group F Croatia, Morocco and Belgium will be the result of who is first and who is second. If Morocco were to take the first place, it might theoretically be more advantageous to finish second in Group E.
Of course, onlookers may have reason to believe that, with Enrique's character, he will not calculate these flies, but focus on defeating Japan with all his might, which would be the situation that Flick would most like to see.
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