On April 29, Beijing time, the NBA and 3 teams advanced to the second round, the Suns defeated the Pelicans 115-109, the series 4-2 promotion, the Lone Ranger defeated the Jazz 98-96, the series 4-2 promotion, the 76ers 132-97 victory over the Raptors, the series 4-2 promotion. So far, as many as seven teams in the NBA have advanced to the second round, leaving only the Grizzlies and Timberwolves to continue to compete for the final seat. And after the 7 teams advanced, the US media fiveirtyeight updated the probability of winning the championship: 76ers 6%, warriors 3rd, the top two up to 54%
Timberwolves have a less than 0.1 percent chance of winning the championship
The US media predicted that the Timberwolves' first-round promotion probability was only 15%, they only lost Tianwangshan by one point, and then faced with the situation of going home after losing, there will be a lot of psychological pressure, because the Timberwolves team is almost all young people who have not played the playoffs. Of course, this is also a good experience for them, Edwards and Downs, only after experiencing this kind of scene, they have a chance to grow into real superstars.
Teams greater than 1%, less than 10 percent: Lone Rangers 3%, Grizzlies 4 percent, Heat 5 percent, 76ers 6 percent, Bucks 8 percent
The Lone Rangers finally ended their first round of two consecutive seasons, and of course they came across soft persimmons, and the Jazz have been running in the playoffs for the past few years, not playing a single Western Conference Final. Doncic has changed an opponent and still plays super data, his ability is tested, but against a finals-level team like the Suns, the overall strength of the Lone Ranger is still almost meaningless. The real strength of the Grizzlies has been exposed, they lack superstars, Morant is very unstable, although the depth of the lineup is good, but it seems that this year's Grizzlies can't go far, don't forget that they are also a team that has not had much playoff experience.
In the series between the Heat and the 76ers, the US media is more optimistic about the 76ers, but overall it is still five or five, both sides have their own advantages, the 76ers are better at the superstar level, the Heat are far more than the 76ers in the depth of the lineup and the tactical system, and the probability of the two teams reaching the finals is not high.
The Bucks' quality as defending champions is unquestionable, but the problem now is that middleton, the team's second scoring point, is long overdue due to injury. And in the playoffs, Middleton is even more important than Alphabet brother on the offensive end, and there are a lot of key balls that he performs.
Teams greater than 10 percent: Warriors 10 percent, Suns 27 percent, Celtics 37 percent
Whether the Warriors face the Grizzlies or timberwolves, their advantages are greater, first of all, they have to wait for work and rest for a few more days, secondly, in terms of experience, the old Trident can do a better job in many details, and finally, now the Warriors can play the giant planet There are really too many people, and it is difficult to cope with the outbreak of water splash tea.
The Suns are still the strongest team in the West, and their finals last season were unexpected, and they didn't expect it, so there is a lack of the lineup itself. The Suns have been making adjustments over the past year, reinforcing both the front and the interior, and now the team's shortcomings are not much. Ayton proved he had the ability to average 20 points per game in the playoffs, Paul's sword is not old, Bridges is both offensive and defensive, and it depends on Booker's injury recovery.
Celtic and Suns combined have a 54% chance of winning the championship, will the championship be born between them? The first round swept the Nets, and the strength level seems to be a big gap, the second round against the Bucks, in the previous few years of confrontation, the Celtics also seem to have more advantages, the current Celtics defense is the first in the league, how do the Bucks resist their two major forwards?