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After offending the giants of the United States and Russia, Turkey or "leaned" to China? Middle Eastern chameleons had to be guarded against

author:Four minutes and thirty-three seconds

Generally speaking, countries with global influence are basically recognized world powers, such as the three powers of China, the United States and Russia. Although Britain, France and Germany are slightly inferior in overall prestige, they also have a pivotal position on the world stage considering the "glory" left over from their colonial era. But there is another type of country that has a sense of existence that does not match its own strength, and has frequently appeared in the international community but has not left any recognized good reputation, "Middle East chameleon" Turkey, is such a country that can be called magical realism.

Its geographical location at the junction of the Eurasian continent is destined to maintain a balance between the East and the West and maintain the relationship between major powers without breaking the situation. If the Turkish top level can have the political wisdom of Lee Kuan Yew and his son, the current Turkey is very likely to become a "big Singapore", whether it is economic development, political construction or external environment, it is not comparable now.

After offending the giants of the United States and Russia, Turkey or "leaned" to China? Middle Eastern chameleons had to be guarded against

However, it is a pity that Turkish politicians have not made full use of their superior geographical conditions to give priority to the development of modern industry, logistics and transportation, on the contrary, under the leadership of the "Middle East madman" Erdogan, a shocking inflation coefficient, and the focus of their own diplomacy is to dominate the Middle East and build a "pan-Turkic alliance" centered on Turkey.

Beginning on November 20, the Turkish authorities suddenly launched large-scale air strikes against Kurdish militants entrenched in Iraq and Syria without prior notification to all parties. Afterwards, the Turkish military issued a statement explaining that the operation was retaliation for Kurdish forces plotting to plan and carry out this month's "Istanbul bombings".

Erdogan stressed that in the future, Turkey will not only carry out air strikes, but also send ground troops to launch an offensive to completely destroy the Kurdish forces.

After offending the giants of the United States and Russia, Turkey or "leaned" to China? Middle Eastern chameleons had to be guarded against

For historical, religious and other reasons, Kurds operate in areas along the borders of Syria, Iraq and Turkey. For decades, they have sought to form a Kurdish state along the border of the three countries through armed struggle. Once this idea comes true, it will be a major subversion of the existing regional pattern and will push the geopolitical contradictions in the Middle East to a higher level.

Although from the perspective of the Turks, the "division" against the Kurdish armed forces is famous, but the rash launch of cross-border military operations without the permission of Iraq and Syria is a serious violation of the UN Charter, purposes and principles. Offending neighboring countries is small, after all, Turkey is not afraid of their retaliation, but offending the two world giants of the United States and Russia is something that even Erdogan himself cannot afford.

After offending the giants of the United States and Russia, Turkey or "leaned" to China? Middle Eastern chameleons had to be guarded against

On November 23, an air-to-surface missile fired by a Turkish drone accurately hit a Kurdish SDF special forces base in Hasakah province in northern Syria, killing countless armed personnel. Just a few tens of meters away next to it is the military base that the United States forcibly relied on in Syria without withdrawing. The Kurdish armed forces and the US military in Syria "live next to each other", and the deep meaning behind them is self-evident. But Erdogan still ignored the Pentagon's warning that "Turkish military actions pose a threat to Americans", and chose to do so, which is equivalent to hitting Big Brother in the face.

After offending the giants of the United States and Russia, Turkey or "leaned" to China? Middle Eastern chameleons had to be guarded against

The Turkish army's actions not only offended the United States, but also seriously affected Russia's interests in the Middle East. As we all know, there is a special relationship between Syria and Russia, and Turkey's undeclared war to attack Syria obviously does not take Putin into account. On the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield, Turkey has also joined NATO's military aid to Ukraine, providing assistance with weapons and equipment including 200 anti-mine armored vehicles and 230 mm TRLG-230 mobile rocket launchers.

"Punch the United States, kick Russia", I am afraid that only Turkey is the only one in the world today who dares to perform such a miraculous operation. Back then, Libyan President Muammar Gaddafi, after offending all the major powers, ended up in a different position, and I don't know if Erdogan can avoid the end of "Kadazo".

After offending the giants of the United States and Russia, Turkey or "leaned" to China? Middle Eastern chameleons had to be guarded against

A few days ago, Pakistani Prime Minister Sharif visited Turkey to persuade Erdogan to join the construction of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, and stressed that Pakistan is enjoying the dividends brought by the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, if Turkey can join, it will inevitably bring more benefits, and Pakistan is willing to act as a bridge for dialogue between China and Turkey. To Sharif's proposal, Erdogan gave an affirmative reply, stressing that cooperation with China is very important for Turkey. In this case, the outside world interpreted it as Turkey seeking to "tilt" to China's side.

Pakistan is so active and keen to promote CPEC with both political and economic considerations. On the political front, it will penetrate its influence deep into Central Asia and the Middle East to balance India from a strategic height; On the economic front, we will connect all regions along the Belt and Road to establish a stable international trade channel and promote the efficient circulation of energy, goods and manpower.

After offending the giants of the United States and Russia, Turkey or "leaned" to China? Middle Eastern chameleons had to be guarded against

China certainly affirms and supports Pakistan's vision of seeking longer-term development. But a hasty extension to Central Asia, especially Turkey, risks destabilizing the region's already unbalanced geopolitical landscape, with unpredictable consequences. During this year's BRICS summit, Erdogan used a condescending photo of the leaders of the BRICS countries, which was controversial by all parties.

From this photo specially captured by the media, the outside world clearly glimpsed Erdogan's explosive ambition. If it suddenly swings left and right or messes up halfway through the CPEC project, it will create a major obstacle to China's BRI initiative. For this Middle Eastern chameleon, the highest vigilance must be maintained at all times.

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