The Russian-Ukrainian conflict has entered the 41st day, the military confrontation between Russia and Ukraine is still continuing to de-escalate, and the Russian army is withdrawing on a large scale in the direction of Kiev and Sumy, the situation has eased, but some people cannot sit still.
Logically, Western sanctions should be moderately relaxed after Russia's détente, but on Monday, the Ukrainian president and the Polish chancellor spoke out at the same time, both against former German Chancellor Angela Merkel. Poland hopes that the EU will continue to sanction Russia, especially Germany, and completely eliminate the import of natural gas from Russia.
Poland wants not only Russia's life, he also wants Germany's life, is this revenge for World War II?
This is strange, obviously, this is what Poland and Ukraine are negotiating. Polish Prime Minister Morawiecki threw out a "mine", and the small country of the projectile would indeed not care about the consequences, and the sentence "Germany is an obstacle to sanctioning Russia" gave Germany a "pro-Russian" hat. But any mature politician cannot put this hat on his "boss", and you must know that Germany is the patriarch of the European Union, not you Poland!
To say mature politicians, serbian president Vucic, who has just been re-elected with a super high vote of 59.55%, is definitely one, on the NATO issue, Serbia does not seek to join NATO, and in the attitude towards the EU, Serbia wants to join the EU. Adhere to the position on Kosovo, but do not take the initiative to provoke war, know their own strength, and will not ask other countries to sanction Russia. Looking at this kind of behavior in Poland, it really does not consider the actual background.
Germany has 55% of its natural gas from Russia, and it is not realistic to want to get rid of Russia's energy imports for a short time, unlike Poland, which signed a large order for LNG imports to the United States as early as 2018, even if Russia does not give Polish gas, it has no impact on Poland.
The Polish chancellor did not only say that Germany was an obstacle to sanctioning Russia, but also pulled out former German Chancellor Angela Merkel. Moravitsky has lashed out at Merkel, saying merkel's foreign policy toward Russia over the past 15 years has made Russia stronger. The implication is that Merkel has connived at Russia.
Do Molavitsky really dare to say that Merkel is retired, as for criticizing it? And, without Merkel, would there be the EU today? Of course, Poland itself is a "special member" of the European Union, because Poland does not have the same heart as the European Union, Poland only recognizes Americans as big brothers, in addition to the three Baltic countries, they only follow the strategic intentions of the Americans.
In addition to calling out Germany, Poland did not forget to humiliate French President Emmanuel Macron. Polish Prime Minister Mikhail Morawiecki accused Macron of trying to resolve the Russian-Ukrainian conflict diplomatically. Morawiecki's exact words were: "President Macron, how many times have you negotiated with Putin?" What have you achieved? Have you stopped any action that has already happened? ”
Judging from Morawiecki's attitude, Poland is in the EU, but it does not pay attention to the two big brothers of the EU at all. What does this mean? This shows that the EU is obviously not a whole, but that there are individual countries that are very pro-US, and the United States also uses this to influence the EU's position.
Just as Moravitsky was blaming Germany and France, Ukrainian President Zelenskiy came again. Zelenskiy was really obsessed with joining NATO, and Zelenskiy accused Merkel of rejecting Ukraine's accession to NATO at the 2008 NATO summit in Gallest.
Merkel's office also responded to the question for the first time: Merkel still supports this decision today. Obviously, this is the attitude of Merkel herself, believing that Merkel now cannot look down on the childish behavior of Poland and Ukraine.
Why is Poland and Ukraine "naïve"?
First, the reason why Poland followed the trouble was very simple, Russia sent natural gas to Germany and also transited through Poland, but the birth of Nord Stream-2 bypassed Poland and Ukraine, and these two countries did not want to ah, and the real money and silver in hand were gone. Therefore, the two countries have been making trouble, especially Poland, which is a big tree in the United States, and it is common not to pay attention to the "eu double male".
Second, Ukrainian President Zelenskiy is now coming to accuse Merkel and mention nato, and now that Russia is making concessions, Ukraine is making such a voice, does it mean that there are still expectations for joining NATO? No matter how bad Russia is, let alone Fighting Ukraine, it is not a big problem to bring Poland along. Conventional military force Russia can not defeat NATO, this is nothing to say, is it to force Russia to no way back, the nuclear bomb can only be used as a decoration?
Third, the earth is so big, the United States pulls a number of Western allies to target Russia all day long, nothing more than to complete its so-called "strengthening NATO cohesion", for which the United States must find a goal. So stir up tensions in order to tie the EU and itself to a chariot against Russia. While consuming Russia, it can also consume the European Union, and for the United States, it is simply killing two birds with one stone.
As for Poland and Ukraine, they are just pawns used by the United States, don't take yourself too seriously, Biden went to Poland to give two speeches to make Poland so confident, if the United States gives Poland two F-22s, does Poland dare to directly intervene in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict?
How important is it for the EU to have a good relationship with Russia?
For any economy to continue to develop, it is inseparable from energy. And the direction of energy, the direction of the source is also crucial. Cheap, stable and close is preferred, while Russia's distance from Germany must be the preferred object.
And if the EU wants to gain greater global influence, it must work with Russia. If the EU insists on following the UNITED States in sanctioning Russia, it will only backfire. Because the result of sanctions against Russia is that the EU's security risks will increase and energy costs will increase.
First, as a large energy consuming economy, if the EU chooses to import natural gas from the United States, it will increase the EU's dependence on the United States and deprive the EU of its ability to dominate European affairs. The Russian-Ukrainian conflict is because the NATO members of the European Union do not dare to take the opposite position with the United States: a written pledge will not allow Ukraine to join NATO.
Therefore, it is not that the EU has no strength, but that the EU is accustomed to following the United States as a little brother, and has no opinion of its own. A conflict in Europe is bound to have an impact on the European economy, and now sanctions against Russia have caused Prices in Europe to soar, and countries like Poland continue to make trouble, and the EU and even NATO are facing the possibility of direct conflict with Russia. Why was Poland beaten up by Germany during World War II, and was also beaten by the Soviet Union, look at its current behavior, Germany and Russia who would like it?
Second, economic bundling minimizes security risks, while economic exclusion increases security risks. How could Merkel not understand this? Strengthened economic cooperation, close exchanges, coupled with the balance of power of the United States, in fact, the relationship between the EU and Russia does not have to worry too much about Russia's energy issue to influence the EU's position. Moreover, suppressing Russia is probably not the position of the European Union, but the position of the United States.
Third, the EU is too jealous of Russia, there is no shortage of nuclear powers in eu member states, France has both nuclear submarines and nuclear warheads and nuclear-powered aircraft carriers, and Rafale fighters are not bad, so Russia cannot invade the EU. Strengthening cooperation for mutual benefit and win-win results is the best choice between the EU and Russia.
And the EU blindly follows the stalemate in the relationship between the United States and Russia, and the EU must ultimately suffer losses, because how close is the EU to Russia? And the current EU member states are too messy, coupled with France and Germany are not strong enough, now small countries can blame, where is the prestige of France and Germany in the EU?