On May 10, Beijing time, the NBA playoffs east-west semifinals competition became more and more intense, the defending champion Bucks collapsed in the final quarter by the Celtics to 2-2, the Warriors used Curry's 18 points in the last quarter to break out, and the last-minute counterattack narrowly defeated the Grizzlies 3-1 to get the match point, avoiding the second round of the collective into a 2-2 situation. U.S. data media Fivethirtyeight announced that the latest probability has changed dramatically, with the Warriors' promotion probability rising to 82% surpassing the Sun to reach the top, and the Celtics' promotion probability rising to 69% to tie the Suns for second place. The probability of the Celtics winning the championship rose to 35%, and the re-summit of the Warriors, Philadelphia and Bucks was 9% on average.
East-West Semi-Finals:
Three groups 2-2: Celtics 2-2 Bucks, Heat 2-2 Philadelphia, Suns 2-2 Lone Rangers
A group 3-1: Warriors 3-1 Grizzlies
Promotion Probability Update:
1. Warriors 82%
2、 Sun 69%
3. Celtic 69%
4. Philadelphia 51%
5、 Heat 49%
6, bucks 31%
7. Lone Ranger 31%
8. Grizzly Bear 18%
When the Heat and Suns, who were first in the East and West, were both chased to 2-2, there was a sense of 2-2 déjà vu in the second round of the four-group series. Defending champion Bucks overpowered the Celtics for most of the time, especially multiple double-digit leads, only to collapse and lose in the final quarter. The Bucks lost 15 points 28-43 in the fourth quarter, unable to stop the rampage of Horford's 16 points in the final quarter and Tatum's 12 points in the final quarter, and also allowed the Celtics to successfully counterattack to chase the total score to a 2-2 draw. The Celtics' promotion probability has risen to 69%, and the Suns have tied for second place, and the Bucks' promotion probability has fallen to 31% in third-to-last place.
As for the Warriors, they almost fell behind by 12 points in the most moments of the whole game, but Curry scored 18 points in the last quarter to lead the team to counterattack, especially in the last minute, the key 8 consecutive free throws were won, and the Grizzlies missed the key three points and were reversed. The Warriors extended their 3-1 lead to become the first team to win the match point in the second round, which also raised their promotion probability to 82% to lead the way, and the Grizzlies' promotion probability fell to 18% to the bottom.
The probability of the Suns advancing slipped to 69% and tied for second place, the probability of Philadelphia's promotion quietly rose to 51%, the 49% of the anti-super Heat ranked four or five, and the Lone Ranger's equality to the Bucks' promotion probability was 31%.
Win Probability Update:
1. Celtic 35%
2、 Sun 24%
3. Warriors 9%
4. Philadelphia 9%
5、 Bucks 9%
6、Heat 6%
7、 Lone Ranger 6%
8, Grizzlies 3%
After a major change in the ranking of the promotion probability, the probability of winning the championship is also a big change, and the Celtics have returned to the top of the list by chasing the total score of 2-2, and their probability of winning the championship has risen to 35%. The Sun, on the other hand, fell to 24%, while they reached 39% at their peak, undoubtedly a sharp decline and were squeezed into second place.
In addition, after the Warriors reversed the narrow victory over the Grizzlies to get the game point, the probability of winning the championship increased to 9%, while the probability of Philadelphia winning the championship also rose to 9%, and the Bucks slipped to 9% of the probability of winning the championship. As a result, the Warriors, Philadelphia and Bucks all have a 9% chance of winning the championship, tied for 3rd place, the remaining 3 teams have a 6% probability of winning the championship, respectively, the Heat and lone rangers, and the Grizzlies are only 3% at the bottom.
(Text/Drunken Floating Life)